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千禧一代的財(cái)務(wù)偏好:愛囤現(xiàn)金,,較少投資股市

Alicia Adamczyk
2023-04-28

在最近的股市波動(dòng)中,,很多千禧一代卻保持觀望。從長遠(yuǎn)來看,,這可能影響其財(cái)務(wù)狀況。

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2022年,千禧一代將三分之一的退休資產(chǎn)分配給現(xiàn)金,。圖片來源:IVAN PANTIC—GETTY IMAGES

盡管離退休還有幾十年,,但在最近的股市波動(dòng)中,很多千禧一代卻保持觀望,。從長遠(yuǎn)來看,,這可能影響其財(cái)務(wù)狀況,導(dǎo)致長期以來積累財(cái)富困難重重的一代人面臨的問題愈加復(fù)雜,。

根據(jù)安永會(huì)計(jì)師事務(wù)所(Ernst & Young)的《2023年全球財(cái)富研究報(bào)告》(2023 Global Wealth Research Report),,在去年市場暴跌期間,千禧一代對(duì)部分資產(chǎn)采取“去風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”處理并轉(zhuǎn)向持有現(xiàn)金的可能性最高,。該報(bào)告基于2022年10月至11月期間對(duì)2,600多名客戶的調(diào)研,。

報(bào)告顯示,去年近一半(47%)的千禧一代持有現(xiàn)金是為了“安全感”,,相比之下,,X世代和嬰兒潮一代做此選擇的比例分別為34%和24%(問卷中不包括Z世代客戶)。另一份報(bào)告發(fā)現(xiàn),,2022年,,千禧一代將三分之一的退休資產(chǎn)分配給現(xiàn)金。

隨著美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(Federal Reserve)提高利率以遏制通脹,,現(xiàn)金的吸引力越發(fā)高漲?,F(xiàn)在很多儲(chǔ)蓄和現(xiàn)金賬戶提供3%至5%的收益率,大額可轉(zhuǎn)讓存單的利率也大幅上升,。

但這并不意味著本應(yīng)投資的資金應(yīng)該轉(zhuǎn)移到收益率略高的存款賬戶,。雖然在去年的波動(dòng)中,現(xiàn)金可能會(huì)讓千禧一代投資者感到更安全,,但同時(shí)也意味著隨后的市場反彈中可能踏空,。

哪怕只錯(cuò)過市場幾天反彈也可能影響投資者的底線:根據(jù)摩根大通資產(chǎn)管理公司(JPMorgan Asset Management)的數(shù)據(jù),如果過去20年標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)(S&P 500)表現(xiàn)最好的10天并未投資,,獲得的最終收益就會(huì)比投資的人少一半,。

摩根大通的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,過去20年中,,有7個(gè)“表現(xiàn)最佳”市場交易日出現(xiàn)在10個(gè)最差交易日的兩周內(nèi),,充分說明在情況糟糕時(shí),僅僅袖手旁觀是多么危險(xiǎn),。

“所以,,下次市場出現(xiàn)嚇人的波動(dòng),讓你對(duì)長期投資策略產(chǎn)生懷疑時(shí),,退出市場之前要認(rèn)真想想,?!蹦Ω笸ǖ娜蛲顿Y策略師埃麗絲·奧森堡寫道,“有70%的幾率會(huì)錯(cuò)過股市大漲的機(jī)會(huì),?!?/p>

千禧一代又逢打擊

這并非千禧一代第一次犯類似的投資錯(cuò)誤。這群27歲到42歲之間的人們?nèi)匀粚?duì)大衰退(Great Recession)心有余悸,,自21世紀(jì)20年代以來,,市場的多次波動(dòng)又加劇了恐懼心理。如今人們?cè)缫咽熘?,種種情況導(dǎo)致千禧一代可能過分謹(jǐn)慎,。

然而理財(cái)規(guī)劃師表示,從長遠(yuǎn)來看,,堅(jiān)持投資并從容應(yīng)對(duì)市場高峰與低谷仍然是對(duì)抗通脹的最佳方式,。由于出現(xiàn)了很多千禧一代無法控制的經(jīng)濟(jì)因素,他們?cè)谙嗤昙o(jì)掌握的財(cái)富比前幾代要少,。如果不參與市場,,就可能惡化這一狀況,而且參與市場與否其實(shí)在可控范圍內(nèi),。

