美國(guó)新冠病例數(shù)量再次增長(zhǎng),,達(dá)到自去年冬季晚些時(shí)候以來(lái)的最高水平,。
隨著高度變異的新型新冠變異株“Pirola”BA.2.86引起所有人的關(guān)注,再加上呼吸道病毒高發(fā)季節(jié)即將來(lái)臨,,現(xiàn)在是否應(yīng)該開(kāi)始恢復(fù)戴口罩,?
許多專家認(rèn)為,自從2020年新冠病毒開(kāi)始廣泛傳播以來(lái),,在任何時(shí)候戴口罩都是可取的,盡管這種觀點(diǎn)在政治上并不受歡迎也不好玩,。雖然并非在所有情況下都需要戴口罩(比如戶外),,但尤其是在某些情況下,你絕對(duì)有必要戴上口罩,。
美國(guó)公共衛(wèi)生協(xié)會(huì)(American Public Health Association)執(zhí)行主任喬治·本杰明博士對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“戴口罩依舊是降低感染新冠風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的有效工具,。
如果有人面臨高風(fēng)險(xiǎn),計(jì)劃參加有大量人聚集的室內(nèi)活動(dòng),或者身邊人的健康狀況導(dǎo)致他們面臨較高風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,在當(dāng)前新冠病例增多的時(shí)期,,這些人戴口罩獲得的好處最大?!?/p>
約翰斯·霍普金斯衛(wèi)生安全中心(Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security)傳染病專家和高級(jí)學(xué)者阿梅什·阿達(dá)爾佳對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,,新冠重癥風(fēng)險(xiǎn)較高的人群“在人員密集的室內(nèi)環(huán)境下應(yīng)該始終考慮配戴口罩”。
他表示:“如果人們的癥狀符合新冠的表現(xiàn),,在計(jì)劃與重癥風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更高的人會(huì)面時(shí),,也應(yīng)該保持警惕?!彼€表示,,這條建議“始終適用,而不是只適用于現(xiàn)在的情況”,。
要不要戴口罩,?聽(tīng)聽(tīng)專家們?cè)趺凑f(shuō)
斯圖爾特·雷博士認(rèn)同本杰明的觀點(diǎn)。他是約翰斯·霍普金斯大學(xué)醫(yī)學(xué)系數(shù)據(jù)完整性與分析專業(yè)的醫(yī)學(xué)副主任,。
他表示,,在戴口罩這個(gè)問(wèn)題上,需要考慮許多因素,,包括:
? 社區(qū)傳播:新冠在你所在地區(qū)的流行情況如何,?向本地和/或州公共衛(wèi)生部了解具體情況。如果本地的新冠疫情處于中等或較高水平,,戴口罩或許是好主意,。
? 個(gè)人免疫力:對(duì)新冠的抗體免疫力,即防止感染的能力,,通常會(huì)在三至六個(gè)月后減弱,。問(wèn)題是免疫力并非萬(wàn)無(wú)一失。對(duì)于所有其他流行變異株,,并非所有新冠毒株都能讓人體獲得相同程度的保護(hù)力,。而且也無(wú)法保證新出現(xiàn)的變異株會(huì)按照我們習(xí)慣的規(guī)則流行。如果你在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月內(nèi)未接種加強(qiáng)針疫苗,,也沒(méi)有被感染,,最好戴上口罩。
? 你的日程安排:你是否要參加大規(guī)?;顒?dòng),,例如不能因病缺席的演示?你是否計(jì)劃參加婚禮,、會(huì)議或音樂(lè)會(huì)等大型活動(dòng),?你是否計(jì)劃前往購(gòu)物中心,、電影院或機(jī)場(chǎng)等人員密集的場(chǎng)所?你是否計(jì)劃與高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)家庭成員見(jiàn)面,?如果以上問(wèn)題的答案是肯定的,,你最好在活動(dòng)前和/或活動(dòng)期間戴上口罩,以保護(hù)自己和/或其他人,。
