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七巨頭本周發(fā)財(cái)報(bào),,華爾街全線已飄紅

大型科技股的耀眼表現(xiàn),,是標(biāo)普500指數(shù)在兩年后再次強(qiáng)勢(shì)飆升35%以上的主要原因。

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本周一,,美股以全線走紅之勢(shì)開(kāi)啟了本周股市,,接下來(lái)本周的最大看點(diǎn)就是華爾街的幾只最有影響力的股票能否對(duì)得起各方寄予它們的厚望。

標(biāo)普500指數(shù)本周一上漲了36.96點(diǎn),,創(chuàng)下4927.93點(diǎn)的歷史新主,,漲幅約為0.8%。道瓊斯工業(yè)平均指數(shù)上漲224.02點(diǎn),,達(dá)到38333.45點(diǎn),,漲幅約為0.6%。納斯達(dá)克綜指上漲了172.68點(diǎn),,達(dá)到15628.04點(diǎn),,漲幅約為1.1%。

大型科技股的耀眼表現(xiàn),,是標(biāo)普500指數(shù)在兩年后再次強(qiáng)勢(shì)飆升35%以上的主要原因,。在這段時(shí)間里,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)主要靠美國(guó)七大科技巨頭拉動(dòng),,特別是市場(chǎng)對(duì)人工智能技術(shù)的看好,,以及對(duì)這七家公司將繼續(xù)占據(jù)行業(yè)主導(dǎo)地位的預(yù)期。

在接下來(lái)的一周里,,“七巨頭”中的五家,,也就是蘋(píng)果、Ahphabet,、亞馬遜,、Meta和微軟將相繼發(fā)布最新一個(gè)季度的財(cái)報(bào)。

由于這幾家公司的體量超過(guò)了股市上的所有其他公司,,因此它們的走勢(shì)對(duì)標(biāo)普500乃至各大指數(shù)的影響遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)大于其他公司,。而且他們必須達(dá)到分析師的增長(zhǎng)預(yù)期,才能證明他們近期的業(yè)務(wù)決策的合理性,。

這還不是本周的全部?jī)?nèi)容,。

本周三,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)將對(duì)利率問(wèn)題做出最新決定,。交易員們預(yù)計(jì)美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)應(yīng)該不會(huì)采取任何舉動(dòng),,但大家都希望美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)會(huì)在下一次也就是3月份的會(huì)議上做出降息決定。如果預(yù)期成真的話,,這也將是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)近兩年為了控制通脹而連續(xù)大幅加息以來(lái)的首次降息,。

據(jù)高盛經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家戴維·麥里克預(yù)計(jì),,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)“計(jì)劃將在3月把降息提上議事日程”。在上次會(huì)議中,,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)在提及還將維持當(dāng)下的高利率多久時(shí),,曾模糊地用了“一段時(shí)間”這個(gè)限定詞,顯然這個(gè)時(shí)間是可長(zhǎng)可短的,。

最近一連串令人鼓舞的數(shù)據(jù)也讓華爾街相信,,它夢(mèng)想中的場(chǎng)景是可以實(shí)現(xiàn)的——美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)將成功戰(zhàn)勝高通脹,并啟動(dòng)投資者渴望已久的降息,,同時(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)也得以順利度過(guò)難關(guān),,而不會(huì)陷入在去年看來(lái)已經(jīng)不可避免的衰退。

至于人們對(duì)這一看法的信心是會(huì)增強(qiáng)還是減弱,,就要看本周五發(fā)布的一份經(jīng)濟(jì)報(bào)告怎么說(shuō)了,。本周五,美國(guó)政府將發(fā)布最新的月度就業(yè)市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù),,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家預(yù)計(jì)美國(guó)的就業(yè)人數(shù)將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng),,但增速將有所放緩。而這也正是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)希望看到的,,因?yàn)榫蜆I(yè)的過(guò)度增長(zhǎng),,可能將意味著更大的通脹壓力。

在美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)此次會(huì)議之前,,美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率已經(jīng)先一步出現(xiàn)下降,。而在此之前,美國(guó)財(cái)政部曾表示,,今年1至3月份,,美國(guó)的發(fā)債規(guī)模將低于早前的預(yù)期。目前,,10年期美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率已從上周五尾盤(pán)的4.14%跌至4.07%,,這也一定程度緩解了股市的壓力。

本季度的企業(yè)利潤(rùn)報(bào)告則相對(duì)平平,,分析師普遍預(yù)計(jì),,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)企業(yè)成份股公司的每股盈利將出現(xiàn)近五個(gè)季度中的第四次下滑。如果沒(méi)有“七巨頭”的亮眼成績(jī)撐門(mén)面,,情況可能還會(huì)更差,。

