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加密貨幣市場(chǎng)連續(xù)大跌,與2018年熊市有何區(qū)別,?

Taylor Locke
2022-06-28

幣安認(rèn)為,,目前的狀況和2018年的加密貨幣熊市之間存在“關(guān)鍵”的區(qū)別,。

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隨著一家又一家的加密貨幣公司倒閉,,市場(chǎng)狀況變得很糟糕,。

但最大的加密貨幣交易所幣安(Binance)于6月21日在一篇博客文章中寫道,目前的狀況和2018年的加密貨幣熊市之間的“關(guān)鍵”區(qū)別是:“如今,我們的行業(yè)有更多的杠桿,?!钡軛U的類型,也就是公司之間的債務(wù),,與未償還債務(wù)金額一樣重要,。

幣安表示,有“兩種杠桿類型:快杠桿和慢杠桿”,,快杠桿出現(xiàn)在中心化交易所,“通常與期貨產(chǎn)品有關(guān)”,,而當(dāng)資金借給他人或通過去中心化金融(DeFi)協(xié)議進(jìn)行投資時(shí),,會(huì)出現(xiàn)慢杠桿。

幣安稱,,目前的多米諾骨牌效應(yīng)是由于慢杠桿從系統(tǒng)中消失,。“當(dāng)其中一家公司被清算時(shí),,受影響的貸款機(jī)構(gòu)通常需要幾天或幾周的時(shí)間才能夠意識(shí)到或承認(rèn)由此帶來的痛苦,。這些情況也會(huì)產(chǎn)生級(jí)聯(lián)效應(yīng),但傳播速度要慢得多,?!?/p>

幣安說:“我們還沒有看到這些趨勢(shì)的終結(jié)?!?/p>

隨著“級(jí)聯(lián)效應(yīng)”持續(xù)產(chǎn)生影響,,一些平臺(tái)和項(xiàng)目得到了更大企業(yè)的貸款支持。其他平臺(tái)和項(xiàng)目就沒有這么幸運(yùn)了,。但幣安寫道,,在決定拯救哪些公司時(shí),并不存在“二元情況”,,并稱一些公司“只是‘糟糕’的項(xiàng)目,。這些公司不值得被拯救?!?/p>

我最看好熊市,。

——趙長鵬(@cz_binance),2022年6月23日

“作為擁有充足現(xiàn)金儲(chǔ)備的最大行業(yè)參與者之一,,我們有責(zé)任保護(hù)用戶,。我們也有責(zé)任幫助行業(yè)參與者生存下來,并希望他們可以蓬勃發(fā)展,。即使這對(duì)我們沒有直接好處,,或者我們的投資回報(bào)率為負(fù),我們也會(huì)這樣做?!睅虐矊懙?。但是:“并非所有的救助方案都是一樣的?!?/p>

博客文章稱,,設(shè)計(jì)、管理或運(yùn)營“不善”的公司是“糟糕的項(xiàng)目”,。

幣安寫道:“可悲的是,,其中一些‘糟糕’項(xiàng)目擁有大量用戶,這些用戶通常是通過夸大的激勵(lì)措施,、‘創(chuàng)意’營銷或純粹的龐氏騙局贏得的,。救助這些公司沒有意義。不要讓經(jīng)營不善的公司延續(xù)下來,。讓它們倒閉,。讓其他更好的項(xiàng)目取代它們,而且其他更好的項(xiàng)目也將取代這些糟糕的項(xiàng)目,?!?/p>

幣安表示,其他具有“良好資質(zhì)”但卻犯了“小錯(cuò)誤”的公司能夠得到救助,。它將“良好”定義為“產(chǎn)品與市場(chǎng)契合,,在正常的市場(chǎng)條件下可以產(chǎn)生收入,良好的商業(yè)模式,,出色的團(tuán)隊(duì)”,,并表示這些錯(cuò)誤包括在支出上過于激進(jìn)或儲(chǔ)備不足。