? 你的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)程度:是否有糖尿病,、肥胖癥、高齡或免疫狀況等因素,,會(huì)導(dǎo)致你因新冠住院或死亡的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更高,?如果答案是肯定的,你應(yīng)該更謹(jǐn)慎地戴上口罩,。
雷表示:“對(duì)我而言,,在乘坐公共交通和人員高度密集的場(chǎng)合配戴口罩,是簡(jiǎn)單和明智的決定,?!?/p>
另外一個(gè)應(yīng)該戴口罩的場(chǎng)合是醫(yī)院。安大略省圭爾夫大學(xué)(University of Guelph)生物學(xué)教授瑞恩·格里高利對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,,在醫(yī)療環(huán)境中永遠(yuǎn)不應(yīng)該取消配戴口罩的強(qiáng)制規(guī)定,。自從世界衛(wèi)生組織(WHO)停止用新希臘字母命名新冠變異株以來(lái),他一直在用“街道名稱”命名高度流行的變異株,。
他還建議進(jìn)一步推廣呼吸機(jī)和空氣過(guò)濾設(shè)備,,保持良好通風(fēng)和避免大量人群聚集,無(wú)論你遭遇任何變異株,,無(wú)論新冠病毒出現(xiàn)任何不可思議的新變化,,這些減緩措施都能發(fā)揮作用。
學(xué)會(huì)明智地與病毒共存
多年來(lái),,公共衛(wèi)生官員一直強(qiáng)調(diào)人類社會(huì)需要學(xué)會(huì)與新冠病毒共存,。但紐約理工學(xué)院(New York Institute of Technology)阿肯色州瓊斯伯勒分校的助理研究主任和副教授、著名新冠病毒變異株跟蹤研究員拉吉·拉吉納拉亞納對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,,要求人們與病毒共存,,應(yīng)該發(fā)布指導(dǎo)原則,告訴人們根據(jù)社區(qū)傳播水平確定什么時(shí)候戴口罩,。
拉吉納拉亞納表示:“我們沒(méi)有前瞻性的非藥理學(xué)方法,。我們總是在被動(dòng)響應(yīng)?!?/p>
可惜,,美國(guó)疾病預(yù)防控制中心(U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)不再提供說(shuō)明社區(qū)傳播程度的地圖。(不過(guò)這份地圖一直不準(zhǔn)確,,它代表的是一個(gè)地區(qū)的醫(yī)院床位可用性,,并不能體現(xiàn)病毒活動(dòng)狀況。)雖然該部門確實(shí)提供了一份地圖,,顯示美國(guó)各地新冠檢測(cè)呈陽(yáng)性的比例,,但由于近期新冠檢測(cè)數(shù)量處于史上最低水平,因此這些數(shù)字可能并不真實(shí),。(這意味著實(shí)際情況可能更加糟糕,。)
截至周二,這份地圖顯示在美國(guó)10個(gè)地區(qū)中,,有7個(gè)地區(qū)的陽(yáng)性率達(dá)到10%至14.9%,,這些地區(qū)以黃色表示。在美國(guó)中南部地區(qū),,包括德克薩斯州,,情況更嚴(yán)重,檢測(cè)陽(yáng)性率高達(dá)15%至19%,,這些地區(qū)以橘色表示,。美國(guó)東南部地兩個(gè)地區(qū)的陽(yáng)性率水平可以接受,只有5%至9.9%,,以綠色表示,。需要說(shuō)明的是,世界衛(wèi)生組織在2020年首輪封鎖之后,,曾建議社區(qū)的檢測(cè)陽(yáng)性率為5%或更低時(shí),,才可以考慮重新開(kāi)放。
拉吉納拉亞納表示,,在室內(nèi)依舊應(yīng)該戴口罩,,尤其是醫(yī)院、機(jī)場(chǎng),、飛機(jī)和其他公共交通工具內(nèi),。
