
論起說(shuō)廢話,,??松梨诘氖紫瘓?zhí)行官伍德倫其實(shí)比不上美國(guó)職業(yè)籃球聯(lián)賽的傳奇人物邁克爾?喬丹,還有曾經(jīng)入選達(dá)拉斯牛仔隊(duì)全明星陣容的迪昂?“巔峰時(shí)刻”?桑德斯,。
但在公開(kāi)場(chǎng)合,,這位沉默寡言的石油巨頭高管聲音確實(shí)比較單調(diào),
輕微拖長(zhǎng)的得州口音聽(tīng)起來(lái)略帶綿軟,,用詞相當(dāng)考究,,讓人能夠感覺(jué)到事先精心準(zhǔn)備的溫文爾雅。4月下旬,,伍德倫宣布??松梨谝患径蓉?cái)報(bào),還是一如既往的風(fēng)格,。然而除了典型大企業(yè)套話,,他的言辭還透露出明顯的勝利意味,甚至有一種挑戰(zhàn)的感覺(jué),。伍德倫在與華爾街分析師的網(wǎng)絡(luò)直播電話中指出,,過(guò)去一年公司經(jīng)歷了種種動(dòng)蕩,先是新冠疫情引發(fā)一波又一波封鎖,,還有原油消費(fèi)量暴跌,,然而能源巨頭對(duì)世界的看法并未改變。他還表示,,2021年前三個(gè)月,,埃克森美孚的利潤(rùn)為27億美元,,主要因?yàn)槭吞烊粴鈨r(jià)格反彈,,也證明公司戰(zhàn)略是正確的。
“我們都知道經(jīng)濟(jì)會(huì)復(fù)蘇,,人口和生活水平將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng),,最終推動(dòng)對(duì)石油產(chǎn)品的需求,行業(yè)也會(huì)復(fù)蘇,?!蔽榈聜愓f(shuō)。他還指出,,過(guò)去幾年公司在重組和再投資方面的努力取得了成效,。“現(xiàn)在公司實(shí)力更強(qiáng),,前景也更好,?!?/p>
言下之意是:對(duì)公司不滿,忍著吧,。
不管對(duì)伍德倫還是公司來(lái)說(shuō),,本季度亮眼的業(yè)績(jī)都是一場(chǎng)迫切需要的勝利。在過(guò)去一年里,,曾經(jīng)強(qiáng)大的??松梨谠馐芰艘幌盗行呷琛S蛢r(jià)暴跌拖累??松梨谠?020年的收入比前一年下降了約830億美元,,今年的《財(cái)富》美國(guó)500強(qiáng)中排名從第3位跌至第10位,也是有史以來(lái)最低排名,。
更糟糕的是,,在20多年沒(méi)有出現(xiàn)虧損的情況下,2020年虧損創(chuàng)下了224億美元紀(jì)錄,,也變成《財(cái)富》美國(guó)500強(qiáng)里虧損最嚴(yán)重的公司,。
去年8月,連續(xù)92年入選道瓊斯工業(yè)平均指數(shù)30強(qiáng)的??松梨诒卉浖揞^賽富時(shí)取代,。雪上加霜的是,??松梨诘拈L(zhǎng)期競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手雪佛龍(今年《財(cái)富》美國(guó)500強(qiáng)排名第27位,,下跌12位)成功保住了在道瓊斯指數(shù)里的位置。
這一對(duì)比肯定讓??松梨谌缑⒃诒?。

到2021年4月,短短一年多時(shí)間內(nèi)穆迪和標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾全球都第二次下調(diào)??松梨诘膫鶆?wù)評(píng)級(jí),。造成這種情況的具體原因是什么?應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化的壓力加大,,加上??松梨趥鶆?wù)水平達(dá)到歷史上最高,這也是積極投資提升石油天然氣產(chǎn)量的副產(chǎn)品,。過(guò)去五年,,該公司的凈債務(wù)資本比率從16.5%上升到27.8%,僅去年一年的債務(wù)總額就增加了近210億美元,。
種種不利情況為??松梨诘呐u(píng)者提供了寬敞的場(chǎng)地,簡(jiǎn)直比石油鉆井平臺(tái)還大,。多年來(lái),,批評(píng)者一直指責(zé)公司財(cái)富縮水??纯词袌?chǎng)表現(xiàn)就知道,。
長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)在投資者看來(lái),??松梨诳赡苁鞘途揞^當(dāng)中最自律的一家,,公司現(xiàn)金十分充裕,經(jīng)濟(jì)低迷時(shí)期仍然可以進(jìn)行投資,,經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮時(shí)期則擅長(zhǎng)變現(xiàn),。不管喜不喜歡,??松梨诖_實(shí)是值得信賴的石油股,。
但在過(guò)去五年里,公司的股價(jià)下跌了32%,,雪佛龍的股價(jià)上漲了6%,,標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)飆升了102%。同期,,??松梨谝猜浜笥诟?jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手英國(guó)石油(下跌16%)和殼牌(下跌21%)。
今年1月,,《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》曾經(jīng)報(bào)道??松梨诤脱┓瘕堄幸饩秃喜⒊醪缴逃懀疚磥?lái)發(fā)展方向也引發(fā)了更多疑問(wèn),。(??松梨诰芙^對(duì)該篇報(bào)道置評(píng)。)
眼下是能源從化石燃料向可持續(xù)能源轉(zhuǎn)型的新時(shí)代,,然而??松梨谌匀徽J(rèn)為在未來(lái)幾十年內(nèi),石油天然氣依舊是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的中心,,這一根深蒂固的世界觀問(wèn)題不小,,甚至可能造成巨大風(fēng)險(xiǎn),也是各種混亂的源頭,。
英國(guó)石油,、殼牌和法國(guó)的道達(dá)爾等同行均已經(jīng)承諾到2050年實(shí)現(xiàn)碳排放凈零,還表示將加快對(duì)風(fēng)能和太陽(yáng)能的投資,,??松梨谠谕顿Y核心油氣以外的業(yè)務(wù)卻相當(dāng)滯后。

在一家新成立名叫Engine No.1的投資公司領(lǐng)導(dǎo)下,激進(jìn)投資者紛紛意識(shí)到??松梨诘娜觞c(diǎn),,以質(zhì)疑公司在替代能源方面缺乏行動(dòng)為名發(fā)起代理權(quán)爭(zhēng)奪戰(zhàn)。激進(jìn)投資者希望找四名新董事重新組建董事會(huì),,認(rèn)為新人能夠推動(dòng)??松梨谔ど蠆檴檨?lái)遲的發(fā)展之路。
對(duì)此,,伍德倫特別宣布了一系列改革舉措,,還啟動(dòng)新業(yè)務(wù)將低碳技術(shù)商業(yè)化,引發(fā)眾多持懷疑態(tài)度的觀察者高度關(guān)注,,但觀察者認(rèn)為種種舉措都是權(quán)宜之計(jì),,而且會(huì)造成分心。
??松梨趦?nèi)部的問(wèn)題也在醞釀之中,。公司計(jì)劃裁員15%,涉及約1.4萬(wàn)員工,,其中也包括承包商,,受此影響,公司的士氣較為低落,。
根據(jù)對(duì)??松梨诂F(xiàn)任和前任各級(jí)各部門(mén)員工的采訪,很多人認(rèn)為伍德倫擔(dān)任首席執(zhí)行官的四年里引起了分歧,。一些人批評(píng)他缺乏前任的狂傲不羈和聲勢(shì),,另一些人則批評(píng)他并不是富有遠(yuǎn)見(jiàn)的變革推動(dòng)者。
伍德倫堅(jiān)稱,,公司的戰(zhàn)略并不依賴油價(jià)上漲,。但他似乎篤定埃克森美孚困難時(shí)期的經(jīng)典策略會(huì)成功,,即不斷前進(jìn)等待油價(jià)回升,。從10月底的37美元飆升至5月底的68美元,原油價(jià)格越高,,策略成功的幾率就越大,。
如今公司面臨的變革壓力比135年歷史上任何時(shí)候都要緊迫,更大的問(wèn)題是:公司是否真正希望變革?