千禧一代在經(jīng)歷了一次又一次的財(cái)務(wù)打擊后,,保持警惕無可否非。但是,,從互聯(lián)網(wǎng)泡沫到2008年全球金融危機(jī),,再到新冠疫情,總有出現(xiàn)讓股市投資看起來可能失敗的新風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。市場總會(huì)回彈,。

“并不是說要忽視普遍存在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn);而是要記住,,隨著風(fēng)險(xiǎn)過去,,市場往往會(huì)自行調(diào)整?!眾W森堡寫道,,“自2017年年初以來,盡管多年來投資者心頭疑云未散,,但對(duì)標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的投資迄今已經(jīng)增長了一倍多,。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:梁宇

審校:夏林

盡管離退休還有幾十年,,但在最近的股市波動(dòng)中,,很多千禧一代卻保持觀望。從長遠(yuǎn)來看,這可能影響其財(cái)務(wù)狀況,,導(dǎo)致長期以來積累財(cái)富困難重重的一代人面臨的問題愈加復(fù)雜,。

根據(jù)安永會(huì)計(jì)師事務(wù)所(Ernst & Young)的《2023年全球財(cái)富研究報(bào)告》(2023 Global Wealth Research Report),在去年市場暴跌期間,,千禧一代對(duì)部分資產(chǎn)采取“去風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”處理并轉(zhuǎn)向持有現(xiàn)金的可能性最高。該報(bào)告基于2022年10月至11月期間對(duì)2,600多名客戶的調(diào)研,。

報(bào)告顯示,,去年近一半(47%)的千禧一代持有現(xiàn)金是為了“安全感”,相比之下,,X世代和嬰兒潮一代做此選擇的比例分別為34%和24%(問卷中不包括Z世代客戶),。另一份報(bào)告發(fā)現(xiàn),2022年,,千禧一代將三分之一的退休資產(chǎn)分配給現(xiàn)金,。

隨著美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(Federal Reserve)提高利率以遏制通脹,現(xiàn)金的吸引力越發(fā)高漲?,F(xiàn)在很多儲(chǔ)蓄和現(xiàn)金賬戶提供3%至5%的收益率,,大額可轉(zhuǎn)讓存單的利率也大幅上升。

但這并不意味著本應(yīng)投資的資金應(yīng)該轉(zhuǎn)移到收益率略高的存款賬戶,。雖然在去年的波動(dòng)中,,現(xiàn)金可能會(huì)讓千禧一代投資者感到更安全,但同時(shí)也意味著隨后的市場反彈中可能踏空,。

哪怕只錯(cuò)過市場幾天反彈也可能影響投資者的底線:根據(jù)摩根大通資產(chǎn)管理公司(JPMorgan Asset Management)的數(shù)據(jù),,如果過去20年標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)(S&P 500)表現(xiàn)最好的10天并未投資,獲得的最終收益就會(huì)比投資的人少一半,。

摩根大通的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,,過去20年中,有7個(gè)“表現(xiàn)最佳”市場交易日出現(xiàn)在10個(gè)最差交易日的兩周內(nèi),,充分說明在情況糟糕時(shí),,僅僅袖手旁觀是多么危險(xiǎn)。

“所以,,下次市場出現(xiàn)嚇人的波動(dòng),,讓你對(duì)長期投資策略產(chǎn)生懷疑時(shí),退出市場之前要認(rèn)真想想,?!蹦Ω笸ǖ娜蛲顿Y策略師埃麗絲·奧森堡寫道,“有70%的幾率會(huì)錯(cuò)過股市大漲的機(jī)會(huì),?!?/p>

千禧一代又逢打擊

這并非千禧一代第一次犯類似的投資錯(cuò)誤。這群27歲到42歲之間的人們?nèi)匀粚?duì)大衰退(Great Recession)心有余悸,自21世紀(jì)20年代以來,,市場的多次波動(dòng)又加劇了恐懼心理,。如今人們?cè)缫咽熘N種情況導(dǎo)致千禧一代可能過分謹(jǐn)慎,。