近期的一項(xiàng)研究發(fā)現(xiàn),受試者接觸低水平或中等水平的病毒量時(shí),,其先前感染,、接種疫苗或者這兩者同時(shí)(即“混合”免疫力)帶來(lái)的免疫力能夠有效預(yù)防感染新冠,但在接觸大量病毒時(shí),,免疫力變得無(wú)效(該項(xiàng)研究中,,囚犯與患新冠的獄友生活在同一間牢房,導(dǎo)致其持續(xù)接觸病毒),。格里高利指出,,研究結(jié)果凸顯出戴口罩的效果,甚至對(duì)接種過(guò)疫苗的人群依舊有效,。
他說(shuō)道:“重要的是減少吸入體內(nèi)的病毒數(shù)量,?!彪m然理想情況下應(yīng)該選擇與面部貼合并且高品質(zhì)的口罩,但“即使不完美的口罩也有價(jià)值”,。
長(zhǎng)新冠的威脅
專家表示,,個(gè)人在決定是否配戴口罩時(shí),應(yīng)該將長(zhǎng)新冠的持續(xù)威脅考慮在內(nèi),。與普遍的觀點(diǎn)不同,,即使你首次感染新冠時(shí)沒(méi)有出現(xiàn)癥狀,現(xiàn)在依舊有可能無(wú)法幸免,。此外,,不止在經(jīng)歷重癥之后會(huì)患上長(zhǎng)新冠,輕癥過(guò)后患長(zhǎng)新冠的可能性同樣存在,。
最近的研究顯示,,我們需要牢記與病毒后疾病有關(guān)的幾個(gè)事實(shí):
? 本月《自然醫(yī)學(xué)》(Nature Medicine)雜志上發(fā)表的一篇論文證實(shí),長(zhǎng)新冠可能持續(xù)至少兩年,。
? 研究顯示,,感染新冠期間住院治療的患者,在兩年內(nèi)死亡和住院的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)依舊“明顯升高”,。
? 研究人員發(fā)現(xiàn),,對(duì)于感染新冠期間未住院治療的患者,在感染新冠后六個(gè)月死亡的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,在統(tǒng)計(jì)上依舊明顯較高,。住院的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在約一年半內(nèi)依舊升高。
? 《英國(guó)醫(yī)學(xué)雜志開(kāi)放版》(BMJ Open)6月發(fā)表的一篇論文顯示,,長(zhǎng)新冠比一些晚期癌癥更容易令患者感到疲勞,。
? 研究發(fā)現(xiàn),長(zhǎng)新冠患者出現(xiàn)的功能性損傷,,比中風(fēng)患者更嚴(yán)重,,與帕金森患者的遭遇類似。
? 研究人員還發(fā)現(xiàn),,第4階段肺癌患者的生活質(zhì)量,,普遍高于長(zhǎng)新冠患者。
個(gè)人戴口罩是否有幫助,?
有專家指出,,戴口罩始終是一種集體干預(yù)措施,而不是個(gè)人干預(yù)措施,。雷表示,,無(wú)論其他人如何選擇,只要口罩品質(zhì)優(yōu)良,,例如緊密貼合的N-95口罩,,單向配戴依舊能“大幅降低”感染新冠的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。(有縫隙的外科手術(shù)口罩,可從兩側(cè)吸入空氣,,這種口罩并不是并且永遠(yuǎn)不是理想選擇,。)
雷的另外一條建議:即使周圍的人對(duì)戴口罩持不同立場(chǎng),也要保持冷靜,。他建議:“與不想戴口罩的其他人發(fā)生沖突,并不能降低風(fēng)險(xiǎn),?!边@種沖突很難通過(guò)討論分出勝負(fù),除此之外,,“隨著雙方情緒高漲,,這種情況可能持續(xù)很長(zhǎng)時(shí)間或者增加接觸病毒的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”。如果相互爭(zhēng)吵的人中有人感染了新冠,,那么在爭(zhēng)吵過(guò)程中可能會(huì)有更多病毒被釋放到空氣當(dāng)中,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
美國(guó)新冠病例數(shù)量再次增長(zhǎng),達(dá)到自去年冬季晚些時(shí)候以來(lái)的最高水平,。
隨著高度變異的新型新冠變異株“Pirola”BA.2.86引起所有人的關(guān)注,,再加上呼吸道病毒高發(fā)季節(jié)即將來(lái)臨,現(xiàn)在是否應(yīng)該開(kāi)始恢復(fù)戴口罩,?