*****
伍德倫聽(tīng)起來(lái)輕松而自信,。
4月初與《財(cái)富》雜志的電話采訪時(shí),,他正在反思過(guò)去一年的動(dòng)蕩。他說(shuō),,盡管可能會(huì)很痛苦,,但對(duì)公司來(lái)說(shuō),2020年是“關(guān)鍵的一年”,,“不僅因?yàn)橐咔椤⒔?jīng)濟(jì)以及對(duì)產(chǎn)品的需求,,也因?yàn)閹醉?xiàng)因素結(jié)合在一起,。”他解釋說(shuō),,自己和領(lǐng)導(dǎo)團(tuán)隊(duì)剛在2019年秋季制定了重組計(jì)劃,。新冠疫情的沖擊推動(dòng)全公司更快的行動(dòng)?!耙咔榇_實(shí)加快了行動(dòng)節(jié)奏,,也讓全公司深刻了解了緊迫性?!?/p>
2017年1月1日,,伍德倫接替雷克斯?蒂勒森擔(dān)任董事長(zhǎng)兼首席執(zhí)行官時(shí),??松梨谒坪醪⒉恍枰卮蟾母?。事實(shí)上,伍德倫執(zhí)掌的第一個(gè)全年,,公司利潤(rùn)高達(dá)197億美元,,“平均資本回報(bào)率”達(dá)9%,比之前一年增長(zhǎng)一倍以上,,這也是公司向來(lái)最鐘愛(ài)的指標(biāo),。
但蒂勒森離任前往特朗普政府擔(dān)任國(guó)務(wù)卿之前幾年里,公司債務(wù)急劇上升,。很快公司內(nèi)外都發(fā)現(xiàn),,蒂勒森給伍德倫留下了一堆爛攤子。
蒂勒森的失誤之一是,,2010年在頁(yè)巖氣熱潮如火如荼之時(shí)收購(gòu)了得克薩斯州的頁(yè)巖公司XTO,,還出了350億美元的高價(jià)。
為了刺激增長(zhǎng),,伍德倫采用了??松梨诘湫偷淖龇ǎ簩毚笮晚?xiàng)目,一旦油價(jià)上漲就會(huì)獲得豐厚利潤(rùn),。根據(jù)他的重組計(jì)劃,,公司2025年前每年運(yùn)營(yíng)支出將增加300億至350億美元,重點(diǎn)放在“五大”特別有希望的大型油氣項(xiàng)目上,,從得克薩斯的二疊紀(jì)盆地到圭亞那再到莫桑比克,,與此同時(shí)拋售其他資產(chǎn)。
伍德倫預(yù)計(jì),,到2025年日產(chǎn)量將躍升至相當(dāng)于200萬(wàn)桶石油水平,,收益可以翻一番。
然后疫情打亂了伍德倫的算盤(pán),。國(guó)際能源署的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,,2020年全球石油需求較2019年下降了880萬(wàn)桶/天,價(jià)格降幅更大,。(2020年4月交易中,,每桶石油的成本甚至短時(shí)間降到每桶負(fù)38美元。)
伍德倫立即削減了30%的資本支出,,并表示到2023年成本將減少60億美元,。然而,??松梨诘墓上⒊杀静⑽词苡绊?。
英國(guó)石油和殼牌在經(jīng)歷巨額虧損后,2020年都減少了股息,,??松梨趨s不一樣,即便舉債也要保持穩(wěn)定派息,。
據(jù)現(xiàn)任和前任員工透露,,帶領(lǐng)公司應(yīng)對(duì)種種挑戰(zhàn)的過(guò)程中,伍德倫也在努力爭(zhēng)取??松梨趩T工認(rèn)同,。他在首席執(zhí)行官職位上兩位前輩都很難效仿。
李?雷蒙德風(fēng)格出了名的強(qiáng)硬,,1999年曾經(jīng)主導(dǎo)從J?D?洛克菲勒旗下的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)石油公司分拆出的??松兔梨诤喜ⅲ乙恢鳖I(lǐng)導(dǎo)到2005年,。
蒂勒森也是耀眼而有魅力的領(lǐng)袖,。相比之下,伍德倫更為保守,。他在得州農(nóng)工大學(xué)攻讀工程專業(yè)后,,職業(yè)生涯全在??松梨冢枪颈J?、命令控制型文化的產(chǎn)物,,晉升時(shí)被認(rèn)為言辭犀利且直率。但他的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)風(fēng)格并未激勵(lì)多少員工,,還讓很多人感覺(jué)不舒服,。
舉個(gè)例子,現(xiàn)任和前任員工指出,,伍德倫在擔(dān)任首席執(zhí)行官大約一年后曾經(jīng)召開(kāi)全員會(huì)議,,結(jié)果卻非常糟。
伍德倫即席發(fā)表講話,,為競(jìng)爭(zhēng)激烈且極不受歡迎的員工排名制度辯護(hù)稱,,此舉能夠確保精英領(lǐng)導(dǎo)。
一位當(dāng)時(shí)在場(chǎng)的員工表示,,他還回憶起有一次解雇一名哭泣的女員工,一年后,,那名女員工回來(lái)感謝他給自己機(jī)會(huì)尋找新崗位,。該次會(huì)議給人留下的印象是伍德倫聽(tīng)不出別人的言外之意,而且很傲慢,。
一位前高級(jí)經(jīng)理說(shuō),,公司內(nèi)部認(rèn)為該起事件堪稱“車(chē)禍”,而且消息在公司里迅速傳開(kāi),。當(dāng)回答有關(guān)全員會(huì)議的問(wèn)題時(shí),,埃克森美孚的發(fā)言人提供了一份聲明稱:“伍德倫繼續(xù)與員工定期接觸交談,,參與全員會(huì)議,聽(tīng)取員工反饋,,領(lǐng)導(dǎo)公司時(shí)將加以考慮,。”
*****
ENGINE NO. 1迅速向全世界表明了來(lái)意,。
12月7日,,新成立的激進(jìn)投資公司在公開(kāi)市場(chǎng)部署了2.5億美元的資金,以??松梨跒槟繕?biāo)發(fā)起了第一次行動(dòng)。該基金在一份聲明中宣布了開(kāi)場(chǎng)白:“在石油天然氣歷史上,,沒(méi)有哪家公司的影響力可以超過(guò)??松梨凇,!?/p>
不過(guò)“很明顯,,整個(gè)行業(yè)和世界都在發(fā)生變化,??松梨谝脖仨毟淖?。”
該公司的總部位于舊金山,,由對(duì)沖基金資深人士克里斯?詹姆斯創(chuàng)立,,他是Partner fund Management和Andor Capital Management的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人。
在針對(duì)??松梨诘男袆?dòng)中,,這家公司爭(zhēng)取到美國(guó)最大幾家養(yǎng)老基金的支持。還聲稱,,??松梨诘亩聲?huì)成員中沒(méi)有人深入了解能源行業(yè),所以無(wú)法領(lǐng)導(dǎo)綠色轉(zhuǎn)型,。
于是ENGINE NO. 1挑選了四位資歷合適的候選人加入董事會(huì),。其中一位是美國(guó)石油天然氣公司Andeavor的前首席執(zhí)行官;還有一位曾經(jīng)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)一家芬蘭的能源公司向可再生燃料轉(zhuǎn)型,。
有人可能認(rèn)為,,由于埃克森美孚長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)在氣候變化問(wèn)題上態(tài)度頑固,,與Engine No. 1的斗爭(zhēng)是迄今為止最艱巨的挑戰(zhàn),。
前首席執(zhí)行官雷蒙德曾經(jīng)多次質(zhì)疑氣候變化。在蒂勒森的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)下,,??松梨诠_(kāi)承認(rèn)氣候變化確實(shí)存在。
Union of Concerned Scientists卻在一份報(bào)告中聲稱,,公司私下繼續(xù)資助有問(wèn)題的科研項(xiàng)目,,目的是混淆氣候變化相關(guān)的研究。
??松梨趧t表示,,報(bào)告“故意誤報(bào)”了公司在氣候變化問(wèn)題上的立場(chǎng),指責(zé)公司所屬的貿(mào)易組織“否認(rèn)氣候變化”也毫無(wú)道理,。

哥倫比亞大學(xué)薩賓氣候變化法律中心的創(chuàng)始人邁克爾?杰拉德表示,??松梨诘倪^(guò)往記錄造成的長(zhǎng)期陰影既有聲譽(yù)方面,,也有法律層面。
目前??松梨谡诿媾R地方和州政府20起與氣候變化有關(guān)的訴訟,。杰拉德說(shuō),??松梨凇盁o(wú)疑”成為美國(guó)氣候變化相關(guān)訴訟最多的被告,。到目前為止,還沒(méi)有訴訟成功的案例,。
2019年,,埃克森美孚在紐約總檢察長(zhǎng)提起的訴訟中獲勝,,該案指稱埃克森美孚輕視氣候變化風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。
伍德倫本人也表現(xiàn)得要更開(kāi)放更透明應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化,。他經(jīng)常談到2015年的《巴黎協(xié)議》,在投資者陳述中也用了很長(zhǎng)篇幅來(lái)闡述,,有時(shí)甚至長(zhǎng)期批評(píng)者聽(tīng)著都煩躁,。
Union of Concerned Scientists下屬氣候能源項(xiàng)目的負(fù)責(zé)任運(yùn)動(dòng)的主任凱西?穆?tīng)柧S稱,有一次在??松梨诘哪陼?huì)上,,開(kāi)頭20分鐘伍德倫都在談環(huán)境問(wèn)題。
“如果你是剛從外太空來(lái)地球的外星人,,一落地就去開(kāi)這場(chǎng)會(huì),。”穆?tīng)柧S說(shuō),,“真會(huì)以為這家公司非常重視解決氣候變化,。”
但批評(píng)人士表示,,??松梨谠跉夂蜃兓瘑?wèn)題上言辭越發(fā)友好溫柔,,實(shí)際行動(dòng)卻并非如此。
舉個(gè)例子,,看看公司如何聲稱減排符合《巴黎協(xié)定》,。埃克森美孚的目標(biāo)是到2025年將上游排放削減15%至20%,,甲烷排放削減40%至50%,,僅涵蓋公司自行經(jīng)營(yíng)項(xiàng)目的排放。(在10-K報(bào)告中,,該公司稱約13%的油井并未經(jīng)營(yíng),。)
而且減排僅涉及埃克森美孚自身的排放量或項(xiàng)目使用的能源,,即所謂的經(jīng)營(yíng)性排放量或“1級(jí)”和“2級(jí)”,。英國(guó)石油和殼牌則已經(jīng)將3級(jí)目標(biāo)囊括在內(nèi),盡可能涵蓋與石油天然氣相關(guān)排放,,包括汽車(chē)和飛機(jī)使用化石燃料動(dòng)力產(chǎn)生的排放量,。
