埃隆·馬斯克本周寫道:“從根本上說,,地球人口不足,?!?/p>
馬斯克在回復(fù)有關(guān)一條人口密度的推文時(shí)說了這番話。這并非這位特斯拉億萬富翁老板第一次討論人口不足的問題,,他曾用直白的語言警告地球上的人類數(shù)量不足,。
事實(shí)上,眾所周知,,過去幾年,,馬斯克不斷警告出生率下降會(huì)威脅全球文明。
本月早些時(shí)候,,《Insider》曝光馬斯克在去年11月有兩個(gè)私生子,,這讓他成為9個(gè)孩子的父親。馬斯克隨后所發(fā)的推文似乎在證實(shí)這則新聞,,他寫道:“盡我所能幫助解決人口不足危機(jī),。”
他還補(bǔ)充道:“出生率下降是到目前為止人類文明面臨的最大威脅,?!?/p>
但美國(guó)疾病預(yù)防控制中心(Center for Disease Control and Prevention)下屬的負(fù)責(zé)匯編健康數(shù)據(jù)與科學(xué)的全國(guó)健康情況統(tǒng)計(jì)中心(National Center for Health Statistics)周二發(fā)布的最新報(bào)告顯示,2021年美國(guó)的出生率并未下降,,反而是上升了1%,。
國(guó)家生命統(tǒng)計(jì)系統(tǒng)(National Vital Statistics System)的研究人員寫道:“2021年出生人口增加1%,這是美國(guó)自2014年以來出生率首次上升,?!眹?guó)家生命統(tǒng)計(jì)系統(tǒng)隸屬于全國(guó)健康情況統(tǒng)計(jì)中心,負(fù)責(zé)根據(jù)出生數(shù)據(jù)編寫報(bào)告,。該數(shù)據(jù)基于已登記的出生證,,屬于臨時(shí)數(shù)據(jù),可能發(fā)生變化,。
美國(guó)疾控中心并未立即答復(fù)《財(cái)富》雜志的置評(píng)請(qǐng)求,。
研究人員發(fā)現(xiàn),2021年下半年,,39個(gè)州的出生人數(shù)增加,,9個(gè)州和華盛頓特區(qū)沒有變化,兩個(gè)州的出生人數(shù)下降,。出生率上升幅度最大的月份是11月和12月,,同比分別上升了6%和7%。
然而,,盡管去年出生率上升,,專家卻表示這可能并不是一次大規(guī)模嬰兒潮的開始。雖然2021年出生率上升,但2020年出生率卻下降了4%,,降至美國(guó)歷史最低,。
研究出生率的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)教授梅麗莎·S.卡尼告訴NPR:“我更傾向于認(rèn)為與疫情有關(guān)的出生率下降和反彈,只是長(zhǎng)期趨勢(shì)的小小波動(dòng),?!?
雖然美國(guó)最新的出生率上升可能只是一次短暫波動(dòng),但更多全球人口預(yù)測(cè)認(rèn)為,,人口增長(zhǎng)是長(zhǎng)期趨勢(shì)。
聯(lián)合國(guó)上周發(fā)布的報(bào)告顯示,,全球人口預(yù)計(jì)將持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)到2100年,,到時(shí)候總?cè)丝趯⑦_(dá)到104億。
預(yù)計(jì)超過一半新增人口將集中在以下8個(gè)國(guó)家:剛果民主共和國(guó),、埃及,、埃塞俄比亞、印度,、尼日利亞,、巴基斯坦、菲律賓和坦桑尼亞聯(lián)合共和國(guó),。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
埃隆·馬斯克本周寫道:“從根本上說,,地球人口不足?!?/p>
馬斯克在回復(fù)有關(guān)一條人口密度的推文時(shí)說了這番話,。這并非這位特斯拉億萬富翁老板第一次討論人口不足的問題,他曾用直白的語言警告地球上的人類數(shù)量不足,。
事實(shí)上,,眾所周知,過去幾年,,馬斯克不斷警告出生率下降會(huì)威脅全球文明,。
本月早些時(shí)候,《Insider》曝光馬斯克在去年11月有兩個(gè)私生子,,這讓他成為9個(gè)孩子的父親,。馬斯克隨后所發(fā)的推文似乎在證實(shí)這則新聞,他寫道:“盡我所能幫助解決人口不足危機(jī),?!?/p>
他還補(bǔ)充道:“出生率下降是到目前為止人類文明面臨的最大威脅?!?/p>
但美國(guó)疾病預(yù)防控制中心(Center for Disease Control and Prevention)下屬的負(fù)責(zé)匯編健康數(shù)據(jù)與科學(xué)的全國(guó)健康情況統(tǒng)計(jì)中心(National Center for Health Statistics)周二發(fā)布的最新報(bào)告顯示,,2021年美國(guó)的出生率并未下降,反而是上升了1%。
國(guó)家生命統(tǒng)計(jì)系統(tǒng)(National Vital Statistics System)的研究人員寫道:“2021年出生人口增加1%,,這是美國(guó)自2014年以來出生率首次上升,。”國(guó)家生命統(tǒng)計(jì)系統(tǒng)隸屬于全國(guó)健康情況統(tǒng)計(jì)中心,,負(fù)責(zé)根據(jù)出生數(shù)據(jù)編寫報(bào)告,。該數(shù)據(jù)基于已登記的出生證,屬于臨時(shí)數(shù)據(jù),,可能發(fā)生變化,。
美國(guó)疾控中心并未立即答復(fù)《財(cái)富》雜志的置評(píng)請(qǐng)求。
研究人員發(fā)現(xiàn),,2021年下半年,,39個(gè)州的出生人數(shù)增加,9個(gè)州和華盛頓特區(qū)沒有變化,,兩個(gè)州的出生人數(shù)下降,。出生率上升幅度最大的月份是11月和12月,同比分別上升了6%和7%,。
然而,,盡管去年出生率上升,專家卻表示這可能并不是一次大規(guī)模嬰兒潮的開始,。雖然2021年出生率上升,,但2020年出生率卻下降了4%,降至美國(guó)歷史最低,。
研究出生率的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)教授梅麗莎·S.卡尼告訴NPR:“我更傾向于認(rèn)為與疫情有關(guān)的出生率下降和反彈,,只是長(zhǎng)期趨勢(shì)的小小波動(dòng)?!?
雖然美國(guó)最新的出生率上升可能只是一次短暫波動(dòng),,但更多全球人口預(yù)測(cè)認(rèn)為,人口增長(zhǎng)是長(zhǎng)期趨勢(shì),。