許多專家認(rèn)為,,自從2020年新冠病毒開(kāi)始廣泛傳播以來(lái),在任何時(shí)候戴口罩都是可取的,,盡管這種觀點(diǎn)在政治上并不受歡迎也不好玩,。雖然并非在所有情況下都需要戴口罩(比如戶外),但尤其是在某些情況下,,你絕對(duì)有必要戴上口罩,。
美國(guó)公共衛(wèi)生協(xié)會(huì)(American Public Health Association)執(zhí)行主任喬治·本杰明博士對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“戴口罩依舊是降低感染新冠風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的有效工具。
如果有人面臨高風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,計(jì)劃參加有大量人聚集的室內(nèi)活動(dòng),,或者身邊人的健康狀況導(dǎo)致他們面臨較高風(fēng)險(xiǎn),在當(dāng)前新冠病例增多的時(shí)期,,這些人戴口罩獲得的好處最大,。”
約翰斯·霍普金斯衛(wèi)生安全中心(Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security)傳染病專家和高級(jí)學(xué)者阿梅什·阿達(dá)爾佳對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,,新冠重癥風(fēng)險(xiǎn)較高的人群“在人員密集的室內(nèi)環(huán)境下應(yīng)該始終考慮配戴口罩”,。
他表示:“如果人們的癥狀符合新冠的表現(xiàn),在計(jì)劃與重癥風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更高的人會(huì)面時(shí),,也應(yīng)該保持警惕,?!彼€表示,這條建議“始終適用,,而不是只適用于現(xiàn)在的情況”,。
要不要戴口罩?聽(tīng)聽(tīng)專家們?cè)趺凑f(shuō)
斯圖爾特·雷博士認(rèn)同本杰明的觀點(diǎn),。他是約翰斯·霍普金斯大學(xué)醫(yī)學(xué)系數(shù)據(jù)完整性與分析專業(yè)的醫(yī)學(xué)副主任,。
他表示,在戴口罩這個(gè)問(wèn)題上,,需要考慮許多因素,,包括:
? 社區(qū)傳播:新冠在你所在地區(qū)的流行情況如何?向本地和/或州公共衛(wèi)生部了解具體情況,。如果本地的新冠疫情處于中等或較高水平,,戴口罩或許是好主意。
? 個(gè)人免疫力:對(duì)新冠的抗體免疫力,,即防止感染的能力,,通常會(huì)在三至六個(gè)月后減弱。問(wèn)題是免疫力并非萬(wàn)無(wú)一失,。對(duì)于所有其他流行變異株,,并非所有新冠毒株都能讓人體獲得相同程度的保護(hù)力。而且也無(wú)法保證新出現(xiàn)的變異株會(huì)按照我們習(xí)慣的規(guī)則流行,。如果你在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月內(nèi)未接種加強(qiáng)針疫苗,,也沒(méi)有被感染,最好戴上口罩,。
? 你的日程安排:你是否要參加大規(guī)?;顒?dòng),例如不能因病缺席的演示,?你是否計(jì)劃參加婚禮,、會(huì)議或音樂(lè)會(huì)等大型活動(dòng)?你是否計(jì)劃前往購(gòu)物中心,、電影院或機(jī)場(chǎng)等人員密集的場(chǎng)所,?你是否計(jì)劃與高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)家庭成員見(jiàn)面?如果以上問(wèn)題的答案是肯定的,,你最好在活動(dòng)前和/或活動(dòng)期間戴上口罩,,以保護(hù)自己和/或其他人。
? 你的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)程度:是否有糖尿病,、肥胖癥,、高齡或免疫狀況等因素,會(huì)導(dǎo)致你因新冠住院或死亡的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更高?如果答案是肯定的,,你應(yīng)該更謹(jǐn)慎地戴上口罩,。
雷表示:“對(duì)我而言,在乘坐公共交通和人員高度密集的場(chǎng)合配戴口罩,,是簡(jiǎn)單和明智的決定,。”
另外一個(gè)應(yīng)該戴口罩的場(chǎng)合是醫(yī)院,。安大略省圭爾夫大學(xué)(University of Guelph)生物學(xué)教授瑞恩·格里高利對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,,在醫(yī)療環(huán)境中永遠(yuǎn)不應(yīng)該取消配戴口罩的強(qiáng)制規(guī)定。自從世界衛(wèi)生組織(WHO)停止用新希臘字母命名新冠變異株以來(lái),,他一直在用“街道名稱”命名高度流行的變異株,。
他還建議進(jìn)一步推廣呼吸機(jī)和空氣過(guò)濾設(shè)備,保持良好通風(fēng)和避免大量人群聚集,,無(wú)論你遭遇任何變異株,無(wú)論新冠病毒出現(xiàn)任何不可思議的新變化,,這些減緩措施都能發(fā)揮作用,。