埃克森美孚表示,,之所以報(bào)告范圍限制在1級(jí)和2級(jí)排放量,,是因?yàn)槭芄局苯涌刂疲绾螆?bào)告也很清楚,,公司認(rèn)為3級(jí)排放量數(shù)據(jù)不太一致,,可能引發(fā)誤導(dǎo)。
伍德倫一直對(duì)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手的遠(yuǎn)大目標(biāo)不屑一顧,。在2020年3月與投資者進(jìn)行的一次電話會(huì)議上,,他表示同行提出的目標(biāo)更像“選美比賽”,還指出將石油天然氣資產(chǎn)出售給“效率較低的運(yùn)營(yíng)商只會(huì)讓問(wèn)題更糟”,。
在伍德倫看來(lái),,要更“全面”地解決問(wèn)題。
當(dāng)回答有關(guān)??松梨趹?yīng)對(duì)氣候變化方法的問(wèn)題時(shí),,一位發(fā)言人指出,自2000年以來(lái),,公司在低排放技術(shù)方面的投資超過(guò)100億美元,,他還說(shuō):“我們努力應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),盡力尋找解決方案,?!?/p>
但一位前員工不無(wú)遺憾地表示,??松梨趦?nèi)部的真實(shí)態(tài)度是,,不管消費(fèi)者喜不喜歡公司,,還是需要公司的產(chǎn)品。
“我們根本不打扮豬,,也不會(huì)給豬抹口紅,。我們只會(huì)說(shuō):‘人人都喜歡培根,那就閉嘴吧,?!?/p>
當(dāng)然,即便??松梨诘臍W洲競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手都采取更環(huán)保的政策,,產(chǎn)生的影響也不夠重大。
5月下旬,,總部位于巴黎的國(guó)際能源署發(fā)布了一份意義重大的報(bào)告稱,,為在2050年前將排放量降至凈零,從現(xiàn)在起不應(yīng)該對(duì)油氣田進(jìn)行新投資,,而各大油氣公司均未就此做出承諾,。

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至于油氣巨頭應(yīng)該如何對(duì)付氣候變化,??松梨诘慕Y(jié)論完全不同,。
2月1日,伍德倫宣布推出一項(xiàng)名叫“低碳解決方案”的新業(yè)務(wù),,將??松梨谝恢痹陂_(kāi)發(fā)的技術(shù)商業(yè)化。首先從碳捕獲和儲(chǔ)存(CCS)開(kāi)始,,即捕獲并阻止燃燒提取化石燃料產(chǎn)生的二氧化碳進(jìn)入大氣層,。
伍德倫表示,從2021年到2025年,,埃克森美孚將在低碳解決方案上投資30億美元,。
Engine No. 1聲稱,,公司迫于投資者的壓力才改變氣候變化方面的言論。伍德倫稱,,只是時(shí)機(jī)合適而已,。
他說(shuō),風(fēng)能和太陽(yáng)能“雖然很重要”,,但并不是“完整的解決方案”,,多年來(lái)該公司一直努力提升CCS技術(shù)。他表示,,目標(biāo)不僅是幫自家公司抵消排放量,,還要建立新業(yè)務(wù),,畢竟各企業(yè)紛紛做出凈零排放承諾,都要想辦法抵消排放量,。當(dāng)然,,政治風(fēng)向也發(fā)生了轉(zhuǎn)變。
“我認(rèn)為,,拜登政府的改革以及重視減排都為加快技術(shù)推進(jìn)提供了助力,,也為我們開(kāi)展技術(shù)和碳捕獲方面工作并轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)槿娴臉I(yè)務(wù)奠定了基礎(chǔ)?!蔽榈聜愓f(shuō),。
但到目前為止,除了已經(jīng)宣布的內(nèi)容,,新成立的合資公司并未宣布新項(xiàng)目,。
專家和分析人士還表示,如果沒(méi)有新激勵(lì)措施,,首先就是自2009年以來(lái),,埃克森美孚一直公開(kāi)支持的征收碳排放稅,,目前在美國(guó)啟動(dòng)大型CCS項(xiàng)目并不劃算,。
埃克森美孚并未反對(duì),。談到利用CCS項(xiàng)目盈利時(shí),,
“美國(guó)還沒(méi)有推動(dòng)此類項(xiàng)目的激勵(lì)架構(gòu)?!鄙w伊?鮑威爾表示,,他從2018年就開(kāi)始在埃克森美孚內(nèi)部領(lǐng)導(dǎo)CCS項(xiàng)目,,目前正在協(xié)助領(lǐng)導(dǎo)低碳解決方案,。“但我們確實(shí)看到了潛在的政治意愿,,即建立正確的激勵(lì)機(jī)制,、監(jiān)管和法律結(jié)構(gòu)以實(shí)現(xiàn)目標(biāo)?!滨U威爾說(shuō),,公司正在與決策者接洽,其他項(xiàng)目也在進(jìn)行中,。
盡管??松梨谧苑Q在捕獲CCS方面全球領(lǐng)先,但批評(píng)人士認(rèn)為,這項(xiàng)技術(shù)也有難題:該公司的方法側(cè)重于“提高石油采收率”,,即向地下注入二氧化碳以排出更多石油,,并不僅是為了減少碳排放進(jìn)行長(zhǎng)期封存。

鮑威爾指出,,美國(guó)目前的大部分CCS工作都是為了石油開(kāi)采,,石油天然氣行業(yè)已經(jīng)使用數(shù)十年的技術(shù)與長(zhǎng)期封存相比需要“不同的技術(shù)和操作”。但他認(rèn)為,,最終結(jié)果都一樣,。
“只是過(guò)程不同,最終結(jié)果都是將二氧化碳安全留在地面上,?!滨U威爾說(shuō)。
一些行業(yè)分析師公開(kāi)質(zhì)疑新業(yè)務(wù)的價(jià)值,?!斑@不僅是概念,比起資本轉(zhuǎn)移更是發(fā)展方向調(diào)整,?!备櫚?松梨诘幕ㄆ於驴偨?jīng)理阿拉斯泰爾?賽姆表示,。
“我認(rèn)為此舉主要為了游說(shuō),。”
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在Engine No. 1與??松梨诖頇?quán)之爭(zhēng)公開(kāi)以來(lái)的幾個(gè)月里,,基金與能源巨頭攤牌的賭注逐漸提高。
自年初以來(lái),,??松梨诙聲?huì)已經(jīng)增加三名新成員,其中包括馬來(lái)西亞國(guó)家能源公司前首席執(zhí)行官,,也是激進(jìn)投資者杰弗里?烏本,,他是總部位于舊金山的對(duì)沖基金ValueAct Capital的創(chuàng)始人。
但Engine No. 1支持者越來(lái)越多,。美國(guó)三大養(yǎng)老基金均已經(jīng)公開(kāi)支持,,包括加州雇員退休基金、加州教師退休基金和紐約州共同退休基金,,還有管理資產(chǎn)超過(guò)1萬(wàn)億美元的英國(guó)資產(chǎn)管理公司法通。包括機(jī)構(gòu)股東服務(wù)公司和Glass Lewis在內(nèi)四家主要代理咨詢公司支持Engine No. 1更換部分董事會(huì)成員,。
Glass Lewis在報(bào)告中稱:“雖然??松梨诼暦Q戰(zhàn)略有所發(fā)展,在石油巨頭中也保住了歷來(lái)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)地位,,但我們認(rèn)為,,該公司競(jìng)爭(zhēng)地位和財(cái)務(wù)回報(bào)均受到影響,,其宣稱能夠徹底解決業(yè)績(jī)下滑的策略基本上作用不大?!?/p>

在投票的前一天晚上,,激進(jìn)投資者一方再下一城,路透社報(bào)道稱全球最大的資產(chǎn)管理公司貝萊德已經(jīng)投票支持Engine No. 1四位候選人中的三位,。
最終投票成功與否將取決于其他機(jī)構(gòu)巨頭先鋒和道富銀行支持哪一方,。
伍德倫陳述觀點(diǎn)時(shí)一直咄咄逼人。在一季度財(cái)報(bào)電話會(huì)議上回應(yīng)分析師的問(wèn)題時(shí),,他堅(jiān)定支持??松梨诂F(xiàn)任董事會(huì)的專業(yè)性,還表示公司與股東打交道的方式已經(jīng)改變,。
“我們收到反饋就會(huì)回應(yīng),。”他說(shuō),。
Engine No. 1則表示,,埃克森美孚已經(jīng)錯(cuò)失就如何應(yīng)對(duì)長(zhǎng)期氣候變化展開(kāi)認(rèn)真辯論的機(jī)會(huì),。
在發(fā)起代理權(quán)爭(zhēng)斗之前,,“埃克森美孚驕傲的回應(yīng)空無(wú)一物,?!盓ngine No. 1的積極行動(dòng)負(fù)責(zé)人查理?彭納說(shuō),他也領(lǐng)導(dǎo)了??松梨诖頇?quán)之爭(zhēng),。“發(fā)現(xiàn)可能保不住董事會(huì)席位后,,他們沒(méi)有積極辯論,,而是穿上另一隊(duì)制服然后全力逃避?!?/p>
他們的制服就是能源轉(zhuǎn)型,。
即便埃克森美孚沒(méi)有撤換董事會(huì)成員,,本次動(dòng)蕩會(huì)不會(huì)迫使??松梨谡嬲兏铮繕I(yè)內(nèi)觀察人士對(duì)此意見(jiàn)不一,。
有人說(shuō),,本次事件是在警告,世界不斷變化,??松梨谝膊荒塥?dú)善其身,。
其他人說(shuō),石油巨頭很可能會(huì)恢復(fù)正常經(jīng)營(yíng),,尤其是如果石油天然氣價(jià)格繼續(xù)上漲,,埃克森美孚的股價(jià)也會(huì)走高,。截至5月下旬,,自年初以來(lái)的埃克森美孚股價(jià)已經(jīng)上漲41%,。
當(dāng)問(wèn)起伍德倫??松梨趩T工對(duì)公司未來(lái)有何疑問(wèn)時(shí),他相當(dāng)謹(jǐn)慎,。
“內(nèi)部的問(wèn)題與外部的問(wèn)題比較一致,。”他說(shuō),,“由于社會(huì)需求也渴望低碳密集型能源,,如何隨著時(shí)間推移實(shí)現(xiàn)這種需求?對(duì)公司有何影響,?如何穩(wěn)妥執(zhí)掌公司,,順利渡過(guò)轉(zhuǎn)型?”
