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債券之王敲響警鐘,鼓吹投資者大逃亡

債券之王敲響警鐘,,鼓吹投資者大逃亡

Stephen Gandel 2012-03-30
比爾?格羅斯建議當(dāng)前投資者應(yīng)未雨綢繆,,準(zhǔn)備迎接一個(gè)漫長(zhǎng)的低回報(bào)率時(shí)代,。

????不過(guò),居安思危,,考慮一下可能會(huì)有什么變化以及最近一波股市上漲會(huì)不會(huì)戛然而止,,這樣做并沒(méi)有什么不好。格羅斯說(shuō),,過(guò)去提振市場(chǎng)的因素將開(kāi)始轉(zhuǎn)為不利因素,,在這一點(diǎn)上他是對(duì)的。但這并不意味著市場(chǎng)回報(bào)率將長(zhǎng)期陷入低迷,。利率和通脹的上升往往與經(jīng)濟(jì)加速增長(zhǎng)相關(guān),,并可能拉動(dòng)盈利和股市。高通脹時(shí)期,,股票的表現(xiàn)往往好于債券和其他資產(chǎn),。還記得漂亮50(Nifty 50)股票嗎?它們就出現(xiàn)在上世紀(jì)70年代,。

????譯者:老榆木

??? Yet, it is plausible to think that is all about to change, and that the market's recent bull run should be coming to the end. Gross is right to say that the things that have boosted the market for so long are about to go against us. But that doesn't mean that we have to have a prolonged period of poor market performance. Rising interest rates and rising inflation are also usually correlated with a faster growing economy, which could also be good for earnings and stocks. Stock do tend to outperform bonds and other assets in times of higher inflation. Remember the Nifty 50. That happened in the 1970s.

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