學(xué)會(huì)明智地與病毒共存
多年來(lái),公共衛(wèi)生官員一直強(qiáng)調(diào)人類社會(huì)需要學(xué)會(huì)與新冠病毒共存,。但紐約理工學(xué)院(New York Institute of Technology)阿肯色州瓊斯伯勒分校的助理研究主任和副教授,、著名新冠病毒變異株跟蹤研究員拉吉·拉吉納拉亞納對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,要求人們與病毒共存,,應(yīng)該發(fā)布指導(dǎo)原則,,告訴人們根據(jù)社區(qū)傳播水平確定什么時(shí)候戴口罩。
拉吉納拉亞納表示:“我們沒(méi)有前瞻性的非藥理學(xué)方法,。我們總是在被動(dòng)響應(yīng),。”
可惜,,美國(guó)疾病預(yù)防控制中心(U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)不再提供說(shuō)明社區(qū)傳播程度的地圖,。(不過(guò)這份地圖一直不準(zhǔn)確,它代表的是一個(gè)地區(qū)的醫(yī)院床位可用性,,并不能體現(xiàn)病毒活動(dòng)狀況,。)雖然該部門確實(shí)提供了一份地圖,顯示美國(guó)各地新冠檢測(cè)呈陽(yáng)性的比例,,但由于近期新冠檢測(cè)數(shù)量處于史上最低水平,,因此這些數(shù)字可能并不真實(shí)。(這意味著實(shí)際情況可能更加糟糕,。)
截至周二,,這份地圖顯示在美國(guó)10個(gè)地區(qū)中,有7個(gè)地區(qū)的陽(yáng)性率達(dá)到10%至14.9%,這些地區(qū)以黃色表示,。在美國(guó)中南部地區(qū),,包括德克薩斯州,情況更嚴(yán)重,,檢測(cè)陽(yáng)性率高達(dá)15%至19%,,這些地區(qū)以橘色表示。美國(guó)東南部地兩個(gè)地區(qū)的陽(yáng)性率水平可以接受,,只有5%至9.9%,,以綠色表示。需要說(shuō)明的是,,世界衛(wèi)生組織在2020年首輪封鎖之后,,曾建議社區(qū)的檢測(cè)陽(yáng)性率為5%或更低時(shí),才可以考慮重新開(kāi)放,。
拉吉納拉亞納表示,,在室內(nèi)依舊應(yīng)該戴口罩,尤其是醫(yī)院,、機(jī)場(chǎng),、飛機(jī)和其他公共交通工具內(nèi)。
近期的一項(xiàng)研究發(fā)現(xiàn),,受試者接觸低水平或中等水平的病毒量時(shí),,其先前感染、接種疫苗或者這兩者同時(shí)(即“混合”免疫力)帶來(lái)的免疫力能夠有效預(yù)防感染新冠,,但在接觸大量病毒時(shí),,免疫力變得無(wú)效(該項(xiàng)研究中,囚犯與患新冠的獄友生活在同一間牢房,,導(dǎo)致其持續(xù)接觸病毒),。格里高利指出,研究結(jié)果凸顯出戴口罩的效果,,甚至對(duì)接種過(guò)疫苗的人群依舊有效,。
他說(shuō)道:“重要的是減少吸入體內(nèi)的病毒數(shù)量?!彪m然理想情況下應(yīng)該選擇與面部貼合并且高品質(zhì)的口罩,,但“即使不完美的口罩也有價(jià)值”。
長(zhǎng)新冠的威脅
專家表示,,個(gè)人在決定是否配戴口罩時(shí),,應(yīng)該將長(zhǎng)新冠的持續(xù)威脅考慮在內(nèi)。與普遍的觀點(diǎn)不同,,即使你首次感染新冠時(shí)沒(méi)有出現(xiàn)癥狀,,現(xiàn)在依舊有可能無(wú)法幸免,。此外,不止在經(jīng)歷重癥之后會(huì)患上長(zhǎng)新冠,,輕癥過(guò)后患長(zhǎng)新冠的可能性同樣存在,。
最近的研究顯示,我們需要牢記與病毒后疾病有關(guān)的幾個(gè)事實(shí):
? 本月《自然醫(yī)學(xué)》(Nature Medicine)雜志上發(fā)表的一篇論文證實(shí),,長(zhǎng)新冠可能持續(xù)至少兩年,。
? 研究顯示,感染新冠期間住院治療的患者,,在兩年內(nèi)死亡和住院的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)依舊“明顯升高”,。
? 研究人員發(fā)現(xiàn),對(duì)于感染新冠期間未住院治療的患者,,在感染新冠后六個(gè)月死亡的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,在統(tǒng)計(jì)上依舊明顯較高。住院的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在約一年半內(nèi)依舊升高,。
? 《英國(guó)醫(yī)學(xué)雜志開(kāi)放版》(BMJ Open)6月發(fā)表的一篇論文顯示,,長(zhǎng)新冠比一些晚期癌癥更容易令患者感到疲勞。
? 研究發(fā)現(xiàn),,長(zhǎng)新冠患者出現(xiàn)的功能性損傷,,比中風(fēng)患者更嚴(yán)重,與帕金森患者的遭遇類似,。
? 研究人員還發(fā)現(xiàn),第4階段肺癌患者的生活質(zhì)量,,普遍高于長(zhǎng)新冠患者,。
個(gè)人戴口罩是否有幫助?
