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鈾礦板塊有可能誕生下一只網(wǎng)紅股

Sophie Mellor
2021-09-16

9月13日,在線投資論壇上的散戶們紛紛盯上了鈾礦開(kāi)采公司,。

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由于投資者認(rèn)為核燃料將成為全世界能源系統(tǒng)脫碳的核心工具,,因此鈾這種放射性物質(zhì)的價(jià)格上漲,9月13日,,Reddit“華爾街賭注”(WallStreetBets)論壇上的散戶們紛紛盯上了鈾礦開(kāi)采公司,。

在澳大利亞悉尼上市的鈾礦開(kāi)采公司Peninsula Energy、Energy Resources of Australia和Bannerman Energy的股價(jià)過(guò)去幾天上漲了40%,。在倫敦,,礦業(yè)公司Aura Energy的股價(jià)暴漲超過(guò)75%,作為鈾礦交易所交易基金的Yellow Cake股價(jià)上漲了15%,。而在紐約,,鈾礦期貨的價(jià)格在過(guò)去一個(gè)月上漲了40%,達(dá)到42.40美元,,創(chuàng)下七年來(lái)的最高水平,。

在日本,下任首相的熱門人選岸田文雄突然改變了對(duì)核電的立場(chǎng),,并表示核能對(duì)于日本實(shí)現(xiàn)凈零排放目標(biāo)必不可少,。之后,日本公用事業(yè)公司東京電力(TEPCO),、關(guān)西電力(Kansai)和四國(guó)電力(Shikoku Electric Power)的股價(jià)均大幅上漲,。

9月14日,鈾礦相關(guān)板塊的股票基本保持穩(wěn)定或持續(xù)上漲,,沒(méi)有表現(xiàn)出這波行情即將結(jié)束甚至進(jìn)入衰退期的任何跡象,。

鈾礦開(kāi)采商的股價(jià)暴漲之前,在多倫多上市的Sprott實(shí)物鈾信托基金(Sprott Physical Uranium Trust)曾經(jīng)大肆掃貨,,上周買入了約85萬(wàn)磅鈾,,之前一周共購(gòu)買了140萬(wàn)磅。投資者通過(guò)該基金可以直接擁有鈾敞口,。

該信托基金自7月創(chuàng)立以來(lái),,共買入了約2500萬(wàn)磅鈾,,而根據(jù)世界核能協(xié)會(huì)(World Nuclear Association)統(tǒng)計(jì),,2019年的鈾開(kāi)采供應(yīng)總量只有約1.2億磅。

核能和鈾作為能源系統(tǒng)脫碳的工具,,日益引起人們的關(guān)注,。核電能夠提供可靠的,、低成本、低碳電力,,而且許多國(guó)家正在將核能視為一種基載能源,,用于填補(bǔ)間歇式可再生能源發(fā)電的缺口,并取代化石燃料,。

對(duì)未來(lái)能源系統(tǒng)的豪賭,,在某種程度上刺激了華爾街賭注論壇的熱情。這個(gè)論壇上的散戶一手推動(dòng)了網(wǎng)紅股游戲驛站(GameStop)的暴漲,。在鈾礦板塊股價(jià)上漲之前,,該論壇的用戶一直在分析該視頻游戲零售商與鈾之間的相似之處。

據(jù)跟蹤股票代碼提及次數(shù)的網(wǎng)站SwaggyStocks統(tǒng)計(jì),,Reddit用戶談?wù)摕岫扰旁诘诙坏墓臼羌幽么蟮腃ameco Corp.,。該公司是全球最大的上市鈾生產(chǎn)商之一,其股價(jià)在9月13日和9月14日均上漲12%,。

摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的策略師馬里厄斯·范斯特拉滕和蘇珊·拜特斯在一篇投資者報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道:“在Sprott的實(shí)物鈾信托的刺激下,,投資者對(duì)鈾產(chǎn)生了興趣,成為這波上漲的推動(dòng)力,,這不是秘密,。”

兩位分析師表示,,由于自從Sprott大肆買入以來(lái),,鈾的供需基本面沒(méi)有發(fā)生變化,因此未來(lái)投資者會(huì)用批判地驗(yàn)光看待這波上漲行情的可持續(xù)性,。分析師稱:“煤炭和天然氣會(huì)因?yàn)槭袌?chǎng)緊縮而價(jià)格上漲,,但鈾的供需基本面在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月并沒(méi)有發(fā)生顯著變化,不足以支撐這輪暴漲,?!?/p>