他的語(yǔ)調(diào)一如既往地沉穩(wěn):“我們的工作是滿足社會(huì)不斷變化的需求,。歷來(lái)都是這么做的,。”
別催他,,等等看,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:馮豐
審校:夏林
論起說(shuō)廢話,??松梨诘氖紫瘓?zhí)行官伍德倫其實(shí)比不上美國(guó)職業(yè)籃球聯(lián)賽的傳奇人物邁克爾?喬丹,,還有曾經(jīng)入選達(dá)拉斯牛仔隊(duì)全明星陣容的迪昂?“巔峰時(shí)刻”?桑德斯。
至少在公開(kāi)場(chǎng)合,,這位沉默寡言的石油巨頭高管聲音有些單調(diào),,輕微拖長(zhǎng)的得州口音聽(tīng)起來(lái)略帶綿軟,用詞相當(dāng)考究,,讓人能夠感覺(jué)到事先精心準(zhǔn)備的溫文爾雅,。4月下旬,伍德倫宣布??松梨谝患径蓉?cái)報(bào),,還是一如既往的風(fēng)格,。然而除了典型大企業(yè)套話,他的言辭還透露出明顯的勝利意味,,甚至有一種挑戰(zhàn)的感覺(jué)。
伍德倫在與華爾街分析師的網(wǎng)絡(luò)直播電話中指出,,過(guò)去一年公司經(jīng)歷了種種動(dòng)蕩,,先是新冠疫情引發(fā)一波又一波封鎖,還有原油消費(fèi)量暴跌,,然而能源巨頭對(duì)世界的看法并未改變,。他還表示,2021年前三個(gè)月,,??松梨诘睦麧?rùn)為27億美元,主要因?yàn)槭吞烊粴鈨r(jià)格反彈,,也證明公司戰(zhàn)略是正確的,。
“我們都知道經(jīng)濟(jì)會(huì)復(fù)蘇,人口和生活水平將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng),,最終推動(dòng)對(duì)石油產(chǎn)品的需求,,行業(yè)也會(huì)復(fù)蘇?!蔽榈聜愓f(shuō),。他還指出,過(guò)去幾年公司在重組和再投資方面的努力取得了成效,?!艾F(xiàn)在公司實(shí)力更強(qiáng),前景也更好,?!?/p>
言下之意是:對(duì)公司不滿,忍著吧,。
不管對(duì)伍德倫還是公司來(lái)說(shuō),,本季度亮眼的業(yè)績(jī)都是一場(chǎng)迫切需要的勝利。在過(guò)去一年里,,曾經(jīng)強(qiáng)大的??松梨谠馐芰艘幌盗行呷琛S蛢r(jià)暴跌拖累??松梨谠?020年的收入比前一年下降了約830億美元,,今年的《財(cái)富》美國(guó)500強(qiáng)中排名從第3位跌至第10位,也是有史以來(lái)最低排名,。
更糟糕的是,,在20多年沒(méi)有出現(xiàn)虧損的情況下,,2020年虧損創(chuàng)下了224億美元紀(jì)錄,也變成《財(cái)富》美國(guó)500強(qiáng)里虧損最嚴(yán)重的公司,。
去年8月,,連續(xù)92年入選道瓊斯工業(yè)平均指數(shù)30強(qiáng)的埃克森美孚被軟件巨頭賽富時(shí)取代,。雪上加霜的是,,埃克森美孚的長(zhǎng)期競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手雪佛龍(今年《財(cái)富》美國(guó)500強(qiáng)排名第27位,,下跌12位)成功保住了在道瓊斯指數(shù)里的位置,。
這一對(duì)比肯定讓埃克森美孚如芒在背,。
到2021年4月,,短短一年多時(shí)間內(nèi)穆迪和標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾全球都第二次下調(diào)埃克森美孚的債務(wù)評(píng)級(jí),。造成這種情況的具體原因是什么,?應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化的壓力加大,加上??松梨趥鶆?wù)水平達(dá)到歷史上最高,,這也是積極投資提升石油天然氣產(chǎn)量的副產(chǎn)品。過(guò)去五年,,該公司的凈債務(wù)資本比率從16.5%上升到27.8%,,僅去年一年的債務(wù)總額就增加了近210億美元。
種種不利情況為??松梨诘呐u(píng)者提供了寬敞的場(chǎng)地,,簡(jiǎn)直比石油鉆井平臺(tái)還大。多年來(lái),,批評(píng)者一直指責(zé)公司財(cái)富縮水,。看看市場(chǎng)表現(xiàn)就知道,。
長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)在投資者看來(lái),,埃克森美孚可能是石油巨頭當(dāng)中最自律的一家,,公司現(xiàn)金十分充裕,,經(jīng)濟(jì)低迷時(shí)期仍然可以進(jìn)行投資,經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮時(shí)期則擅長(zhǎng)變現(xiàn),。不管喜不喜歡,,埃克森美孚確實(shí)是值得信賴的石油股,。
但在過(guò)去五年里,,公司的股價(jià)下跌了32%,,雪佛龍的股價(jià)上漲了6%,標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)飆升了102%,。同期,,埃克森美孚也落后于競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手英國(guó)石油(下跌16%)和殼牌(下跌21%),。
今年1月,,《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》曾經(jīng)報(bào)道埃克森美孚和雪佛龍有意就合并初步商討,,公司未來(lái)發(fā)展方向也引發(fā)了更多疑問(wèn)。(??松梨诰芙^對(duì)該篇報(bào)道置評(píng),。)
眼下是能源從化石燃料向可持續(xù)能源轉(zhuǎn)型的新時(shí)代,然而??松梨谌匀徽J(rèn)為在未來(lái)幾十年內(nèi),,石油天然氣依舊是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的中心,這一根深蒂固的世界觀問(wèn)題不小,,甚至可能造成巨大風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,也是各種混亂的源頭。
英國(guó)石油,、殼牌和法國(guó)的道達(dá)爾等同行均已經(jīng)承諾到2050年實(shí)現(xiàn)碳排放凈零,,還表示將加快對(duì)風(fēng)能和太陽(yáng)能的投資,??松梨谠谕顿Y核心油氣以外的業(yè)務(wù)卻相當(dāng)滯后,。
在一家新成立名叫Engine No.1的投資公司領(lǐng)導(dǎo)下,激進(jìn)投資者紛紛意識(shí)到??松梨诘娜觞c(diǎn),,以質(zhì)疑公司在替代能源方面缺乏行動(dòng)為名發(fā)起代理權(quán)爭(zhēng)奪戰(zhàn)。激進(jìn)投資者希望找四名新董事重新組建董事會(huì),,認(rèn)為新人能夠推動(dòng)??松梨谔ど蠆檴檨?lái)遲的發(fā)展之路。
對(duì)此,,伍德倫特別宣布了一系列改革舉措,,還啟動(dòng)新業(yè)務(wù)將低碳技術(shù)商業(yè)化,引發(fā)眾多持懷疑態(tài)度的觀察者高度關(guān)注,,但觀察者認(rèn)為種種舉措都是權(quán)宜之計(jì),,而且會(huì)造成分心。
??松梨趦?nèi)部的問(wèn)題也在醞釀之中,。公司計(jì)劃裁員15%,,涉及約1.4萬(wàn)員工,其中也包括承包商,,受此影響,,公司的士氣較為低落。
根據(jù)對(duì)??松梨诂F(xiàn)任和前任各級(jí)各部門(mén)員工的采訪,,很多人認(rèn)為伍德倫擔(dān)任首席執(zhí)行官的四年里引起了分歧。一些人批評(píng)他缺乏前任的狂傲不羈和聲勢(shì),,另一些人則批評(píng)他并不是富有遠(yuǎn)見(jiàn)的變革推動(dòng)者,。
伍德倫堅(jiān)稱,公司的戰(zhàn)略并不依賴油價(jià)上漲,。但他似乎篤定??松梨诶щy時(shí)期的經(jīng)典策略會(huì)成功,即不斷前進(jìn)等待油價(jià)回升,。從10月底的37美元飆升至5月底的68美元,,原油價(jià)格越高,策略成功的幾率就越大,。
如今公司面臨的變革壓力比135年歷史上任何時(shí)候都要緊迫,,更大的問(wèn)題是:公司是否真正希望變革?