有專家指出,,戴口罩始終是一種集體干預(yù)措施,,而不是個(gè)人干預(yù)措施。雷表示,,無(wú)論其他人如何選擇,,只要口罩品質(zhì)優(yōu)良,例如緊密貼合的N-95口罩,,單向配戴依舊能“大幅降低”感染新冠的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。(有縫隙的外科手術(shù)口罩,可從兩側(cè)吸入空氣,,這種口罩并不是并且永遠(yuǎn)不是理想選擇,。)
雷的另外一條建議:即使周圍的人對(duì)戴口罩持不同立場(chǎng),也要保持冷靜,。他建議:“與不想戴口罩的其他人發(fā)生沖突,,并不能降低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。”這種沖突很難通過(guò)討論分出勝負(fù),,除此之外,,“隨著雙方情緒高漲,這種情況可能持續(xù)很長(zhǎng)時(shí)間或者增加接觸病毒的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”,。如果相互爭(zhēng)吵的人中有人感染了新冠,,那么在爭(zhēng)吵過(guò)程中可能會(huì)有更多病毒被釋放到空氣當(dāng)中。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
U.S. COVID cases are once again at a high plateau, climbing to heights not seen since late last winter.
With all eyes on the new, highly mutated COVID variant “Pirola” BA.2.86 and respiratory virus season on its way, is it time to start masking again?
Though not always en vogue politically or much fun, it was never not time to mask, many experts contend—not since COVID began circulating widely in 2020, anyway. And while masking might not be necessary in all situations (think: outdoors), it can certainly still behoove you—especially in some circumstances.
“Masking remains an effective tool to reduce your risk” of catching COVID, Dr. Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association, tells Fortune.
“People who are at high risk, are planning to be indoors in crowds, or who are around people whose health conditions put them at risk would benefit most from mask-wearing during this period of COVID uptick.”
Those at high risk of severe outcomes from COVID “should always consider masking in crowded indoor settings,” Dr. Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease specialist and senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, tells Fortune.
“People should also be vigilant if they have symptoms consistent with COVID if they are planning to be in the presence of those at higher risk for severe disease,” he says, adding that such advice applies “all the time, not just now.”
To mask or not to mask? What the experts say
Dr. Stuart Ray agrees with Benjamin. He’s vice chair of medicine for data integrity and analytics at Johns Hopkins’ Department of Medicine.
When it comes to masking, there are multiple factors to consider, he says, including:
? Community transmission: How prevalent is COVID in your area? Check with your local and/or state public health department. If local levels are moderate or high, masking may be a good idea.
? Your immunity: Antibody immunity to COVID, which can prevent infection, tends to wane after three to six months. The trouble is, immunity is never bulletproof. Not all COVID strains confer the same degree of protection against all other circulating variants. And there’s no guarantee that up-and-coming variants will play by the rules we’re used to. If you’ve not been boosted or infected in the last few months, you may want to mask up.
? Your schedule: Do you have big events coming up, like a presentation that you can’t afford to be sick for? Are you planning to attend large events, like a wedding, conference, or concert? Do you intend to visit crowded places, like a mall, movie theater, or airport? Are you planning to meet with high-risk family members? If so, you might want to mask ahead of such events and/or during them—for your protection, and/or for the protection of others.
? Your risk level: Are there factors—like diabetes, obesity, advanced age, or immune status—that put you at higher risk of hospitalization or death from COVID? If so, you’ll likely want to “err” on the side of caution and mask up.
