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《財(cái)富》水晶球:2014全球大事預(yù)測(cè)

《財(cái)富》水晶球:2014全球大事預(yù)測(cè)

Ryan Bradley, Geoff Colvin, Catherine Dunn, Leigh Gallagher, Stephen Gandel, Miguel Helft, Jessi Hempel, Marty Jones, Adam Lashinsky, JP Mangalindan, Megan McCarthy, Tory Newmyer, Jennifer Reingold, Daniel Roberts, Alex Taylor, Shawn Tully, and Jen Wieczner 2014-01-08
新的一年會(huì)不會(huì)爆出更大規(guī)模的監(jiān)控丑聞,?蘋果會(huì)不會(huì)推出堪與iPod,、iPhone,、iPad比肩的重磅新產(chǎn)品?北極資源爭(zhēng)奪戰(zhàn)會(huì)不會(huì)擦槍走火,?電動(dòng)汽車會(huì)不會(huì)大流行,?比特幣能否進(jìn)入主流?……新年到來(lái)之際,,《財(cái)富》預(yù)測(cè)了2014年可能會(huì)發(fā)生的重大事件,。

????燃料電池轎車將亮相汽車展

????現(xiàn)代公司( Hyundai)將在今年春天推出美國(guó)第一輛商用燃料電池汽車:氫氣驅(qū)動(dòng),,排氣管只排放水的Tucson緊湊型跨界車。Tucson燃料電池汽車(見(jiàn)上圖)一次性行駛里程為300英里,,可在幾分鐘內(nèi)完成加氣,,將以每月499美元的價(jià)格對(duì)外出租——但由于全美的氫氣基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施有限,這項(xiàng)政策最初只面向南加州地區(qū),。2014年年底,,豐田( Toyota )將成為第二家推出這類轎車的公司。本田汽車(Honda)也將于2015年跟進(jìn),。通用汽車(General Motors)已經(jīng)動(dòng)用119輛雪佛蘭Equinox燃料電池跨界車?yán)塾?jì)測(cè)試了300萬(wàn)英里,,但目前還不打算讓它正式上市。預(yù)計(jì)新任CEO瑪麗?芭拉也會(huì)感受到氫氣散發(fā)的熱度,。

????概率: 98% - 100%。

????Fuel-cell cars will hit the show room floor

????The first commercial fuel-cell vehicle will be launched in the U.S. this spring by Hyundai: a Tucson compact crossover powered by hydrogen that emits only water from its tailpipe. The fuel-cell Tucson (above) has a range of 300 miles, can be refueled in a matter of minutes, and will lease for $499 a month -- though at first only in Southern California because of the limited hydrogen infrastructure nationwide. Toyota (TM) will be next (in late 2014). Honda (HMC) will follow suit in 2015. General Motors (GM, Fortune 500)has racked up 3 million test miles with a fleet of 119 Chevrolet Equinox fuel-cell crossovers but has no plans to market one. Count on new CEO Mary Barra to feel the hydrogen heat.

????Odds: 98% - 100%.

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