來(lái)自FactSet公司的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,臉書(shū)母公司Meta對(duì)標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)最大,。緊隨其后的是英偉達(dá),,再次是微軟、蘋(píng)果,、Alphabet和亞馬遜,。

到目前為止,,有些公司的當(dāng)季業(yè)績(jī)表現(xiàn)雖然達(dá)到了分析師的預(yù)期,但他們的股價(jià)卻未像以往那樣出現(xiàn)大幅提振,。

比如,,投資管理公司Franklin Resources的股價(jià)下跌了0.3%,盡管該公司公布的上季度利潤(rùn)和營(yíng)收均高于分析師的預(yù)期,。

金融服務(wù)公司SoFi Technologies的業(yè)績(jī)要更好一些,在該公司公布了2023年最后3個(gè)月的業(yè)績(jī)后,,其股價(jià)猛漲了20.2%,。該公司對(duì)今年盈利情況的預(yù)測(cè)也超過(guò)了分析師的預(yù)期。

ADM的股價(jià)上漲了5.6%,,是標(biāo)普500指數(shù)成份股中漲幅最大的一支股票,,也收復(fù)了上周的部分失地。此前,,該公司曾要求其財(cái)務(wù)總監(jiān)休假,,并表示公司正在對(duì)它的一些內(nèi)部會(huì)計(jì)業(yè)務(wù)進(jìn)行調(diào)查。上周五,,ADM的CEO胡安·盧西亞諾在一條發(fā)給員工的信息中表示:“這些銷(xiāo)量不會(huì)對(duì)我們的整體業(yè)績(jī)?cè)斐蓪?shí)質(zhì)性影響,。”

再說(shuō)說(shuō)那些股價(jià)下跌的公司,。iRobot的股價(jià)下跌了8.8%,。此前該公司在受到反壟斷監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)審查后,表示同意取消亞馬遜對(duì)它的收購(gòu),。

本周一,,香港地區(qū)的一家法院做出裁決,下令對(duì)全球負(fù)債最高的房地產(chǎn)開(kāi)發(fā)商——中國(guó)恒大進(jìn)行清算,。中國(guó)幾大市場(chǎng)對(duì)此反應(yīng)不一,,港股有所上漲,而滬市有所下跌,。

中國(guó)有關(guān)部門(mén)還采取措施,,加大了部分投資者“做空”中國(guó)股市的難度。中國(guó)股市可以說(shuō)是今年迄今為止最大的熊市之一,,人們擔(dān)憂的不僅是它的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)問(wèn)題,,還有它的經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇乏力問(wèn)題。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

美聯(lián)社記者M(jìn)att Ott和鐘子墨(音)亦對(duì)本文有貢獻(xiàn),。

本周一,,美股以全線走紅之勢(shì)開(kāi)啟了本周股市,接下來(lái)本周的最大看點(diǎn)就是華爾街的幾只最有影響力的股票能否對(duì)得起各方寄予它們的厚望,。

標(biāo)普500指數(shù)本周一上漲了36.96點(diǎn),,創(chuàng)下4927.93點(diǎn)的歷史新主,,漲幅約為0.8%。道瓊斯工業(yè)平均指數(shù)上漲224.02點(diǎn),,達(dá)到38333.45點(diǎn),,漲幅約為0.6%。納斯達(dá)克綜指上漲了172.68點(diǎn),,達(dá)到15628.04點(diǎn),,漲幅約為1.1%。

大型科技股的耀眼表現(xiàn),,是標(biāo)普500指數(shù)在兩年后再次強(qiáng)勢(shì)飆升35%以上的主要原因,。在這段時(shí)間里,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)主要靠美國(guó)七大科技巨頭拉動(dòng),,特別是市場(chǎng)對(duì)人工智能技術(shù)的看好,,以及對(duì)這七家公司將繼續(xù)占據(jù)行業(yè)主導(dǎo)地位的預(yù)期。

在接下來(lái)的一周里,,“七巨頭”中的五家,,也就是蘋(píng)果、Ahphabet,、亞馬遜,、Meta和微軟將相繼發(fā)布最新一個(gè)季度的財(cái)報(bào)。

由于這幾家公司的體量超過(guò)了股市上的所有其他公司,,因此它們的走勢(shì)對(duì)標(biāo)普500乃至各大指數(shù)的影響遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)大于其他公司,。而且他們必須達(dá)到分析師的增長(zhǎng)預(yù)期,才能證明他們近期的業(yè)務(wù)決策的合理性,。