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伍德倫聽(tīng)起來(lái)輕松而自信,。
4月初與《財(cái)富》雜志的電話采訪時(shí),,他正在反思過(guò)去一年的動(dòng)蕩。他說(shuō),,盡管可能會(huì)很痛苦,,但對(duì)公司來(lái)說(shuō),2020年是“關(guān)鍵的一年”,,“不僅因?yàn)橐咔?、?jīng)濟(jì)以及對(duì)產(chǎn)品的需求,也因?yàn)閹醉?xiàng)因素結(jié)合在一起,?!彼忉屨f(shuō),自己和領(lǐng)導(dǎo)團(tuán)隊(duì)剛在2019年秋季制定了重組計(jì)劃,。新冠疫情的沖擊推動(dòng)全公司更快的行動(dòng),。“疫情確實(shí)加快了行動(dòng)節(jié)奏,,也讓全公司深刻了解了緊迫性,。”
2017年1月1日,,伍德倫接替雷克斯?蒂勒森擔(dān)任董事長(zhǎng)兼首席執(zhí)行官時(shí),,??松梨谒坪醪⒉恍枰卮蟾母铩J聦?shí)上,,伍德倫執(zhí)掌的第一個(gè)全年,,公司利潤(rùn)高達(dá)197億美元,“平均資本回報(bào)率”達(dá)9%,,比之前一年增長(zhǎng)一倍以上,,這也是公司向來(lái)最鐘愛(ài)的指標(biāo)。
但蒂勒森離任前往特朗普政府擔(dān)任國(guó)務(wù)卿之前幾年里,,公司債務(wù)急劇上升,。很快公司內(nèi)外都發(fā)現(xiàn),蒂勒森給伍德倫留下了一堆爛攤子,。
蒂勒森的失誤之一是,,2010年在頁(yè)巖氣熱潮如火如荼之時(shí)收購(gòu)了得克薩斯州的頁(yè)巖公司XTO,還出了350億美元的高價(jià),。
為了刺激增長(zhǎng),伍德倫采用了??松梨诘湫偷淖龇?,押寶大型項(xiàng)目,一旦油價(jià)上漲就會(huì)獲得豐厚利潤(rùn),。根據(jù)他的重組計(jì)劃,,公司2025年前每年運(yùn)營(yíng)支出將增加300億至350億美元,重點(diǎn)放在“五大”特別有希望的大型油氣項(xiàng)目上,,從得克薩斯的二疊紀(jì)盆地到圭亞那再到莫桑比克,,與此同時(shí)拋售其他資產(chǎn)。
伍德倫預(yù)計(jì),,到2025年日產(chǎn)量將躍升至相當(dāng)于200萬(wàn)桶石油水平,,收益可以翻一番。
然后疫情打亂了伍德倫的算盤(pán),。國(guó)際能源署的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,,2020年全球石油需求較2019年下降了880萬(wàn)桶/天,價(jià)格降幅更大,。(2020年4月交易中,,每桶石油的成本甚至短時(shí)間降到每桶負(fù)38美元。)
伍德倫立即削減了30%的資本支出,,并表示到2023年成本將減少60億美元,。然而,??松梨诘墓上⒊杀静⑽词苡绊?。
英國(guó)石油和殼牌在經(jīng)歷巨額虧損后,,2020年都減少了股息,??松梨趨s不一樣,,即便舉債也要保持穩(wěn)定派息。
據(jù)現(xiàn)任和前任員工透露,,帶領(lǐng)公司應(yīng)對(duì)種種挑戰(zhàn)的過(guò)程中,,伍德倫也在努力爭(zhēng)取埃克森美孚員工認(rèn)同,。他在首席執(zhí)行官職位上兩位前輩都很難效仿,。
李?雷蒙德風(fēng)格出了名的強(qiáng)硬,1999年曾經(jīng)主導(dǎo)從J?D?洛克菲勒旗下的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)石油公司分拆出的??松兔梨诤喜?,而且一直領(lǐng)導(dǎo)到2005年。
蒂勒森也是耀眼而有魅力的領(lǐng)袖,。相比之下,,伍德倫更為保守。他在得州農(nóng)工大學(xué)攻讀工程專業(yè)后,,職業(yè)生涯全在??松梨冢枪颈J?、命令控制型文化的產(chǎn)物,,晉升時(shí)被認(rèn)為言辭犀利且直率。但他的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)風(fēng)格并未激勵(lì)多少員工,,還讓很多人感覺(jué)不舒服,。
舉個(gè)例子,現(xiàn)任和前任員工指出,,伍德倫在擔(dān)任首席執(zhí)行官大約一年后曾經(jīng)召開(kāi)全員會(huì)議,,結(jié)果卻非常糟。
伍德倫即席發(fā)表講話,,為競(jìng)爭(zhēng)激烈且極不受歡迎的員工排名制度辯護(hù)稱,,此舉能夠確保精英領(lǐng)導(dǎo)。
一位當(dāng)時(shí)在場(chǎng)的員工表示,,他還回憶起有一次解雇一名哭泣的女員工,,一年后,那名女員工回來(lái)感謝他給自己機(jī)會(huì)尋找新崗位,。該次會(huì)議給人留下的印象是伍德倫聽(tīng)不出別人的言外之意,,而且很傲慢。
一位前高級(jí)經(jīng)理說(shuō),公司內(nèi)部認(rèn)為該起事件堪稱“車(chē)禍”,,而且消息在公司里迅速傳開(kāi),。當(dāng)回答有關(guān)全員會(huì)議的問(wèn)題時(shí),??松梨诘陌l(fā)言人提供了一份聲明稱:“伍德倫繼續(xù)與員工定期接觸交談,,參與全員會(huì)議,聽(tīng)取員工反饋,,領(lǐng)導(dǎo)公司時(shí)將加以考慮,。”
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ENGINE NO. 1迅速向全世界表明了來(lái)意,。
12月7日,,新成立的激進(jìn)投資公司在公開(kāi)市場(chǎng)部署了2.5億美元的資金,以??松梨跒槟繕?biāo)發(fā)起了第一次行動(dòng),。該基金在一份聲明中宣布了開(kāi)場(chǎng)白:“在石油天然氣歷史上,沒(méi)有哪家公司的影響力可以超過(guò)??松梨?。”
不過(guò)“很明顯,,整個(gè)行業(yè)和世界都在發(fā)生變化,,埃克森美孚也必須改變,。”
該公司的總部位于舊金山,,由對(duì)沖基金資深人士克里斯?詹姆斯創(chuàng)立,,他是Partner fund Management和Andor Capital Management的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人。
在針對(duì)??松梨诘男袆?dòng)中,,這家公司爭(zhēng)取到美國(guó)最大幾家養(yǎng)老基金的支持。還聲稱,,??松梨诘亩聲?huì)成員中沒(méi)有人深入了解能源行業(yè),所以無(wú)法領(lǐng)導(dǎo)綠色轉(zhuǎn)型,。
于是ENGINE NO. 1挑選了四位資歷合適的候選人加入董事會(huì),。其中一位是美國(guó)石油天然氣公司Andeavor的前首席執(zhí)行官;還有一位曾經(jīng)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)一家芬蘭的能源公司向可再生燃料轉(zhuǎn)型,。
有人可能認(rèn)為,,由于埃克森美孚長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)在氣候變化問(wèn)題上態(tài)度頑固,與Engine No. 1的斗爭(zhēng)是迄今為止最艱巨的挑戰(zhàn),。
前首席執(zhí)行官雷蒙德曾經(jīng)多次質(zhì)疑氣候變化,。在蒂勒森的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)下,??松梨诠_(kāi)承認(rèn)氣候變化確實(shí)存在,。
Union of Concerned Scientists卻在一份報(bào)告中聲稱,公司私下繼續(xù)資助有問(wèn)題的科研項(xiàng)目,,目的是混淆氣候變化相關(guān)的研究,。
埃克森美孚則表示,,報(bào)告“故意誤報(bào)”了公司在氣候變化問(wèn)題上的立場(chǎng),,指責(zé)公司所屬的貿(mào)易組織“否認(rèn)氣候變化”也毫無(wú)道理。
哥倫比亞大學(xué)薩賓氣候變化法律中心的創(chuàng)始人邁克爾?杰拉德表示,,??松梨诘倪^(guò)往記錄造成的長(zhǎng)期陰影既有聲譽(yù)方面,也有法律層面,。
目前??松梨谡诿媾R地方和州政府20起與氣候變化有關(guān)的訴訟。杰拉德說(shuō),,??松梨凇盁o(wú)疑”成為美國(guó)氣候變化相關(guān)訴訟最多的被告。到目前為止,,還沒(méi)有訴訟成功的案例,。
2019年,??松梨谠诩~約總檢察長(zhǎng)提起的訴訟中獲勝,,該案指稱埃克森美孚輕視氣候變化風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。
伍德倫本人也表現(xiàn)得要更開(kāi)放更透明應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化,。他經(jīng)常談到2015年的《巴黎協(xié)議》,在投資者陳述中也用了很長(zhǎng)篇幅來(lái)闡述,,有時(shí)甚至長(zhǎng)期批評(píng)者聽(tīng)著都煩躁,。
Union of Concerned Scientists下屬氣候能源項(xiàng)目的負(fù)責(zé)任運(yùn)動(dòng)的主任凱西?穆?tīng)柧S稱,有一次在??松梨诘哪陼?huì)上,,開(kāi)頭20分鐘伍德倫都在談環(huán)境問(wèn)題。
“如果你是剛從外太空來(lái)地球的外星人,,一落地就去開(kāi)這場(chǎng)會(huì),。”穆?tīng)柧S說(shuō),“真會(huì)以為這家公司非常重視解決氣候變化,?!?/p>
但批評(píng)人士表示,??松梨谠跉夂蜃兓瘑?wèn)題上言辭越發(fā)友好溫柔,,實(shí)際行動(dòng)卻并非如此。
舉個(gè)例子,,看看公司如何聲稱減排符合《巴黎協(xié)定》,。埃克森美孚的目標(biāo)是到2025年將上游排放削減15%至20%,,甲烷排放削減40%至50%,,僅涵蓋公司自行經(jīng)營(yíng)項(xiàng)目的排放。(在10-K報(bào)告中,,該公司稱約13%的油井并未經(jīng)營(yíng),。)