隨著“許多項(xiàng)目”試圖與幣安合作以尋求投資,,另一家大型加密貨幣交易所正在向有需要的公司提供貸款,。6月21日,加密貨幣借貸平臺(tái)BlockFi宣布已經(jīng)與FTX簽署了一份投資條款清單,,以確保獲得2.5億美元的循環(huán)信貸額度,。

此前,6月17日的一份聲明顯示,,薩姆·班克曼-弗里德創(chuàng)立的量化交易公司Alameda Research向加密貨幣經(jīng)紀(jì)商Voyager Digital提供了循環(huán)信貸額度,。Voyager Digital表示,“考慮到當(dāng)前的加密貨幣市場(chǎng)狀況”,,該公司已經(jīng)利用了這一信貸額度,。

隨著幣安和FTX等擁有大量?jī)?chǔ)備的主要參與者關(guān)注力求生存的加密貨幣公司,他們可能會(huì)評(píng)估好的和壞的模型,,以及快杠桿和慢杠桿,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:中慧言-王芳

隨著一家又一家的加密貨幣公司倒閉,,市場(chǎng)狀況變得很糟糕。

但最大的加密貨幣交易所幣安(Binance)于6月21日在一篇博客文章中寫道,,目前的狀況和2018年的加密貨幣熊市之間的“關(guān)鍵”區(qū)別是:“如今,,我們的行業(yè)有更多的杠桿?!钡軛U的類型,,也就是公司之間的債務(wù),與未償還債務(wù)金額一樣重要,。

幣安表示,,有“兩種杠桿類型:快杠桿和慢杠桿”,快杠桿出現(xiàn)在中心化交易所,,“通常與期貨產(chǎn)品有關(guān)”,,而當(dāng)資金借給他人或通過去中心化金融(DeFi)協(xié)議進(jìn)行投資時(shí),會(huì)出現(xiàn)慢杠桿,。

幣安稱,目前的多米諾骨牌效應(yīng)是由于慢杠桿從系統(tǒng)中消失,?!爱?dāng)其中一家公司被清算時(shí),受影響的貸款機(jī)構(gòu)通常需要幾天或幾周的時(shí)間才能夠意識(shí)到或承認(rèn)由此帶來的痛苦,。這些情況也會(huì)產(chǎn)生級(jí)聯(lián)效應(yīng),,但傳播速度要慢得多?!?/p>

幣安說:“我們還沒有看到這些趨勢(shì)的終結(jié),。”

隨著“級(jí)聯(lián)效應(yīng)”持續(xù)產(chǎn)生影響,,一些平臺(tái)和項(xiàng)目得到了更大企業(yè)的貸款支持,。其他平臺(tái)和項(xiàng)目就沒有這么幸運(yùn)了。但幣安寫道,,在決定拯救哪些公司時(shí),,并不存在“二元情況”,并稱一些公司“只是‘糟糕’的項(xiàng)目,。這些公司不值得被拯救,。”

我最看好熊市,。

——趙長鵬(@cz_binance),,2022年6月23日

“作為擁有充足現(xiàn)金儲(chǔ)備的最大行業(yè)參與者之一,我們有責(zé)任保護(hù)用戶,。我們也有責(zé)任幫助行業(yè)參與者生存下來,,并希望他們可以蓬勃發(fā)展,。即使這對(duì)我們沒有直接好處,或者我們的投資回報(bào)率為負(fù),,我們也會(huì)這樣做,。”幣安寫道,。但是:“并非所有的救助方案都是一樣的,。”

博客文章稱,,設(shè)計(jì),、管理或運(yùn)營“不善”的公司是“糟糕的項(xiàng)目”。

幣安寫道:“可悲的是,,其中一些‘糟糕’項(xiàng)目擁有大量用戶,,這些用戶通常是通過夸大的激勵(lì)措施、‘創(chuàng)意’營銷或純粹的龐氏騙局贏得的,。救助這些公司沒有意義,。不要讓經(jīng)營不善的公司延續(xù)下來。讓它們倒閉,。讓其他更好的項(xiàng)目取代它們,,而且其他更好的項(xiàng)目也將取代這些糟糕的項(xiàng)目?!?/p>

