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時候到了,,歐洲銀行業(yè)該瘦身了

時候到了,歐洲銀行業(yè)該瘦身了

Cyrus Sanati 2013-11-05
歐洲大型銀行的高管們認為最壞的時候已經過去。但他們錯了,。金融危機期間遺留的法律糾紛仍然在侵蝕銀行的利潤,,而且錢也沒過去那么好賺了。同時,,監(jiān)管機構卻提高了銀行業(yè)的資本儲備要求,。要一勞永逸的解決問題,最好的辦法就是變賣家產,。

????擺脫這個爛攤子的最好辦法也許是直接出售資產,。這種做法將降低它們手頭所需持有資金的規(guī)模,因為資產規(guī)??s減將導致資本撥備公式中的分母縮小,。歐洲的銀行共持有約46萬億歐元的資產,因此它們有很多家當可以出售,。但是,,在縮減資產規(guī)模上,它們一直有所保留,。今年以來,歐洲銀行售出資產的總規(guī)模僅為460億歐元,,僅占它們總資產的1%,。

????因此,歐洲的銀行如果希望滿足資本要求,,同時填補不良貸款留下的缺口,,它們在未來數(shù)月將需要加緊出售資產。普華永道會計師事務所估計,,明年歐洲各大銀行可能將出售總計多達2.4萬億歐元的資產,。雖然這與今年資產出售規(guī)模相比有大幅上升,但可能仍不足以滿足新的資本要求,。

????太多的資產同時入市可能會適得其反,,因為它會導致資產價格暴跌。歐洲央行可能會通過成立一家清算信托公司,,轉移銀行資產供日后出售,,從而防止大規(guī)模資產賤賣的現(xiàn)象。銀行將可以把資產轉移至資產負債表外,,而不必進行有可能讓情況惡化的減記,。

????趕早出售資產的銀行有望獲得最好的價格。今年美國和亞洲的投資者已在歐洲大陸投入了數(shù)十億資金,押注歐洲經濟復蘇,,因此它們對任何一種歐洲投資工具都可能垂涎欲滴,。如果將近期慘淡的收益報告視為一種指標,那么很可能有足夠資產標的來供投資者挑挑揀揀,。(財富中文網)

????譯者:默默

????Probably the best way to get out of this mess would be for the banks to simply offload assets. This would lower the amount of capital they would need to have on hand, since it shrinks the denominator in the capital buffer equation. Banks in Europe have around 46 trillion euros in assets, so there is plenty of stuff they can sell. But they have been reticent to shrink. So far this year, European banks have sold just 46 billion euros in assets, equating to a tiny 1% of total assets.

????As such, the European banks will need to step up their asset sales in the next few months if they hope to meet their capital requirements and fill the holes left by failed loans. PwC estimates that the banks could offload some 2.4 trillion euros next year. While that is a significant bump up from sales this year, it still might not be enough to meet the new capital requirements.

????But too many assets hitting the market at the same time could be counterproductive as it would send asset prices tumbling. The ECB could prevent a massive fire sale by creating a resolution trust corporation that the banks could transfer assets to for sale at a later date. This would get the assets off the banks' balance sheets without having to take a nasty write-down, which would make the situation even worse.

????It seems like the earliest movers will be able to gain the best prices for their assets. American and Asian investors have poured billions into the continent this year betting on an economic recovery in the region, so they will probably be hungry for any kind of European investment vehicle. If the recent dismal earnings reports are any measure, then there will probably be plenty of assets for investors to pick through.

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