而且減排僅涉及埃克森美孚自身的排放量或項(xiàng)目使用的能源,,即所謂的經(jīng)營(yíng)性排放量或“1級(jí)”和“2級(jí)”,。英國(guó)石油和殼牌則已經(jīng)將3級(jí)目標(biāo)囊括在內(nèi),盡可能涵蓋與石油天然氣相關(guān)排放,,包括汽車(chē)和飛機(jī)使用化石燃料動(dòng)力產(chǎn)生的排放量,。
埃克森美孚表示,,之所以報(bào)告范圍限制在1級(jí)和2級(jí)排放量,,是因?yàn)槭芄局苯涌刂疲绾螆?bào)告也很清楚,,公司認(rèn)為3級(jí)排放量數(shù)據(jù)不太一致,,可能引發(fā)誤導(dǎo)。
伍德倫一直對(duì)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手的遠(yuǎn)大目標(biāo)不屑一顧,。在2020年3月與投資者進(jìn)行的一次電話會(huì)議上,,他表示同行提出的目標(biāo)更像“選美比賽”,,還指出將石油天然氣資產(chǎn)出售給“效率較低的運(yùn)營(yíng)商只會(huì)讓問(wèn)題更糟”,。
在伍德倫看來(lái),要更“全面”地解決問(wèn)題,。
當(dāng)回答有關(guān)??松梨趹?yīng)對(duì)氣候變化方法的問(wèn)題時(shí),一位發(fā)言人指出,,自2000年以來(lái),,公司在低排放技術(shù)方面的投資超過(guò)100億美元,他還說(shuō):“我們努力應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),盡力尋找解決方案,?!?/p>
但一位前員工不無(wú)遺憾地表示,??松梨趦?nèi)部的真實(shí)態(tài)度是,,不管消費(fèi)者喜不喜歡公司,還是需要公司的產(chǎn)品,。
“我們根本不打扮豬,,也不會(huì)給豬抹口紅。我們只會(huì)說(shuō):‘人人都喜歡培根,,那就閉嘴吧,。’”
當(dāng)然,,即便??松梨诘臍W洲競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手都采取更環(huán)保的政策,產(chǎn)生的影響也不夠重大,。
5月下旬,,總部位于巴黎的國(guó)際能源署發(fā)布了一份意義重大的報(bào)告稱,為在2050年前將排放量降至凈零,,從現(xiàn)在起不應(yīng)該對(duì)油氣田進(jìn)行新投資,,而各大油氣公司均未就此做出承諾。
*****
至于油氣巨頭應(yīng)該如何對(duì)付氣候變化,,??松梨诘慕Y(jié)論完全不同。
2月1日,,伍德倫宣布推出一項(xiàng)名叫“低碳解決方案”的新業(yè)務(wù),,將埃克森美孚一直在開(kāi)發(fā)的技術(shù)商業(yè)化,。首先從碳捕獲和儲(chǔ)存開(kāi)始,,即捕獲并阻止燃燒提取化石燃料產(chǎn)生的二氧化碳進(jìn)入大氣層。
伍德倫表示,,從2021年到2025年,,埃克森美孚將在低碳解決方案上投資30億美元,。
Engine No. 1聲稱,,公司迫于投資者的壓力才改變氣候變化方面的言論。伍德倫稱,,只是時(shí)機(jī)合適而已,。
他說(shuō),,風(fēng)能和太陽(yáng)能“雖然很重要”,但并不是“完整的解決方案”,,多年來(lái)該公司一直努力提升CCS技術(shù),。他表示,目標(biāo)不僅是幫自家公司抵消排放量,,還要建立新業(yè)務(wù),,畢竟各企業(yè)紛紛做出凈零排放承諾,都要想辦法抵消排放量,。當(dāng)然,,政治風(fēng)向也發(fā)生了轉(zhuǎn)變。
“我認(rèn)為,,拜登政府的改革以及重視減排都為加快技術(shù)推進(jìn)提供了助力,,也為我們開(kāi)展技術(shù)和碳捕獲方面工作并轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)槿娴臉I(yè)務(wù)奠定了基礎(chǔ)?!蔽榈聜愓f(shuō),。
但到目前為止,除了已經(jīng)宣布的內(nèi)容,,新成立的合資公司并未宣布新項(xiàng)目,。
專家和分析人士還表示,如果沒(méi)有新激勵(lì)措施,,首先就是自2009年以來(lái),,埃克森美孚一直公開(kāi)支持的征收碳排放稅,,目前在美國(guó)啟動(dòng)大型CCS項(xiàng)目并不劃算,。
埃克森美孚并未反對(duì),。談到利用CCS項(xiàng)目盈利時(shí),,
“美國(guó)還沒(méi)有推動(dòng)此類項(xiàng)目的激勵(lì)架構(gòu)?!鄙w伊?鮑威爾表示,,他從2018年就開(kāi)始在埃克森美孚內(nèi)部領(lǐng)導(dǎo)CCS項(xiàng)目,,目前正在協(xié)助領(lǐng)導(dǎo)低碳解決方案,。“但我們確實(shí)看到了潛在的政治意愿,,即建立正確的激勵(lì)機(jī)制,、監(jiān)管和法律結(jié)構(gòu)以實(shí)現(xiàn)目標(biāo),?!滨U威爾說(shuō),,公司正在與決策者接洽,其他項(xiàng)目也在進(jìn)行中,。
盡管??松梨谧苑Q在捕獲CCS方面全球領(lǐng)先,但批評(píng)人士認(rèn)為,,這項(xiàng)技術(shù)也有難題:該公司的方法側(cè)重于“提高石油采收率”,,即向地下注入二氧化碳以排出更多石油,并不僅是為了減少碳排放進(jìn)行長(zhǎng)期封存,。
鮑威爾指出,,美國(guó)目前的大部分CCS工作都是為了石油開(kāi)采,石油天然氣行業(yè)已經(jīng)使用數(shù)十年的技術(shù)與長(zhǎng)期封存相比需要“不同的技術(shù)和操作”,。但他認(rèn)為,,最終結(jié)果都一樣。
“只是過(guò)程不同,,最終結(jié)果都是將二氧化碳安全留在地面上,。”鮑威爾說(shuō),。
一些行業(yè)分析師公開(kāi)質(zhì)疑新業(yè)務(wù)的價(jià)值,。“這不僅是概念,,比起資本轉(zhuǎn)移更是發(fā)展方向調(diào)整,。”跟蹤??松梨诘幕ㄆ於驴偨?jīng)理阿拉斯泰爾?賽姆表示,。
“我認(rèn)為此舉主要為了游說(shuō)?!?/p>
*****
在Engine No. 1與??松梨诖頇?quán)之爭(zhēng)公開(kāi)以來(lái)的幾個(gè)月里,基金與能源巨頭攤牌的賭注逐漸提高,。
自年初以來(lái),,埃克森美孚董事會(huì)已經(jīng)增加三名新成員,,其中包括馬來(lái)西亞國(guó)家能源公司前首席執(zhí)行官,,也是激進(jìn)投資者杰弗里?烏本,他是總部位于舊金山的對(duì)沖基金ValueAct Capital的創(chuàng)始人,。
但Engine No. 1支持者越來(lái)越多,。美國(guó)三大養(yǎng)老基金均已經(jīng)公開(kāi)支持,包括加州雇員退休基金,、加州教師退休基金和紐約州共同退休基金,,還有管理資產(chǎn)超過(guò)1萬(wàn)億美元的英國(guó)資產(chǎn)管理公司法通,。包括機(jī)構(gòu)股東服務(wù)公司和Glass Lewis在內(nèi)四家主要代理咨詢公司支持Engine No. 1更換部分董事會(huì)成員。
Glass Lewis在報(bào)告中稱:“雖然??松梨诼暦Q戰(zhàn)略有所發(fā)展,,在石油巨頭中也保住了歷來(lái)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)地位,但我們認(rèn)為,,該公司競(jìng)爭(zhēng)地位和財(cái)務(wù)回報(bào)均受到影響,,其宣稱能夠徹底解決業(yè)績(jī)下滑的策略基本上作用不大?!?/p>
在投票的前一天晚上,,激進(jìn)投資者一方再下一城,路透社報(bào)道稱全球最大的資產(chǎn)管理公司貝萊德已經(jīng)投票支持Engine No. 1四位候選人中的三位,。
最終投票成功與否將取決于其他機(jī)構(gòu)巨頭先鋒和道富銀行支持哪一方,。
伍德倫陳述觀點(diǎn)時(shí)一直咄咄逼人。在一季度財(cái)報(bào)電話會(huì)議上回應(yīng)分析師的問(wèn)題時(shí),,他堅(jiān)定支持??松梨诂F(xiàn)任董事會(huì)的專業(yè)性,還表示公司與股東打交道的方式已經(jīng)改變,。
“我們收到反饋就會(huì)回應(yīng),。”他說(shuō),。
Engine No. 1則表示,,埃克森美孚已經(jīng)錯(cuò)失就如何應(yīng)對(duì)長(zhǎng)期氣候變化展開(kāi)認(rèn)真辯論的機(jī)會(huì),。
在發(fā)起代理權(quán)爭(zhēng)斗之前,,“埃克森美孚驕傲的回應(yīng)空無(wú)一物,?!盓ngine No. 1的積極行動(dòng)負(fù)責(zé)人查理?彭納說(shuō),他也領(lǐng)導(dǎo)了??松梨诖頇?quán)之爭(zhēng),。“發(fā)現(xiàn)可能保不住董事會(huì)席位后,,他們沒(méi)有積極辯論,,而是穿上另一隊(duì)制服然后全力逃避?!?/p>
他們的制服就是能源轉(zhuǎn)型,。
即便埃克森美孚沒(méi)有撤換董事會(huì)成員,,本次動(dòng)蕩會(huì)不會(huì)迫使??松梨谡嬲兏??業(yè)內(nèi)觀察人士對(duì)此意見(jiàn)不一。
有人說(shuō),,本次事件是在警告,世界不斷變化,,??松梨谝膊荒塥?dú)善其身。
其他人說(shuō),,石油巨頭很可能會(huì)恢復(fù)正常經(jīng)營(yíng),,尤其是如果石油天然氣價(jià)格繼續(xù)上漲,??松梨诘墓蓛r(jià)也會(huì)走高,。截至5月下旬,自年初以來(lái)的??松梨诠蓛r(jià)已經(jīng)上漲41%,。
當(dāng)問(wèn)起伍德倫埃克森美孚員工對(duì)公司未來(lái)有何疑問(wèn)時(shí),,他相當(dāng)謹(jǐn)慎,。
“內(nèi)部的問(wèn)題與外部的問(wèn)題比較一致?!彼f(shuō),,“由于社會(huì)需求也渴望低碳密集型能源,如何隨著時(shí)間推移實(shí)現(xiàn)這種需求,?對(duì)公司有何影響,?如何穩(wěn)妥執(zhí)掌公司,順利渡過(guò)轉(zhuǎn)型,?”
