最近一段時(shí)間出盡風(fēng)頭的特斯拉深諳趁熱打鐵之理,。
8月31日,,這家由埃隆?馬斯克領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的電動(dòng)汽車巨頭股價(jià)又上漲了13%——8月28日,該公司按照1比5的比例對(duì)其股票進(jìn)行了拆分,,而新一輪的股價(jià)上漲顯然也是由此引起的:看漲的多頭投資者們敏銳跟進(jìn),、大筆入手。此舉又為特斯拉的發(fā)展提供了更強(qiáng)勁的推動(dòng)力,,而這家公司的股票自今年以來(lái)已經(jīng)飆升了479%,。
但特斯拉的野心遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有止步于此:9月1日的早些時(shí)候,該公司在提交給美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)的文件中宣布,,它將通過(guò)包括高盛和花旗在內(nèi)的10家頂級(jí)銀行出售股票,、繼續(xù)融資,計(jì)劃再籌集一筆高達(dá)50億美元的資金,。而出售股票的具體時(shí)間尚未明確,,只是說(shuō)會(huì)“按市場(chǎng)價(jià)”交易、并“時(shí)不時(shí)地在合適的時(shí)間點(diǎn)出售”,。
特斯拉的投資者們似乎也正在更大手筆購(gòu)入,。
投行Wedbush的投資人丹?艾夫斯告訴《財(cái)富》雜志:“這對(duì)特斯拉來(lái)說(shuō)絕對(duì)是一個(gè)千載難逢的好機(jī)會(huì),能進(jìn)一步穩(wěn)固其資產(chǎn)狀況,。同時(shí),,鑒于發(fā)售股票對(duì)一家公司的推動(dòng)力量是巨大的,這顯然是在正確的時(shí)間采取了正確的行動(dòng),。因?yàn)閺奶厮估F(xiàn)在的財(cái)務(wù)狀況表來(lái)看,,它已經(jīng)走出負(fù)債累累的狀態(tài)了?!?/p>
目前,,特斯拉持有約141億美元的債務(wù)和融資租賃,以及約86億美元的現(xiàn)金(截至其最新的第二季度報(bào)告),。
艾夫斯認(rèn)為,,盡管該公司的股價(jià)在9月1日的午盤(pán)交易中下跌了約2%,但對(duì)投資者而言,,“這只是使投資者們更加確信了特斯拉將在長(zhǎng)期內(nèi)繼續(xù)上漲的論調(diào)”,。“這一定會(huì)讓那些緊緊抓住其財(cái)務(wù)報(bào)表及負(fù)債狀況不放,、并由此斷言特斯拉的股價(jià)一定會(huì)下跌的人們大失所望,,將這種看跌的想法拋諸腦后。”
自然,,特斯拉的投資者們已在推特上毫不掩飾地表達(dá)了自己的看法,。有網(wǎng)友寫(xiě)道:
特斯拉勢(shì)不可擋!一定會(huì)一飛沖天?。,。?/p>
— TradingFyra (@TradingFyra),,2020年9月1日
六個(gè)月前,,特斯拉通過(guò)發(fā)行股票,籌集了約20億美元的資金,。六個(gè)月后,,該電動(dòng)汽車制造商又一次發(fā)布了最新的融資計(jì)劃。此前的那一輪融資可謂特斯拉的“救命稻草”,,“使其擺脫了當(dāng)時(shí)面臨的世界末日般的場(chǎng)景”,、“該公司最終能在中國(guó)成功建立Giga 3工廠,離不開(kāi)其發(fā)揮的關(guān)鍵作用”,、“這筆資金還給特斯拉提供了足夠的時(shí)間,,使他們的電動(dòng)汽車能實(shí)現(xiàn)持續(xù)盈利,而在這一過(guò)程中不會(huì)面臨現(xiàn)金流的問(wèn)題,?!卑蛩乖?月1日的報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道。
躋身標(biāo)普500指數(shù)“指日可待”,?