“For me, wearing a mask on mass transit and in very crowded spaces is easy and wise,” Ray says.
Another place where it makes a lot of sense to mask up: hospitals. Masking mandates in medical settings should have never been dropped, Ryan Gregory, a biology professor at the University of Guelph in Ontario, tells Fortune. He’s been assigning “street names” to high-flying variants since the WHO stopped assigning new Greek letters to them.
More broadly, he recommends respirators, air filtration devices, good ventilation, and avoiding large crowds—all mitigation measures that work regardless of the variant(s) you’re encountering and any weird new curveballs the virus throws our way.
‘Learning to live’ with the virus—wisely
For years, public health officials have said society would need to “l(fā)earn to live” with COVID. But doing so should have included guidelines on when to mask, based on levels of community transmission, Raj Rajnarayanan, assistant dean of research and associate professor at the New York Institute of Technology campus in Jonesboro, Ark., and a top COVID-variant tracker, tells Fortune.
“We don’t have proactive non-pharmacological approaches,” Rajnarayanan says. “We’re always reactive.”
Unfortunately, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention no longer offers a map illustrating levels of community spread. (The map was inaccurate for a while anyway, reflecting hospital bed availability in an area instead of viral activity.) And while the agency does offer a map that shows the percent of COVID tests returning positive by U.S. region, those numbers are likely to be skewed by near all-time low levels of testing. (Read: Things may appear worse than they actually are.)
Still, as of Tuesday, that map showed seven of 10 U.S. regions with a percent positivity rate of 10% to 14.9%, a category shaded yellow. The U.S. south-central region, including Texas, was worse off, with a 15% to 19.% percent test positivity rate, shaded orange. Two regions in the U.S. Northeast had more acceptable levels of percent positivity, from 5% to 9.9% and shaded green. For context, the World Health Organization initially recommended a test positivity rate of 5% or lower for communities wishing to reopen after the first lockdowns of 2020.
People should still mask indoors, Rajnarayanan says—especially in hospitals, at airports, and on planes and other modes of mass transit.
A recent study found that immunity from prior infection, vaccination, or both (known as “hybrid” immunity) was effective in preventing COVID when subjects were exposed to low or moderate doses of the virus—but not when they were intensely exposed (in this case, prisoners who lived with cellmates who had COVID, resulting in constant exposure). The findings highlight the utility of masking, even for the vaccinated, Gregory points out.
“It’s important to reduce the amount of virus inhaled,” he says. While masks should ideally be snug-fitting and high quality, “even imperfect masking would be worthwhile.”
The threat of long COVID
Personal decisions on whether or not to mask should take into account the continuing threat of long COVID, experts say. Contrary to popular belief, it’s still possible to develop the condition—even if you didn’t the first time you got COVID. What’s more, it’s possible to develop long COVID after a mild case of the virus—not just with severe cases.
A few facts to keep in mind about the post-viral illness, according to recent research:
? Long COVID can linger for at least two years, a study published this month in Nature Medicine confirmed.
? For those hospitalized during their COVID illness, the risk of death and hospitalization remains “significantly elevated” for two years, according to the study.
? For those who weren’t hospitalized during their COVID illness, the risk of death after COVID remained statistically significant for six months, researchers found. The risk of hospitalization remained elevated for about a year and a half.
? Long COVID can be more fatiguing than some late-stage cancers, according to a study published in June in BMJ Open.
? Functional impairment among long COVID patients is worse than that experienced by those who’ve had a stroke, and is similar to that experienced by patients with Parkinson’s disease, the study found.
? What’s more, quality of life was generally better in stage 4 lung cancer patients than in long COVID patients, researchers found.
Does solo-masking help?
Some experts point out that masking was always meant to be a group intervention, not a single-person one. Still, one-way masking “substantially reduces risk” of contracting COVID, Ray says, regardless of what others are doing—as long as your mask is high quality, like an N-95that it fits snugly. (Surgical masks with gaps that let air in from the sides are not, and were never, ideal.)
Another tip from Ray: Keep your cool, even if you’re surrounded by those whose opinions on masking differ. “Clashing with others who don’t wish to mask doesn’t tend to reduce risk,” he advises. Aside from the fact that people are rarely won over by arguments, such a situation could “prolong or intensify exposures, if tempers run high.” A yelling match could actually lead to greater volumes of the virus being expelled, if those yelling have COVID.