2月,Reddit上出現(xiàn)了一個(gè)新論壇r/UraniumSqueeze,,該論壇的主題是深入討論與鈾投資有關(guān)的所有話題,,主要面向“對(duì)鈾市場(chǎng)感興趣的”投資者和交易商,目前已經(jīng)吸引了14000名成員,。該論壇號(hào)稱是比華爾街賭注更嚴(yán)格的論壇,,并表示為了維護(hù)其作為一個(gè)討論鈾投資的嚴(yán)肅平臺(tái)的公正性,不會(huì)炒作任何網(wǎng)紅股,。

但華爾街賭注論壇卻依舊樂(lè)此不疲,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

由于投資者認(rèn)為核燃料將成為全世界能源系統(tǒng)脫碳的核心工具,因此鈾這種放射性物質(zhì)的價(jià)格上漲,,9月13日,,Reddit“華爾街賭注”(WallStreetBets)論壇上的散戶們紛紛盯上了鈾礦開(kāi)采公司,。

在澳大利亞悉尼上市的鈾礦開(kāi)采公司Peninsula Energy、Energy Resources of Australia和Bannerman Energy的股價(jià)過(guò)去幾天上漲了40%,。在倫敦,,礦業(yè)公司Aura Energy的股價(jià)暴漲超過(guò)75%,作為鈾礦交易所交易基金的Yellow Cake股價(jià)上漲了15%,。而在紐約,,鈾礦期貨的價(jià)格在過(guò)去一個(gè)月上漲了40%,達(dá)到42.40美元,,創(chuàng)下七年來(lái)的最高水平,。

在日本,下任首相的熱門人選岸田文雄突然改變了對(duì)核電的立場(chǎng),,并表示核能對(duì)于日本實(shí)現(xiàn)凈零排放目標(biāo)必不可少,。之后,日本公用事業(yè)公司東京電力(TEPCO),、關(guān)西電力(Kansai)和四國(guó)電力(Shikoku Electric Power)的股價(jià)均大幅上漲,。

9月14日,鈾礦相關(guān)板塊的股票基本保持穩(wěn)定或持續(xù)上漲,,沒(méi)有表現(xiàn)出這波行情即將結(jié)束甚至進(jìn)入衰退期的任何跡象,。

鈾礦開(kāi)采商的股價(jià)暴漲之前,在多倫多上市的Sprott實(shí)物鈾信托基金(Sprott Physical Uranium Trust)曾經(jīng)大肆掃貨,,上周買入了約85萬(wàn)磅鈾,,之前一周共購(gòu)買了140萬(wàn)磅。投資者通過(guò)該基金可以直接擁有鈾敞口,。

該信托基金自7月創(chuàng)立以來(lái),,共買入了約2500萬(wàn)磅鈾,而根據(jù)世界核能協(xié)會(huì)(World Nuclear Association)統(tǒng)計(jì),,2019年的鈾開(kāi)采供應(yīng)總量只有約1.2億磅,。

核能和鈾作為能源系統(tǒng)脫碳的工具,日益引起人們的關(guān)注,。核電能夠提供可靠的,、低成本、低碳電力,,而且許多國(guó)家正在將核能視為一種基載能源,,用于填補(bǔ)間歇式可再生能源發(fā)電的缺口,并取代化石燃料,。

對(duì)未來(lái)能源系統(tǒng)的豪賭,,在某種程度上刺激了華爾街賭注論壇的熱情。這個(gè)論壇上的散戶一手推動(dòng)了網(wǎng)紅股游戲驛站(GameStop)的暴漲。在鈾礦板塊股價(jià)上漲之前,,該論壇的用戶一直在分析該視頻游戲零售商與鈾之間的相似之處。

據(jù)跟蹤股票代碼提及次數(shù)的網(wǎng)站SwaggyStocks統(tǒng)計(jì),,Reddit用戶談?wù)摕岫扰旁诘诙坏墓臼羌幽么蟮腃ameco Corp.,。該公司是全球最大的上市鈾生產(chǎn)商之一,其股價(jià)在9月13日和9月14日均上漲12%,。

摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的策略師馬里厄斯·范斯特拉滕和蘇珊·拜特斯在一篇投資者報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道:“在Sprott的實(shí)物鈾信托的刺激下,,投資者對(duì)鈾產(chǎn)生了興趣,成為這波上漲的推動(dòng)力,,這不是秘密,。”