同時(shí),,特斯拉是否能躋身標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)一直是其投資者日益關(guān)注的話題。據(jù)一些看漲的投資者稱,,最近的股票拆分和新一輪融資計(jì)劃的“組合拳”基本確定了“特斯拉已經(jīng)一只腳邁進(jìn)了標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的大門”,。艾夫斯說(shuō),入圍標(biāo)普500指數(shù)可謂萬(wàn)事俱備,,只欠“官宣”,。他指出,標(biāo)普對(duì)這只股票的興趣在最近幾個(gè)月來(lái)與日俱增?,F(xiàn)在看來(lái),,入圍標(biāo)普指數(shù)只是“什么時(shí)候的問(wèn)題,而不是能不能入圍的問(wèn)題”,。
然而,,也有一部分華爾街投資人認(rèn)為,特斯拉的炒作有點(diǎn)過(guò)頭了,。
晨星(Morningstar)基金公司的戴維?惠斯頓在8月25日的報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道:“想要成功打入更大的市場(chǎng),,特斯拉還將面臨更大的挑戰(zhàn):它要克服發(fā)展過(guò)程中可能出現(xiàn)的衰退,、愈發(fā)激烈的競(jìng)爭(zhēng),還要還清債務(wù),。考慮到特斯拉仍然十分有限的產(chǎn)能——盡管目前正在增長(zhǎng),,對(duì)它的未來(lái)走向持保守觀望的態(tài)度,、而非現(xiàn)在就大張旗鼓地炒作還是很有必要的?!?/p>
也許特斯拉的債務(wù)問(wèn)題可以通過(guò)最新一輪的融資解決,,但惠斯頓認(rèn)為,還有一些更為嚴(yán)峻的問(wèn)題擺在他們眼前:“未來(lái)十年里,,我們并不看好特斯拉會(huì)迎來(lái)一個(gè)廣闊的市場(chǎng)——就他們目前的產(chǎn)品計(jì)劃來(lái)看,,該公司并不能將每一個(gè)對(duì)電動(dòng)汽車有興趣的人都發(fā)展為自己的顧客,因?yàn)槎▋r(jià)太高了,?!彼麑?xiě)道。
同時(shí),,還有一個(gè)問(wèn)題也日益凸顯,,即特斯拉是否“德不配位”——它的表現(xiàn)能否配得上飆升的市值。Kynikos Associates公司的著名空頭吉姆?查諾斯最近就向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“特斯拉從來(lái)不是市場(chǎng)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者,。一直以來(lái),,這家公司最一流的產(chǎn)品是他們講的故事?!?/p>
然而,,在該公司于8月31日進(jìn)行股票拆分之后,像惠斯頓這樣的分析師也已經(jīng)有所改觀:他在8月31日寫(xiě)道,,相信“特斯拉制造出理想的電動(dòng)汽車,、實(shí)現(xiàn)現(xiàn)金流自由和扭虧為盈的能力,比我們想象的要好得多,?!彼€指出:“對(duì)于像特斯拉這樣的年輕公司而言,比起一季度交付多少M(fèi)odel 3或Model Y,,具有長(zhǎng)期發(fā)展的潛力更重要,,也更能推動(dòng)其價(jià)值的躍升?!?/p>
艾夫斯對(duì)特斯拉的愿景甚至更為長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn):作為一個(gè)看漲的多頭投資者,,他對(duì)特斯拉未來(lái)股價(jià)的預(yù)期是超出8月31日收盤(pán)價(jià)的40%。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
編譯:陳聰聰
最近一段時(shí)間出盡風(fēng)頭的特斯拉深諳趁熱打鐵之理,。
8月31日,,這家由埃隆?馬斯克領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的電動(dòng)汽車巨頭股價(jià)又上漲了13%——8月28日,,該公司按照1比5的比例對(duì)其股票進(jìn)行了拆分,而新一輪的股價(jià)上漲顯然也是由此引起的:看漲的多頭投資者們敏銳跟進(jìn),、大筆入手,。此舉又為特斯拉的發(fā)展提供了更強(qiáng)勁的推動(dòng)力,而這家公司的股票自今年以來(lái)已經(jīng)飆升了479%,。
但特斯拉的野心遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有止步于此:9月1日的早些時(shí)候,,該公司在提交給美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)的文件中宣布,它將通過(guò)包括高盛和花旗在內(nèi)的10家頂級(jí)銀行出售股票,、繼續(xù)融資,,計(jì)劃再籌集一筆高達(dá)50億美元的資金。而出售股票的具體時(shí)間尚未明確,,只是說(shuō)會(huì)“按市場(chǎng)價(jià)”交易,、并“時(shí)不時(shí)地在合適的時(shí)間點(diǎn)出售”。
特斯拉的投資者們似乎也正在更大手筆購(gòu)入,。
投行Wedbush的投資人丹?艾夫斯告訴《財(cái)富》雜志:“這對(duì)特斯拉來(lái)說(shuō)絕對(duì)是一個(gè)千載難逢的好機(jī)會(huì),,能進(jìn)一步穩(wěn)固其資產(chǎn)狀況。同時(shí),,鑒于發(fā)售股票對(duì)一家公司的推動(dòng)力量是巨大的,,這顯然是在正確的時(shí)間采取了正確的行動(dòng)。因?yàn)閺奶厮估F(xiàn)在的財(cái)務(wù)狀況表來(lái)看,,它已經(jīng)走出負(fù)債累累的狀態(tài)了,。”
目前,,特斯拉持有約141億美元的債務(wù)和融資租賃,,以及約86億美元的現(xiàn)金(截至其最新的第二季度報(bào)告)。
艾夫斯認(rèn)為,,盡管該公司的股價(jià)在9月1日的午盤(pán)交易中下跌了約2%,,但對(duì)投資者而言,“這只是使投資者們更加確信了特斯拉將在長(zhǎng)期內(nèi)繼續(xù)上漲的論調(diào)”,?!斑@一定會(huì)讓那些緊緊抓住其財(cái)務(wù)報(bào)表及負(fù)債狀況不放、并由此斷言特斯拉的股價(jià)一定會(huì)下跌的人們大失所望,,將這種看跌的想法拋諸腦后,。”
自然,,特斯拉的投資者們已在推特上毫不掩飾地表達(dá)了自己的看法,。有網(wǎng)友寫(xiě)道:
特斯拉勢(shì)不可擋!一定會(huì)一飛沖天?。,?!