這還不是本周的全部?jī)?nèi)容,。

本周三,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)將對(duì)利率問(wèn)題做出最新決定,。交易員們預(yù)計(jì)美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)應(yīng)該不會(huì)采取任何舉動(dòng),,但大家都希望美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)會(huì)在下一次也就是3月份的會(huì)議上做出降息決定。如果預(yù)期成真的話,,這也將是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)近兩年為了控制通脹而連續(xù)大幅加息以來(lái)的首次降息,。

據(jù)高盛經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家戴維·麥里克預(yù)計(jì),美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)“計(jì)劃將在3月把降息提上議事日程”,。在上次會(huì)議中,,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)在提及還將維持當(dāng)下的高利率多久時(shí),曾模糊地用了“一段時(shí)間”這個(gè)限定詞,,顯然這個(gè)時(shí)間是可長(zhǎng)可短的,。

最近一連串令人鼓舞的數(shù)據(jù)也讓華爾街相信,它夢(mèng)想中的場(chǎng)景是可以實(shí)現(xiàn)的——美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)將成功戰(zhàn)勝高通脹,并啟動(dòng)投資者渴望已久的降息,,同時(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)也得以順利度過(guò)難關(guān),,而不會(huì)陷入在去年看來(lái)已經(jīng)不可避免的衰退。

至于人們對(duì)這一看法的信心是會(huì)增強(qiáng)還是減弱,,就要看本周五發(fā)布的一份經(jīng)濟(jì)報(bào)告怎么說(shuō)了,。本周五,美國(guó)政府將發(fā)布最新的月度就業(yè)市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù),,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家預(yù)計(jì)美國(guó)的就業(yè)人數(shù)將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng),,但增速將有所放緩。而這也正是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)希望看到的,,因?yàn)榫蜆I(yè)的過(guò)度增長(zhǎng),,可能將意味著更大的通脹壓力。

在美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)此次會(huì)議之前,,美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率已經(jīng)先一步出現(xiàn)下降。而在此之前,,美國(guó)財(cái)政部曾表示,,今年1至3月份,美國(guó)的發(fā)債規(guī)模將低于早前的預(yù)期,。目前,,10年期美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率已從上周五尾盤(pán)的4.14%跌至4.07%,這也一定程度緩解了股市的壓力,。

本季度的企業(yè)利潤(rùn)報(bào)告則相對(duì)平平,,分析師普遍預(yù)計(jì),標(biāo)普500指數(shù)企業(yè)成份股公司的每股盈利將出現(xiàn)近五個(gè)季度中的第四次下滑,。如果沒(méi)有“七巨頭”的亮眼成績(jī)撐門(mén)面,,情況可能還會(huì)更差。

來(lái)自FactSet公司的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,,臉書(shū)母公司Meta對(duì)標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)最大,。緊隨其后的是英偉達(dá),再次是微軟,、蘋(píng)果,、Alphabet和亞馬遜。

到目前為止,,有些公司的當(dāng)季業(yè)績(jī)表現(xiàn)雖然達(dá)到了分析師的預(yù)期,,但他們的股價(jià)卻未像以往那樣出現(xiàn)大幅提振。

比如,,投資管理公司Franklin Resources的股價(jià)下跌了0.3%,,盡管該公司公布的上季度利潤(rùn)和營(yíng)收均高于分析師的預(yù)期。

金融服務(wù)公司SoFi Technologies的業(yè)績(jī)要更好一些,在該公司公布了2023年最后3個(gè)月的業(yè)績(jī)后,,其股價(jià)猛漲了20.2%,。該公司對(duì)今年盈利情況的預(yù)測(cè)也超過(guò)了分析師的預(yù)期。

ADM的股價(jià)上漲了5.6%,,是標(biāo)普500指數(shù)成份股中漲幅最大的一支股票,,也收復(fù)了上周的部分失地。此前,,該公司曾要求其財(cái)務(wù)總監(jiān)休假,,并表示公司正在對(duì)它的一些內(nèi)部會(huì)計(jì)業(yè)務(wù)進(jìn)行調(diào)查。上周五,,ADM的CEO胡安·盧西亞諾在一條發(fā)給員工的信息中表示:“這些銷(xiāo)量不會(huì)對(duì)我們的整體業(yè)績(jī)?cè)斐蓪?shí)質(zhì)性影響,。”

再說(shuō)說(shuō)那些股價(jià)下跌的公司,。iRobot的股價(jià)下跌了8.8%,。此前該公司在受到反壟斷監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)審查后,表示同意取消亞馬遜對(duì)它的收購(gòu),。