兩位分析師表示,,由于自從Sprott大肆買入以來(lái),,鈾的供需基本面沒(méi)有發(fā)生變化,因此未來(lái)投資者會(huì)用批判地驗(yàn)光看待這波上漲行情的可持續(xù)性,。分析師稱:“煤炭和天然氣會(huì)因?yàn)槭袌?chǎng)緊縮而價(jià)格上漲,,但鈾的供需基本面在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月并沒(méi)有發(fā)生顯著變化,不足以支撐這輪暴漲,?!?/p>

2月,Reddit上出現(xiàn)了一個(gè)新論壇r/UraniumSqueeze,,該論壇的主題是深入討論與鈾投資有關(guān)的所有話題,,主要面向“對(duì)鈾市場(chǎng)感興趣的”投資者和交易商,目前已經(jīng)吸引了14000名成員,。該論壇號(hào)稱是比華爾街賭注更嚴(yán)格的論壇,,并表示為了維護(hù)其作為一個(gè)討論鈾投資的嚴(yán)肅平臺(tái)的公正性,不會(huì)炒作任何網(wǎng)紅股,。

但華爾街賭注論壇卻依舊樂(lè)此不疲,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

Retail traders from Reddit’s WallStreetBets flocked to uranium-mining companies on September 13 amid a price rally in the radioactive material, as investors bet that the nuclear fuel would become a central tool in the decarbonization of the world’s energy systems.

In Australia, Sydney-listed uranium miners Peninsula Energy, Energy Resources of Australia, and Bannerman Energy jumped by 40% over the past several days. In London, miner Aura Energy jumped more than 75% and Yellow Cake, a company that acts as an exchange-traded fund for uranium, rose 15%. Over in New York, uranium futures have been at their highest level in seven years, surging 40% over the past month to $42.40.

And in Asia, shares in Japanese utilities TEPCO, Kansai, and Shikoku Electric Power rose sharply after Fumio Kishida, the leading contender to become the country’s next prime minister, U-turned on his position on nuclear power and noted the energy source would be necessary to achieve the country’s net-zero goals.

The stocks largely stayed level or continued their rise into September 14, offering little sign that the rally had reached its end—or even its half-life.

The rally of shares in uranium miners follows on the heels of a buying spree by Sprott Physical Uranium Trust—a Toronto-listed fund that gives investors direct exposure to the metal—which bought some 850,000 pounds of the nuclear fuel last week and 1.4 million pounds the week before.

The trust has amassed around 25 million pounds of the metal since its launch in July, a big slice if one considers the total mined supply of uranium in 2019 was only around 120 million pounds, according to the World Nuclear Association.

Interest in nuclear energy and uranium as tools for decarbonizing the energy system has been growing for some time. Nuclear power can provide reliable, low-cost, low-carbon energy, and many countries are considering it as a baseload energy source to be used to fill the gaps of intermittent renewables and replace fossil fuels.

This wager on future energy systems in part pushed forward the rally by r/WallStreetBets, which is home to the same retail traders behind the rise of meme-stock GameStop. Prior to the stock rise in uranium, commenters on the forum were drawing parallels between the video game retailer and uranium.

One of the world’s largest publicly traded uranium companies, Canada’s Cameco Corp., which also rose 12% over September 13 and September 14, is the second most talked about company on Reddit, according to SwaggyStocks, a website tracking the mentions of ticker symbols.

“It is not a secret that investors’ newfound interest in uranium, predominantly through Sprott’s physical uranium trust, is the driving force behind its resurgence,” Morgan Stanley strategists Marius van Straaten and Susan Bates wrote in an investor note.

The analysts said that, moving forward, investors will cast a critical eye on the sustainability of the rally, as the baseline supply and demand fundamentals of uranium haven’t changed since Sprott’s buying spree. “While coal and natural gas prices are driven up by actual market tightness, uranium’s underlying supply-demand fundamentals haven’t meaningfully changed over the last few months to warrant this price surge,” Morgan Stanley’s analysts noted.

To further the discussion of all things related to uranium investment, a new subreddit named r/UraniumSqueeze—dedicated to investors and traders “passionate about the uranium market”—was created in February and has attracted 14,000 members. It lauds itself as a stricter forum than r/WallStreetBets, claiming it will not allow any memes in order to maintain its integrity as a serious place to discuss uranium investing.

But r/WallStreetBets is still having fun with it.

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