— TradingFyra (@TradingFyra),2020年9月1日
六個(gè)月前,,特斯拉通過(guò)發(fā)行股票,,籌集了約20億美元的資金。六個(gè)月后,,該電動(dòng)汽車制造商又一次發(fā)布了最新的融資計(jì)劃,。此前的那一輪融資可謂特斯拉的“救命稻草”,“使其擺脫了當(dāng)時(shí)面臨的世界末日般的場(chǎng)景”,、“該公司最終能在中國(guó)成功建立Giga 3工廠,,離不開(kāi)其發(fā)揮的關(guān)鍵作用”,、“這筆資金還給特斯拉提供了足夠的時(shí)間,,使他們的電動(dòng)汽車能實(shí)現(xiàn)持續(xù)盈利,而在這一過(guò)程中不會(huì)面臨現(xiàn)金流的問(wèn)題,?!卑蛩乖?月1日的報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道。
躋身標(biāo)普500指數(shù)“指日可待”,?
同時(shí),,特斯拉是否能躋身標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)一直是其投資者日益關(guān)注的話題。據(jù)一些看漲的投資者稱,,最近的股票拆分和新一輪融資計(jì)劃的“組合拳”基本確定了“特斯拉已經(jīng)一只腳邁進(jìn)了標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的大門”,。艾夫斯說(shuō),入圍標(biāo)普500指數(shù)可謂萬(wàn)事俱備,,只欠“官宣”,。他指出,標(biāo)普對(duì)這只股票的興趣在最近幾個(gè)月來(lái)與日俱增?,F(xiàn)在看來(lái),,入圍標(biāo)普指數(shù)只是“什么時(shí)候的問(wèn)題,而不是能不能入圍的問(wèn)題”,。
然而,,也有一部分華爾街投資人認(rèn)為,特斯拉的炒作有點(diǎn)過(guò)頭了,。
晨星(Morningstar)基金公司的戴維?惠斯頓在8月25日的報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道:“想要成功打入更大的市場(chǎng),,特斯拉還將面臨更大的挑戰(zhàn):它要克服發(fā)展過(guò)程中可能出現(xiàn)的衰退、愈發(fā)激烈的競(jìng)爭(zhēng),,還要還清債務(wù),。考慮到特斯拉仍然十分有限的產(chǎn)能——盡管目前正在增長(zhǎng),,對(duì)它的未來(lái)走向持保守觀望的態(tài)度,、而非現(xiàn)在就大張旗鼓地炒作還是很有必要的,。”
也許特斯拉的債務(wù)問(wèn)題可以通過(guò)最新一輪的融資解決,,但惠斯頓認(rèn)為,,還有一些更為嚴(yán)峻的問(wèn)題擺在他們眼前:“未來(lái)十年里,我們并不看好特斯拉會(huì)迎來(lái)一個(gè)廣闊的市場(chǎng)——就他們目前的產(chǎn)品計(jì)劃來(lái)看,,該公司并不能將每一個(gè)對(duì)電動(dòng)汽車有興趣的人都發(fā)展為自己的顧客,,因?yàn)槎▋r(jià)太高了?!彼麑?xiě)道,。
同時(shí),還有一個(gè)問(wèn)題也日益凸顯,,即特斯拉是否“德不配位”——它的表現(xiàn)能否配得上飆升的市值,。Kynikos Associates公司的著名空頭吉姆?查諾斯最近就向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“特斯拉從來(lái)不是市場(chǎng)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者。一直以來(lái),,這家公司最一流的產(chǎn)品是他們講的故事,。”
然而,,在該公司于8月31日進(jìn)行股票拆分之后,,像惠斯頓這樣的分析師也已經(jīng)有所改觀:他在8月31日寫(xiě)道,相信“特斯拉制造出理想的電動(dòng)汽車,、實(shí)現(xiàn)現(xiàn)金流自由和扭虧為盈的能力,,比我們想象的要好得多?!彼€指出:“對(duì)于像特斯拉這樣的年輕公司而言,,比起一季度交付多少M(fèi)odel 3或Model Y,具有長(zhǎng)期發(fā)展的潛力更重要,,也更能推動(dòng)其價(jià)值的躍升,。”
艾夫斯對(duì)特斯拉的愿景甚至更為長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn):作為一個(gè)看漲的多頭投資者,,他對(duì)特斯拉未來(lái)股價(jià)的預(yù)期是超出8月31日收盤(pán)價(jià)的40%,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
編譯:陳聰聰
Tesla certainly knows how to strike when the iron is hot.