幣安表示,,其他具有“良好資質(zhì)”但卻犯了“小錯(cuò)誤”的公司能夠得到救助。它將“良好”定義為“產(chǎn)品與市場(chǎng)契合,,在正常的市場(chǎng)條件下可以產(chǎn)生收入,,良好的商業(yè)模式,出色的團(tuán)隊(duì)”,,并表示這些錯(cuò)誤包括在支出上過于激進(jìn)或儲(chǔ)備不足,。

隨著“許多項(xiàng)目”試圖與幣安合作以尋求投資,另一家大型加密貨幣交易所正在向有需要的公司提供貸款,。6月21日,,加密貨幣借貸平臺(tái)BlockFi宣布已經(jīng)與FTX簽署了一份投資條款清單,以確保獲得2.5億美元的循環(huán)信貸額度,。

此前,,6月17日的一份聲明顯示,薩姆·班克曼-弗里德創(chuàng)立的量化交易公司Alameda Research向加密貨幣經(jīng)紀(jì)商Voyager Digital提供了循環(huán)信貸額度,。Voyager Digital表示,,“考慮到當(dāng)前的加密貨幣市場(chǎng)狀況”,該公司已經(jīng)利用了這一信貸額度,。

隨著幣安和FTX等擁有大量?jī)?chǔ)備的主要參與者關(guān)注力求生存的加密貨幣公司,,他們可能會(huì)評(píng)估好的和壞的模型,,以及快杠桿和慢杠桿。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:中慧言-王芳

As one crypto company after another falls, the market is in rough shape.

But there’s a “key difference” between now and crypto’s bear market in 2018, according to Binance, the largest crypto exchange, which wrote in a blog post on June 21: “There is now more leverage in our industry.” But the type of leverage, or debt firms owe to one another, is just as important as how much is outstanding.

Binance says there are “two leverage types: fast and slow,” with fast leverage being found on centralized exchanges, “often with futures products,” and slow leverage occurring when funds lend to others or to decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols to invest.

The current domino effect is due to slow leverage working its way out of the system, Binance said. “When one of these gets liquidated, the affected lenders typically take a few days or weeks to realize or admit the pain. These can also have a cascading effect, but the propagation speed is much slower.”

According to Binance, “we have not seen the end of these yet.”

As the “cascading effect” continues to play out, some platforms and projects are being supported with loans from bigger fish. Others aren’t so lucky. But it’s not “a binary situation” when deciding which firms to rescue, Binance wrote, saying some companies are “just ‘bad’ projects. These should not be saved.”

I am most bullish in bear markets.

— Binance (@cz_binance) June 23, 2022

“With our position as one of the largest industry players with healthy cash reserves, we have a duty to protect users. We also have a responsibility to help industry players survive and hopefully thrive. This is the case even if there are no direct benefits to us or we experience negative ROIs,” Binance wrote. But: “Not all bailouts are the same.”

Companies that are “poorly” designed, managed, or operated are “bad projects,” the blog post said.

“Sadly, some of these ‘bad’ projects have a large number of users, often acquired through inflated incentives, ‘creative’ marketing, or pure Ponzi schemes,” Binance wrote. “Bailouts here don't make sense. Don’t perpetuate bad companies. Let them fail. Let other better projects take their place, and they will.”

Other companies with “good qualities” that have nevertheless made “small mistakes” can be bailed out, according to Binance. It defines good as “product-market fit, generating revenue in normal market conditions, sound business models, decent teams,” and says the mistakes include being overly aggressive on spending or having insufficient reserves.

As “many projects” try to engage with Binance to potentially seek investment, another big crypto exchange is offering loans to companies in need. On June 21, crypto lending platform BlockFi announced it had signed a term sheet with FTX to secure a $250 million revolving line of credit.

This followed a statement on June 17 revealing that Alameda Research, a quant trading shop founded by Sam Bankman-Fried, had offered crypto broker Voyager Digital a revolving line of credit. Voyager Digital said it had taken the credit line "considering the current crypto market conditions."

As major players with big reserves such as Binance and FTX look out at the crypto firms struggling to survive, they will likely be assessing good and bad models, and fast and slow leverage.

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