他的語(yǔ)調(diào)一如既往地沉穩(wěn):“我們的工作是滿足社會(huì)不斷變化的需求,。歷來(lái)都是這么做的?!?/p>
別催他,,等等看。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:馮豐
審校:夏林
WHEN IT COMES to trash-talking, Exxon Mobil CEO Darren Woods isn’t exactly on par with, say, NBA legend Michael Jordan or former Dallas Cowboys All-Pro Deion “Prime Time” Sanders. At least in public, the buttoned-up Big Oil executive typically speaks in a near-monotone drone, softened slightly by his light Texas drawl, and chooses his words so carefully as to suggest a curated blandness. That understated presentation style was on display once again in late April when Woods announced the oil and gas giant’s first-quarter earnings. And yet, behind the Exxon-speak, there was an unmistakable note of triumph, perhaps even a hint of defiance.
On the webcast call with Wall Street analysts, Woods pointed out that a year of tumult—a pandemic, the resulting waves of lockdowns, and tumbling crude consumption—had done nothing to change the energy giant’s perspective on the world. And he offered that Exxon’s $2. 7 billion profit in the first three months of 2021, helped by rebounding oil and gas prices, was proof that the company’s strategy was right. “We knew economies would recover, populations and living standards would continue to grow—ultimately driving demand for our products and industry recovery.” Woods said. Meanwhile, he noted, the efforts by the company over the past few years to restructure and reinvest had paid off: “We are a stronger company with an improving outlook.”
Translation: Take that, haters.
The strong quarter was a much-needed win both for Woods and his company after a year in which once-mighty Exxon has suffered a series of painful indignities. Collapsing oil prices caused Exxon’s revenues to sink by some $83 billion in 2020 compared with the year before and sent the energy titan tumbling in this year’s Fortune 500, from No. 3 down to No. 10—Exxon’s lowest-ever spot in the rankings. Worse still, after more than two decades without a negative quarter, the company took a record $22. 4 billion loss in 2020. That made it the biggest money-loser in the Fortune 500 by a wide margin. In August, Exxon was removed from the Dow Jones industrial average after 92 consecutive years as a member of the 30-company index, and replaced by software giant Salesforce. Adding further insult to injury, Exxon’s longtime rival Chevron (No. 27 on this year’s Fortune 500, down 12 spots) kept its place in the Dow. That had to sting.
By April 2021, both Moody’s and S&P Global had downgraded Exxon’s debt for a second time in just over a year. The reason? Increased pressure to address climate change combined with the highest debt levels in Exxon’s history—a by-product of aggressive investments intended to boost the company’s oil and gas production. The company’s net debt-to-capital ratio has risen from 16. 5% to 27. 8% in the past five years, and its total debt load increased by nearly $21 billion last year alone.
The setbacks have given an oil-rig-size opening to Exxon’s critics, who argue that the company’s fortunes have been on the wane for years. Look no further than its market performance. Exxon has long enjoyed a reputation among investors as perhaps Big Oil’s most disciplined operator—so cash-rich that it could invest during downturns and capitalize in booms. Love it or hate it, Exxon was the oil stock you could count on. But over the past five years, its shares have fallen 32% while Chevron’s have risen 6% and the S&P 500 has soared 102%. Exxon also lags rivals BP (down 16%) and Shell(down 21%) over the same period.
The news, reported by the Wall Street Journal in January, that Exxon and Chevron had held preliminary merger discussions raised even more questions about the future direction of the company. (Exxon declined to comment on the report.)
Underpinning all the tumult is a suspicion that Exxon's long-established world view—of oil and gas being at the center of economic growth for decades to come—has become financially shaky, even deeply risky, in a new age of energy transition away from fossil fuels and toward more sustainable sources. While peers like BP, Shell, and France's Total have made commitments to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 and have said they will accelerate investments in wind and solar, Exxon has dragged its feet on investing in anything outside its core oil and gas business.
Sensing weakness, activist investors—led by a newly created investment firm called Engine No. 1—have launched a proxy battle challenging Exxon over its lack of action on an alternative energy strategy. They are seeking to remake the company's board with a slate of four new directors who, they argue, can help guide Exxon's long-overdue evolution. In response, Woods has announced a series of overhaul initiatives-in particular, the launch of a new business to commercialize Exxon's low-carbon technology-that have been received with raised eyebrows by a wide range of skeptical observers, who view the moves as half measures and distractions. As Fortune went to press, the two sides were gearing up for a showdown at Exxon's annual meeting in late May.
Problems are brewing for Woods inside Exxon, too. Morale has been hurt by the company's plan to lay off 15% of its workforce, cutting some 14, 000 jobs, including contractors.
And four years into his tenure as CEO, Woods has become a divisive figure for many at the company, according to interviews with current and former Exxon employees from all levels and departments. He is criticized by some as lacking the blustery defiance and swagger of his predecessors in the corner office, and by others as not being more of a visionary change agent.
Woods insists that the company's strategy doesn't rely on higher oil prices. But he appears to be banking on the success of a classic Exxon tactic in times of trouble: push ahead and wait for the cost of a barrel to rise. The higher that crude goes-the price surged from $37 at the end of October to $68 as of late May-the better the odds that the strategy succeeds. And at a moment when the company arguably is under more pressure to change than at any point in its 135-year history, the bigger question is this: Does it even want to?
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WOODS SOUNDS RELAXED and confident. In a phone conversation with Fortune in early April, he is reflecting on the turbulence of the past year. Painful as it might have been, 2020 was “a pivotal year" for Exxon, he says, “not only because of what happened with the pandemic and the economy and the demand for the products that we produce, but it was also a time when I think several things came together. "The CEO and his leadership team had just completed a reorganization plan in the fall of 2019, he explains. And the fallout from COVID-19 pushed the entire organization to move faster. “The pandemic really accelerated the effort there and gave the organization a better understanding of the urgency.”
Exxon didn’t appear to be in need of a major overhaul when Woods succeeded Rex Tillerson as chairman and CEO on Jan. 1, 2017. Indeed, in Woods’ first full year at the helm, the company earned a hefty $19. 7 billion profit, and its “return on average capital employed”—a metric traditionally beloved by the company- was 9 %, or more than double that of the previous year. But its debt had risen sharply in the years before Tillerson's departure to serve a stint as secretary of state in the Trump administration. And it soon became clear, inside and outside the company, that Tillerson had left Woods with a mess to clean up. Among Tillerson's missteps: overpaying in the $35 billion acquisition or the Texas shale company XTO in 2010. when the shale boom was in full swing.
To jump-start growth, Woods adopted a quintessentially Exxon approach: He decided to bet on big projects that would pay off handsomely when oil prices rose. His reorganization plan called for the company to bump up operational spending by 30 billion to $35 billion every year through 2025, focusing on a "big five" of particularly promising, largescale oil and gas projects - from the Permian Basin in Texas to Guyana to Mozambique-- while selling off other assets. Woods projected that plan would result in a jump to s million equivalent barrels of oil per day, and double earnings, by 2025.
Then COVID-19 changed the math. Global oil demand in 2020 dropped a historic 8. 8 million barrels per day from 2019, according to the International Energy Agency, and prices fell even more dramatically. (The cost of a barrel even dropped briefly in trading to negative $38 per barrel in April 2020.)
Woods immediately slashed capital spending by 30% and said costs would be reduced by 6 billion through 2023. Exxon's dividend, however, was one cost that remained untouched. Unlike BP and Shell, which both reduced their dividends for 2020 in the wake of large losses, Exxon kept its payout steady-even borrowing to keep it fully funded.
And as he was leading the company through these challenges, Woods was struggling to find his footing with Exxon's workforce, according to current and former employees. His two forerunners in the CEO job were a tough act to follow as front men. Lee Raymond-who in 1999 orchestrated the merger of Exxon and Mobil, reuniting two off spring of J. D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil, and led the combined company until 2005--was famously hard-charging. And Tillerson was a brash and charismatic leader in his own right. Woods, by contrast, is more publicly reserved. An Exxon lifer who studied engineering at Texas A&M, he is a product of the company's conservative, command-and-control culture and was regarded as sharp and straight talking when he landed the job. But his leadership style has failed to inspire some employees and rubbed others the wrong way.
As an example, current and former employees point to a disastrous town hall meeting about a year into Woods' tenure as CEO. Speaking off-the-cuff, Woods defended the company's rigidly competitive, deeply unpopular employee ranking system as meritocratic. He also related a story about firing a crying female employee, only for her to come back and thank him a year later for giving her the chance to pursue new opportunities, according to employees who saw the town hall. The meeting's overall effect was to give an impression of Woods as tone deaf and arrogant. Internally, the appearance was regarded as a "car crash,” says one former senior manager, and word spread rapidly within the company. In response to questions about the town hall, an Exxon spokesperson provided this statement: “Darren continues to engage and talk with employees on a regular basis, takes part in town halls, and listens to employee feedback and considers it as he leads the company.”