The Elon Musk-led electric vehicle behemoth saw a 13% surge from bullish investors and traders on August 31 following its 5-for-1 stock split— building on roaring momentum that's seen the stock skyrocket 479% this year.
But Tesla isn't stopping there: early September 1, the company announced a capital raise of up to $5 billion worth of shares via 10 top banks including Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, selling them "from time to time, through an 'at-the-market' offering program," the company said in an SEC filing.
And Tesla bulls are seemingly digging their hooves in deeper.
"I think this was purely a golden opportunity to shore up its balance sheet and just given the massive momentum in shares, it was the right move at the right time because now they’re no longer in a negative debt situation relative to its balance sheet," Wedbush's ever-bullish Dan Ives tells Fortune.
Currently Tesla holds about $14.1 billion in total debt and finance leases and roughly $8.6 billion in cash (as of its latest 2nd quarter report).
Although the stock was trading down roughly 2% in midday trading September 1, for investors, "this just puts further credence in the longer-term bullish thesis for Tesla," Ives argues. "I think it really takes the lingering bear thesis around the balance sheet and debt situation and throws it out the window."
Naturally, Tesla bulls haven't been shy on Twitter.
$TSLA is unstoppable! To the Moon!!!
— TradingFyra (@TradingFyra) September 1, 2020
This latest capital raise comes six months after the EV maker raised some $2 billion in a stock offering—moves that "initially took the doomsday scenario off the table that Tesla was facing at the time and ultimately helped them navigate the build out of the linchpin Giga 3 factory in China and enough time for the model to hit sustained profitability," Ives wrote in a note on September 1.
The “champagne on ice for S&P 500 inclusion”
Meanwhile, inclusion in the S&P 500 index has been an increasingly hot topic for Tesla investors, and according to some bulls, this latest one-two punch of the stock split and capital raise "basically puts the champagne on ice for S&P inclusion," Wedbush's Ives believes. Inclusion would be "important institutionally-speaking," Ives says, as he notes institutional interest in the stock has grown in recent months, and he believes inclusion is now a "matter of when, not if."
Yet less bullish voices on the Street view Tesla's hype as a bit overdone.
"Tesla will have growing pains, recessions to fight through before reaching mass-market volume, more competition, and needs to pay off debt," Morningstar's David Whiston wrote in an August 25 note. "It is important to keep the hype about Tesla in perspective relative to the firm's limited, though now growing, production capacity."
That debt, at least, may be tended to via the company's newest capital raise, but Morningstar's Whiston believes there are some bigger issues: "We do not see [Tesla] having mass-market volume this decade. Tesla's product plans for now do not mean an electric vehicle for every consumer who wants one, because the prices are too high," he writes.
Meanwhile, the question of if Tesla deserves its sky-high valuation is increasingly at the fore—And according to longtime short-seller Jim Chanos of Kynikos Associates, "Tesla's not a market leader. The product at Tesla that's always been first-rate is the narrative," he recently told Fortune.
Yet following the company's stock split on August 31, analysts like Morningstar's Whiston have updated their tune somewhat: he believes Tesla's "ability to make desirable vehicles while generating free cash flow and net profit is far better than it’s ever been, in our opinion," Whiston wrote on August 31, and notes that "for a young company like Tesla, we think long-term potential is the more important question and value driver than how many Model 3 or Model Ys get delivered in a quarter."
Ives is willing to go even further: His bull-case-scenario sees Tesla popping over 40% higher from August 31's close.