聯(lián)合國(guó)上周發(fā)布的報(bào)告顯示,,全球人口預(yù)計(jì)將持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)到2100年,到時(shí)候總?cè)丝趯⑦_(dá)到104億,。
預(yù)計(jì)超過一半新增人口將集中在以下8個(gè)國(guó)家:剛果民主共和國(guó),、埃及、埃塞俄比亞,、印度,、尼日利亞、巴基斯坦,、菲律賓和坦桑尼亞聯(lián)合共和國(guó),。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
“Earth is basically empty of humans,” Elon Musk wrote this week.
The tweet, in response to a thread about population density, is not the first time that the Tesla billionaire has discussed how small the human population is, and warned in bold terms that there just aren’t enough people in the world.
In fact, Musk has become known over the last few years for raising the alarm over what he says is a declining birth rate that poses a threat to global civilization.
After Insider?reported earlier this month that he secretly fathered two children in November, which would make him the father of nine total, Musk seemed to confirm the news by tweeting: “Doing my best to help the underpopulation crisis.”
“A collapsing birth rate is the biggest danger civilization faces by far,” he added.
But a new report released Tuesday from the National Center for Health Statistics, part of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention that compiles health data and science, reveals that birth rates in the U.S. are not collapsing, and in fact rose 1% in 2021.
“The 1% increase in the number of births in 2021 was the first increase in births since 2014,” researchers for the National Vital Statistics System, the division within the NCHS that produces reports using birth data, wrote. The data, which is based on registered birth certificates, is provisional and could be subject to change.
The CDC did not immediately respond to Fortune’s request for comment.
Researchers found that in 2021, the number of births increased in 39 states in the second half of the year, with no change in nine states and Washington, D.C., and a decline in two states over that same time period. The largest increases in birth rate were in November, with a 6% increase, and December, with a 7% increase, compared to the year before.
But although birth rates increased last year, experts say it may not be the beginning of a major baby boom. The uptick in the 2021 birth rate follows a 4% decline of births in 2020, a record low for the U.S.
“I am more inclined to see the drop and rebound in births associated with the pandemic as blips on a long-term trend,” Melissa S. Kearney, a professor of economics who studies birth rates, told NPR.
Although the latest U.S. birth rate increase might be a blip, more global population predictions are not.
A report released by the U.N. last week shows that the world’s population is expected to continue growing until 2100, when the global population is expected to reach 10.4 billion.
More than half of the projected increase in global population is concentrated in eight countries: the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines, and the United Republic of Tanzania.