*****
ENGINE NO. 1 did not waste any time announcing itself to the world. On Dec. 7, the newly formed activist investment firm, with a bankroll of $250 million deployed in public markets, launched its very first campaign, with Exxon as the target. As an opening salvo, the fund said in a statement that “no company in the history of oil and gas had been more influential.”
but that “it is clear, however, that the industry and the world it operates in are changing and that Exxon Mobil must change as well.”
The San Francisco–based firm was founded by Chris James, a hedge fund veteran and cofounder of Partner Fund Management and Andor Capital Management. It’s backed in the Exxon campaign by some of the largest pension funds in the U. S. , and it asserts that Exxon’s board of directors does not include members with sufficient knowledge of the energy industry to lead a green transition. They have picked four candidates to join the board who, they say, have the right credentials. One candidate is the former CEO of Andeavor, the U. S. oil and gas company; another led the transformation of a Finnish energy company’s shift toward renewable fuel.
One might view the Engine No. 1 campaign as the most formidable challenge yet to Exxon’s long history of recalcitrance on climate change. Former CEO Raymond questioned the validity of climate change on multiple occasions. Under Tillerson, Exxon publicly acknowledged that climate change was real. But the Union of Concerned Scientists alleged in a report that, behind the scenes, the company was continuing to fund flawed research to muddy the science on the changing climate. Exxon says the report “deliberately misstates” its position on climate change, and that it “inaccurately” accuses trade organizations to which Exxon belongs of “so- called climate denial.”
The long shadow of Exxon’s record is reputational but also legal: The company is currently facing 20 lawsuits from local and state governments that are related to climate change, says Michael Gerrard, founder of Columbia University’s Sabin Center for Climate Change Law. Gerrard says that makes Exxon “far and away” the top corporate defendant for climate change–related lawsuits in the U. S. So far, no such suits have been successful; in 2019, Exxon won a case brought by the New York attorney general, which alleged that the company had downplayed the risks it faces from climate change.
Woods himself has expressed a more open, transparent approach to addressing climate change. He has spoken frequently about the 2015 Paris Agreement, and devoted such long sections of investor presentations to the topic that even longtime critics have sometimes found it jarring. At one Exxon annual meeting, Woods spoke about the environment for the first 20 minutes, says Kathy Mulvey, the accountability campaign director in the climate and energy program at the Union of Concerned Scientists. “If you were an alien dropped from outer space into that meeting,” says Mulvey, “you would have thought this was a company focused on solving climate change.”
But critics say that the kinder, gentler rhetoric on climate change isn’t matched by Exxon’s actions. Consider, for instance, the company’s claims that its emissions cuts are in line with the Paris Agreement. Exxon’s targets—to slash upstream emissions intensity by 15% to 20%, and methane intensity by 40% to 50%, by 2025—cover emissions only on projects that Exxon operates itself. (In 10-K filings, the company reported that about 13% of its wells are non-operated.) And they extend only as far as Exxon’s own emissions or energy used on those projects, known as operating emissions or “Scope 1” and “Scope 2.” BP and Shell have included targets for Scope 3, which covers the largest portion of emissions tied to oil and gas—those that come from burning the fossil fuels to power cars and airplanes. Exxon says it limits reporting to Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions because they are under the company’s direct control, and it’s clear how to report them, whereas Exxon argues Scope 3 emissions data is less consistent and can be misleading.
Woods has been dismissive of the more ambitious targets of his rivals. In a March 2020 call with investors, he referred to such targets by peers as a “beauty competition,” remarking that selling off oil and gas assets to a “l(fā)ess effective operator” has “actually made the problem worse.” Instead, Woods talks about solving the problem more “holistically.” In response to questions about the company’s approach to climate change, an Exxon spokesperson said that the company had invested more than $10 billion since 2000 in lower-emissions technology, and added: “We are committed to doing our part to address the risks of climate change and being part of the solution.”
But one former employee says ruefully that the true attitude inside Exxon is that consumers need its products, whether they like the company or not: “We don’t dress up our pig at all. We don’t even put lipstick on the pig. We just say, ‘Everyone likes bacon, so shut up.’”
Of course, even the more climate- friendly policies of Exxon’s European rivals may not be going far enough to make a meaningful difference. In a landmark report released in late May, the Paris-based International Energy Agency said that in order to have any hope of cutting emissions to net zero by 2050, no new investments must be made in oil and gas fields at all from now on—a pledge that none of the major oil and gas companies have made.
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WHEN IT COMES TO the question of what, exactly, an oil and gas giant should do about climate change, Exxon has come to a different conclusion. On Feb. 1, Woods announced the launch of a new business, Low Carbon Solutions, to commercialize technologies that Exxon has been developing. It will start, first and foremost, with carbon capture and storage, or CCS—a process in which carbon dioxide from burning or extracting fossil fuels is trapped and prevented from reaching the atmosphere. Woods said Exxon would invest $3 billion in Low Carbon Solutions from 2021 through 2025.
Engine No. 1 claims the company has changed its rhetoric on climate change in response to investor pressure. But Woods says the timing was simply right. Wind and solar power “while important” aren’t a “complete solution,” he says, and the company has been working on CCS technology for years. The aim is not just to offset their own emissions but to build out a new business: Given the explosion of net-zero commitments by companies, those same companies are going to need a way to offset their emissions, he says. There has also been, of course, a shift in the political winds.
“I think the Biden administration change, and the emphasis that they’re putting on that, put an accelerant in that process, and so really provided the underpinnings for us to take that work that we’ve been doing on technology and carbon capture and change that into a full-blown business.” says Woods.
But so far the new venture hasn’t announced any projects beyond what it had already made public. Experts and analysts also say that without new incentives, first and foremost a carbon tax—an option that Exxon Mobil has publicly backed since 2009—it is not currently economical to launch large CCS projects in the U. S.
Exxon doesn’t disagree. When it comes to making CCS projects profit- able, “I would say that the U. S. is not there in terms of incentive structure to make something like this happen.” says Guy Powell, who has led Exxon’s CCS ventures internally since 2018 and is now helping to lead Low Carbon Solutions. “But we do see potentially the political will to put in the right incentives, regulatory and legal structures in place, to make that happen.” The company is engaging with policymakers, Powell said, and has other projects in the works.
While Exxon asserts that it is the world’s leader in capturing CCS, critics argue that the expertise comes with a catch: The company’s approach is focused on “enhanced oil recovery,” a method that injects CO2 into the ground in order to push more oil out, rather than solely long-term sequestration for the explicit purpose of reducing carbon emissions.
Powell says that, indeed, most of the current CCS efforts in the U. S. are for the purpose of oil extraction, and that the technique, used by the oil and gas industry for decades, requires “different applications of technology and operations” than long-term sequestration. But he argues that the end result is the same. “It is a different process, but the net result is that the CO2 stays securely in the ground,” says Powell.
Some industry analysts are openly skeptical about the value of the new venture. “It’s more than a concept, but it’s a direction rather than a big capital shift,” says Alastair Syme, a managing director at Citi who follows Exxon. “I would interpret that as part of the lobbying effort.”
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IN THE MONTHS since Engine No. 1 went public with its proxy battle against Exxon, the stakes of the showdown between the fund and the energy giant have steadily been raised. In what appears to be a direct response to Engine No. 1’s proposed slate of new directors, Exxon has added three new members to its board since the start of the year, including the former CEO of the Malaysian state energy company as well as activist investor Jeffrey Ubben, the founder of the San Francisco–based hedge fund ValueAct Capital.
But Engine No. 1’s campaign continues to gain supporters. It has been backed publicly by three of the largest pension funds in the U. S. —Calpers, Calstrs, and the New York State Common Retirement Fund—as well as Legal & General, a U. K. asset manager with more than $1 trillion in assets. Four major proxy advisers, including Institutional Shareholder Services and Glass Lewis, the two largest voting advisories in the U. S. , have offered Engine No. 1 support for at least some of its proposed board members. Said Glass Lewis in its report: “While Exxon claims to have evolved its strategy and maintained its historical leadership position among oil majors, our review finds the company’s competitive position and financial returns have eroded, and its stated strategy to address the underlying reasons for this diminished performance is generally insufficient.”
The night before the vote, the campaign won another coup when Reuters reported that BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, had voted for three of Engine No. 1’s four candidates. The success of the vote would hinge on the support of other institutional giants Vanguard and State Street.
Woods has been aggressive in making his case. Responding to a question from an analyst in the first-quarter earnings call, the CEO staunchly defended the expertise of Exxon’s current board, and said the company has changed how it engages with shareholders. “I think we are responding to the feedback that we get.” he said.
Engine No. 1 says that Exxon has missed an opportunity to have a serious debate over what should be done about climate change in the long term. Before the campaign, “Exxon’s proud answer was nothing.” says Charlie Penner, head of active engagement at Engine No. 1 and the leader of the Exxon proxy battle. “But once there was a risk of losing board seats, rather than having that debate, they just threw on the other team’s uniform”—that is, an energy-transition uniform—“and tried to avoid it.”
Will the campaign force real change at Exxon, even if it doesn’t unseat any board members? Industry observers are divided. Some say it has served as a warning shot that the world is changing, and Exxon is not immune. Others say it’s likely that the oil giant will get back to business as usual—especially if oil and gas prices continue to rise, driving up the value of Exxon’s shares in the process. As of late May, Exxon’s stock was up 41% since the start of the year.
When asked what questions Exxon employees ask him about the future of the company, Woods is circumspect. “The questions internally are very consistent with the external questions.” he says, “which is, you know, given the demand and the desire for less carbon intensive energy sources, how does that demand realize itself with time? And what’s the impact on the company? And how do we think about managing through that transition?” He continues in a reassuring tone: “Our job here is to meet the evolving demands of society. And that’s what we have historically done.” Just don’t rush him.