然而理財(cái)規(guī)劃師表示,,從長遠(yuǎn)來看,堅(jiān)持投資并從容應(yīng)對(duì)市場高峰與低谷仍然是對(duì)抗通脹的最佳方式,。由于出現(xiàn)了很多千禧一代無法控制的經(jīng)濟(jì)因素,,他們?cè)谙嗤昙o(jì)掌握的財(cái)富比前幾代要少。如果不參與市場,,就可能惡化這一狀況,,而且參與市場與否其實(shí)在可控范圍內(nèi)。

千禧一代在經(jīng)歷了一次又一次的財(cái)務(wù)打擊后,,保持警惕無可否非,。但是,從互聯(lián)網(wǎng)泡沫到2008年全球金融危機(jī),,再到新冠疫情,,總有出現(xiàn)讓股市投資看起來可能失敗的新風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。市場總會(huì)回彈,。

“并不是說要忽視普遍存在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),;而是要記住,隨著風(fēng)險(xiǎn)過去,,市場往往會(huì)自行調(diào)整,。”奧森堡寫道,,“自2017年年初以來,,盡管多年來投資者心頭疑云未散,但對(duì)標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的投資迄今已經(jīng)增長了一倍多,?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:梁宇

審校:夏林

Though they still have decades until retirement, many millennials are sitting on the sidelines amid the stock market’s recent volatility. And that could hurt their finances in the long run—compounding problems for a generation that has long struggled to build wealth.

Millennials were the most likely to “de-risk” some of their assets and turn to cash during last year’s market rout, according to Ernst & Young’s 2023 Global Wealth Research Report, which surveyed more than 2,600 clients between October and November 2022.

Nearly half (47%) of millennials “sought safety” in cash last year, according to the report, compared to 34% of Gen X and just 24% of baby boomers (the survey did not poll Gen Z clients). A separate report finds millennials allocated a third of their retirement assets to cash in 2022.

As the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to try to curb inflation, cash options have become increasingly attractive. Many savings and cash accounts are now offering 3% to 5% yields, and CD rates have also jumped.

But that doesn’t mean that money that would have been invested should be diverted to deposit accounts with slightly higher yields. While moving to cash may have made millennial investors feel more secure during last year’s volatility, it also means they’ve potentially lost out on the market’s subsequent rally.

And missing even a few days of the market’s rally can be detrimental to an investor’s bottom line: Those who were not invested for the S&P 500’s 10 best days in the past two decades saw half the gains of those who were, according to JPMorgan Asset Management.

In the past 20 years, seven of the “best” market days occurred within about two weeks of the 10 worst days, according to JPM’s data—highlighting how dangerous it can be to sit on the sidelines when things get bad.

“So next time market volatility feels scary enough to make you second-guess your long-term investment strategy, have a good think before you get out of the market,” writes Elyse Ausenbaugh, global investment strategist at JPM. “There could be a 70% chance you’ll miss one of the best days.”

Another blow for millennials

This isn’t the first time millennials have been found to make this investing mistake. Many members of this generation, who now range in age from 27 to 42, still carry scars from the Great Recession, exacerbated by the many swings of the market so far in the 2020s. It’s long been a storyline that this has made them a little more cautious than they might be otherwise.

But financial planners say investing—and taking the market’s highs and lows in stride—is still the best way to try to outpace inflation long-term. Millennials already have less wealth than previous generations at their age, due to many economic factors outside of their control. But staying out of the market—something they have some control over—could exacerbate that.

Millennials are rightfully wary after enduring hit after financial hit. But from the dotcom bubble to the 2008 global financial crisis to the COVID-19 pandemic, there is always a new risk that can make investing in the stock market look like a losing proposition. The market has always come back.

This “isn’t about dismissing prevailing risks; it’s about remembering that markets tend to right themselves as those risks pass,” writes Ausenbaugh. “Since the start of 2017, an investment in the S&P 500 has more than doubled up to the present despite all of the concerns that have plagued investors over the years.”

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