本周一,,香港地區(qū)的一家法院做出裁決,下令對(duì)全球負(fù)債最高的房地產(chǎn)開(kāi)發(fā)商——中國(guó)恒大進(jìn)行清算,。中國(guó)幾大市場(chǎng)對(duì)此反應(yīng)不一,,港股有所上漲,而滬市有所下跌,。

中國(guó)有關(guān)部門(mén)還采取措施,,加大了部分投資者“做空”中國(guó)股市的難度。中國(guó)股市可以說(shuō)是今年迄今為止最大的熊市之一,,人們擔(dān)憂的不僅是它的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)問(wèn)題,,還有它的經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇乏力問(wèn)題。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

美聯(lián)社記者M(jìn)att Ott和鐘子墨(音)亦對(duì)本文有貢獻(xiàn),。

U.S. stocks rose Monday to kick off a week where Wall Street’s most influential stocks may show whether the huge expectations built up for them are justified.

The S&P 500 gained 36.96 points, or 0.8%, to set another record at 4,927.93. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 224.02, or 0.6%, to 38,333.45, and the Nasdaq composite jumped 172.68, or 1.1%, to 15,628.04.

Big Tech stocks are the main reason the S&P 500 has soared more than 35% to a record since two autumns ago. A small handful of seven has been responsible for the majority of the index’s returns over that time, propelled by a furor around artificial-intelligence technology and expectations for continued dominance.

Five members of that group, nicknamed “the Magnificent Seven,” will report their latest quarterly profits this upcoming week: Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms and Microsoft.

Because they’re so much more massive in size than almost every other stock, their movements pack much more weight on the S&P 500 and other indexes. They’ll need to meet analysts’ expectations for growth to justify their huge recent moves.

And that’s not all that’s coming this week.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will make its latest decision on what to do with interest rates. Traders expect it to make no move, but the hope is that it may cut interest rates at its next meeting in March. That would mark the first downward move since the Fed began dramatically raising interest rates two years ago to get inflation under control.

Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle expects the Fed “to aim to keep a March cut on the table.” It could do that by dropping the “for some time” qualifier it used in the minutes for its last meeting in describing how long it expects to keep rates high.

A wave of encouraging data has Wall Street believing its dream scenario can come true: The Fed will successfully conquer high inflation and deliver the cuts to rates that investors crave, while the economy skirts through without falling into a recession that seemed inevitable last year.

On Friday, an economic report could bolster or weaken beliefs in that dream. The government will release the latest monthly update on the job market, and economists expect it to show continued growth in hiring, but at a cooler pace. That’s exactly what the Fed would want to see because too much growth could mean upward pressure on inflation.

Treasury yields sank in the bond market ahead of the Fed’s meeting, and after the U.S. Treasury Department said it may not borrow as much as it earlier expected in the January-through-March quarter. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.07% from 4.14% late Friday, easing the pressure on the stock market.

This profit reporting season is expected to be lackluster, with analysts forecasting a fourth drop in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies in the last five quarters. But it would be even worse without the Magnificent Seven.

Facebook’s parent company, Meta Platforms, is expected to be the single biggest contributor to growth for the overall S&P 500, according to FactSet. Nvidia is close behind, followed by Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet and Amazon.

Companies so far this reporting season have not been getting as big a boost to their stock price as usual after topping analysts’ forecasts.

Franklin Resources, an investment manager, slipped 0.3% even though it reported stronger profit and revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected.

SoFi Technologies did better, and its stock jumped 20.2% after the financial services company reported stronger results for the last three months of 2023 than analysts expected. Its forecast for profit this upcoming year also topped analysts’ estimates.

Archer Daniels Midland jumped 5.6% for the biggest gain in the S&P 500 to recover some of its sharp loss from last week, after it put its chief financial officer on leave and said it’s investigating some of its accounting practices. In a message to employees on Friday, ADM CEO Juan Luciano said that “these sales do not materially affect our overall results.”

On the losing side of Wall Street, iRobot fell 8.8% after agreeing to call off its purchase by Amazon following scrutiny from antitrust regulators.

Monday kicked off with a Hong Kong court’s decision to order the liquidation of China Evergrande, the world’s most indebted property developer. Chinese markets were mixed following the ruling, with stocks rising in Hong Kong and falling in Shanghai.

Chinese authorities also made moves to make it more difficult for some investors to “short” Chinese stocks, or bet that their prices will fall. China’s stock markets have been among the world’s worst so far this year amid worries about not only its trouble property industry but also its weak economic recovery.

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AP Writers Matt Ott and Zimo Zhong contributed.

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