2045年的世界什么樣

未來的《財富》(Fortune)雜志500強…… ????“50年后,,500強榜單上半數(shù)的公司將消失,”彼得?戴爾蒙迪斯博士在回答一個問題時即興發(fā)言說,,雖然這絕不是一個科學的數(shù)字(他也沒有想讓這個數(shù)字具有科學性),,但他回答的大方向卻是正確的:上個世紀大行其道的東西在下個世紀未必還會繼續(xù)存在。 ????這樣的預(yù)測聽起來誰都能做,,但參考世上公認的成功公司榜單(原諒我在這里自賣自夸)就會發(fā)現(xiàn)這不是偶然現(xiàn)象,。并不是說我們將迎來一個企業(yè)不斷失敗的世紀,而是舊模式(在某些情況下指舊行業(yè))在新的世界里將不再起作用,,技術(shù)井噴式地發(fā)展將閃電般地改變社會,、消費者和經(jīng)濟的內(nèi)涵。 ????但這并不意味著企業(yè)就不重要了,,戴爾蒙迪斯說,。實際上,企業(yè)絕對關(guān)鍵,。戴爾蒙迪斯說:“變革的速度會非???,創(chuàng)新也同樣日新月異,我相信目前的政府系統(tǒng)沒有哪個能應(yīng)付得過來,?!彪S著新技術(shù)邊界不斷延伸,能夠自由探索到邊緣的靈活公司和機構(gòu)不僅會成為今后數(shù)十年中最成功的組織,,也將擔負起政府無法承擔的責任,,那就是,塑造21世紀的形態(tài),。(財富中文網(wǎng)) ????譯者:默默 |
About the Fortune 500 ... ????"Fifty percent of the Fortune 500 will not exist 50 years from now." Dr. Peter Diamandis made this off-the-cuff assertion in response to a question, and while it's not a scientific figure by any means (nor did he mean it to be) his larger point remains valid: What worked in the last century isn't necessarily going to work in the new one. ????That might seem a prediction anyone could make, but the reference to the world's most recognized listing of successful corporations (pardon the self-referential grandstanding) is not an accident. It's not that we're in for a century of corporate collapse, but that old models (and in some cases, old industries) simply aren't going to be relevant in a world where avalanching technological developments are changing society, consumers, and fundamental economics at an increasingly dizzying speed. ????But that doesn't mean corporations aren't important, Diamandis said. In fact, they are absolutely critical. "The rate of change is going so fast, innovation is occurring at such a rate, that I cannot believe that any of our existing government systems can handle it," Diamandis said. Nimble companies and institutions that are free to explore new technologies all the way to the edge of an increasingly large envelope will not only be the most successful over the next few decades, but they will be responsible -- in ways that governments simply cannot be -- for shaping the 21st century. |