爆料人詳解Mt. Gox文件泄密事件內(nèi)幕
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????您能否詳細(xì)說(shuō)說(shuō)收到Mt. Gox相關(guān)文件的情況,，以及您是如何確信它們都是合法的？ ????泄露的文件來(lái)自一個(gè)可靠的消息人士,，他在業(yè)內(nèi)人脈廣泛,。這些文件能很好地支持我周末收集的大量間接證據(jù)。就在幾個(gè)小時(shí)內(nèi),，有四個(gè)獨(dú)立的高質(zhì)量消息人士向我證實(shí),，泄露文件中的數(shù)字是可靠的。其中一個(gè)關(guān)鍵人物是公司的內(nèi)部員工,，我知道他可以直接接觸Mt. Gox的首席執(zhí)行官馬克?卡佩雷斯,。實(shí)際上就在我們?yōu)g覽這些文件的時(shí)候，他就在給卡佩雷斯發(fā)短信,，后者則確認(rèn)了這些數(shù)字,，同時(shí)表示這份文件“可能是真的”?？雌饋?lái)這份文件可能出自一個(gè)潛在的投資者之手,，而不是公司自己，這也意味著背后可能有更多內(nèi)幕,。 ????您在博文里表示,，這次泄密對(duì)比特幣來(lái)說(shuō)可能是“大禍臨頭”。為什么這么說(shuō),？ ????首先,，美國(guó)最終會(huì)在國(guó)際上就如何監(jiān)管比特幣定調(diào)。迄今為止,，監(jiān)管層和立法者始終對(duì)此態(tài)度十分謹(jǐn)慎,。即便是“絲綢之路”（Silk Road，建立在TOR 隱藏服務(wù)上的,，以Bitcoin作為交易貨幣的黑市交易網(wǎng)站——譯注）丑聞?chuàng)p害了比特幣的形象,，但它也強(qiáng)化了這樣一個(gè)事實(shí)，即在比特幣領(lǐng)域不法交易是可以追蹤的,。而Mt. Gox事件對(duì)比特幣形象造成的是另一種損害,。即使Mt. Gox只是一個(gè)交易平臺(tái)，這個(gè)丑聞的性質(zhì)也更惡劣,。據(jù)稱,，這次偷竊行為足有兩年未被發(fā)覺(jué)，它所盜取的比特幣是流通總量的6%,，給投資者造成了1億多美元的損失,。更有甚者,，我所披露的文件表明，Mt. Gox和那些準(zhǔn)備無(wú)限期隱瞞這些損失的投資者正展開(kāi)進(jìn)一步探討,。沒(méi)人會(huì)在乎一家販毒網(wǎng)站的版主什么時(shí)候被抓的,，也沒(méi)人在乎他的比特幣丟了。不過(guò)當(dāng)它影響到主要投資者時(shí),，那就是另一碼事了,。我認(rèn)為，希望監(jiān)管層最終不會(huì)出臺(tái)嚴(yán)厲而力度極大的監(jiān)管措施這種想法未免太天真了,。 ????披露Gox這些文件時(shí),，您還表示自己已經(jīng)賣空了所有比特幣。這算是一種過(guò)度反應(yīng)嗎,？ ????我在倫理上處于進(jìn)退兩難的境地,。我的大量流動(dòng)凈資產(chǎn)都是和比特幣捆綁在一起的，因?yàn)槲覍?duì)這項(xiàng)技術(shù)的潛力深信不疑,。但確實(shí)會(huì)發(fā)生非常負(fù)面的事件,，它們可能會(huì)毀掉作為貨幣的比特幣。曝光這件事后,，我認(rèn)為繼續(xù)交易比特幣已經(jīng)不合適了,。覺(jué)得自己要么全部持有，要么賣空,。如果我的賬戶被清空,，那我就沒(méi)什么錢賴以為生了。所以我最后決定為了保證資金安全,，賣光所有比特幣,。不過(guò)我也表示過(guò)，至少三十天內(nèi)我不會(huì)回購(gòu),，以避免給市場(chǎng)留下我是在利用非理性的恐懼大發(fā)橫財(cái)?shù)挠∠?。從法律上說(shuō)，我完全可以不表態(tài),。但我希望做到公開(kāi)透明，我的讀者也能盡快像我一樣利用好這些情況,。 ????您認(rèn)為Mt. Gox事件的真正內(nèi)幕是什么,？ ????它至少像是一次瘋狂的過(guò)失犯罪。我還在深挖這件事,，也會(huì)繼續(xù)發(fā)文向大家爆料,。（財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)） ????譯者：清遠(yuǎn) ???? |
????Can you walk me through your receipt of the Mt. Gox documents, and how you became convinced they were legit? ????The leaked documents came from a reliable source who is well connected in the industry, and they supported a ton of circumstantial evidence that I had been gathering over the weekend. Within several hours I had four separate high-quality sources confirming that the numbers in the leaked document were legitimate. The clincher was one insider in particular who I know to have direct access to Mt. Gox CEO Mark Karpeles. That source literally messaged with Karpeles while we were going through the document, who confirmed the numbers and said that the document was "probably authentic." It looks like it may have come from a prospective investor, not the company itself, which means there may be more to the story. ????You wrote that you thought the reveal could be "catastrophic" for bitcoin. Why? ????First of all, the U.S. will ultimately set the tone internationally for how bitcoin gets regulated. So far regulators and legislators have tread lightly. Even though the Silk Road scandal was bad for bitcoin's image, it also reinforced the fact that there are ways to track nefarious transactions in bitcoin. Mt. Gox is a different kind of bad for bitcoin's image. Even though Mt. Gox is just one exchange, the scandal is worse. This theft allegedly went unnoticed for two years, it represents 6% of all bitcoins in circulation and it accounts for over $100 million in investor losses. On top of that, the document I leaked suggests Mt. Gox was in advanced discussions with other investor(s) who planned to hide these losses indefinitely. Nobody cares when the moderators of a drug dealing website get arrested and lose their bitcoins. But when it affects mainstream investors, it seems different. I think it's naive to hope regulators won't ultimately come out with pretty tight and expensive regulations. ????In revealing the Gox documents, you also said that you'd sold all of your bitcoin. Was that an overreaction? ????I was between a rock and a hard place ethically. I have a ton of my liquid net worth tied up in bitcoin because I believe so strongly in its potential as a technology. But there are certain massively negative events that could destroy bitcoin, the currency. I didn't think it was appropriate to continue trading after breaking this story, and felt I had to hold or sell everything. If my account was wiped out, I'd have very little left to live on, so I decided to sell everything to be safe. However, I also said that I wouldn't buy back in for at least 30 days, to avoid giving the impression that I was preying on irrational fear. Legally, I didn't have to say a word. But I wanted to be transparent, and my readers were able to trade on the info as soon as I did. ????What do you think really happened at Mt. Gox? ????At the very least, it looks like criminal negligence of insane proportions. I'm still working on the story, so will keep you posted. |
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