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達(dá)沃斯愁云未散

達(dá)沃斯愁云未散

Nina Easton 2013-01-28
達(dá)沃斯論壇剛剛閉幕,盡管其主題是 “為持久發(fā)展注入活力”,,但根據(jù)《財(cái)富》特派記者的觀察,,2013全球經(jīng)濟(jì)前景未明,再加上近年頻發(fā)的自然災(zāi)害,,多數(shù)與會者的的神經(jīng)都繃得太緊了,,達(dá)沃斯的對話和研究報(bào)告里無不是混亂,、脆弱等辭令?;蛟S預(yù)示著我們將繼續(xù)迎來艱險(xiǎn)的一年,。

????在美國,,CEO們還擔(dān)心稅負(fù)增加,以及884頁的多德-弗蘭克法案(Dodd-Frank)帶來的監(jiān)管不確定性[據(jù)報(bào)告稱,,其長度是格拉斯-斯蒂格爾法案(Glass-Steagall)的23倍]。

????世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇與沃頓商學(xué)院(Wharton School),、牛津大學(xué)(Oxford)和蘇黎世保險(xiǎn)公司(Zurich Insurance Co.)等合作,發(fā)布了其對全球風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的看法,,開篇即談?wù)撌杖雵?yán)重不平等的后果。

????接下來,,這份報(bào)告還列出了一些重大風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,包括未經(jīng)過濾的互聯(lián)網(wǎng)信息高速傳播可能引爆群體性恐慌——在當(dāng)今社會,它造成的危害可能遠(yuǎn)超1938年基于喬治?威爾斯的小說《世界大戰(zhàn)》(The War of the Worlds)改編而成的廣播劇風(fēng)波,,當(dāng)年以假亂真的廣播劇曾讓成千上萬的聽眾誤以為美國真的已被火星人入侵而倉皇出逃,。

????除此之外,還有致命性細(xì)菌,,其發(fā)展速度可能超越醫(yī)藥行業(yè)生產(chǎn)下一代抗生素的速度,,引發(fā)一輪致命的流行性疫情。

????在這些紛繁的煩憂之中,,幸好還有一些令人心生希望的消息:2013年Edelman Trust Barometer對全球26個(gè)市場31,000名受訪者進(jìn)行的調(diào)查顯示,,公眾對政府和企業(yè)的信賴在上升。

????壞消息是(當(dāng)然,,一定會有壞消息):絕對信賴度仍處于讓人沮喪的低位,。

????In the U.S., CEOs add to that equation their fears of higher taxes and the regulatory uncertainty caused by the 884-page Dodd Frank financial legislation (23 times as long as Glass-Steagall was, the report notes).

????The World Economic Forum, in partnership with the Wharton School, Oxford and Zurich Insurance Co., among others, released its own take on global risks, starting with the fallout from severe income inequality.

????That report goes on to catalog a set of nerve-wracking fears, including the possibility that hyper-fast, unfiltered Internet communication could set off a firestorm wave of panic—a modern day, and far more destructive, version of the 1948 radio adaption of H.G. Wells novel The War of the Worlds that convinced listeners the U.S. had been invaded by Martians.

????And topping that: Killer bacteria, outpacing medicine's ability to produce new generations of antibiotics, could fuel a deadly pandemic.

????Against this grim backdrop is some hopeful news: The 2013 Edelman Trust Barometer, a survey of 31,000 respondents in 26 markets around the globe, shows that public trust in government and business is on the rise.

????The bad news (and, of course, there must be bad news): Those levels of trust remain depressingly low.

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