
? 受本月早些時(shí)候關(guān)稅政策反復(fù)的影響,,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)跌入回調(diào)區(qū)間。周二早盤股市小幅走高,,隨后出現(xiàn)震蕩,。花旗集團(tuán)(Citigroup)財(cái)富管理部門首席投資官凱特·摩爾警告投資者避免進(jìn)一步增持股票,。
美國總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普關(guān)稅政策的不確定性令美股出現(xiàn)波動(dòng),。
本月早些時(shí)候,,隨著特朗普關(guān)稅政策的反復(fù),,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)進(jìn)入回調(diào)區(qū)間。周二早盤,,市場因期待對等關(guān)稅力度減弱而小幅上漲,,但這輪市場波動(dòng)已足以讓花旗集團(tuán)投資解決方案團(tuán)隊(duì)花旗財(cái)富(Citi Wealth)的首席投資官凱特·摩爾發(fā)出警告:切勿繼續(xù)向股市追加資金。
摩爾對CNBC表示:“雖然我不想這樣說,,但我認(rèn)為當(dāng)前不應(yīng)該追加投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資產(chǎn),,如股票或信貸。我認(rèn)為,,短期內(nèi)股市將陷入震蕩區(qū)間,,技術(shù)面壓力和政策擔(dān)憂將令市場反復(fù)波動(dòng)?!?
摩爾并不建議拋售股票,。她建議投資者觀望——這似乎已成為經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域的普遍策略。例如,,美聯(lián)儲暫緩調(diào)整利率,,以觀察關(guān)稅和貿(mào)易形勢的變化。盡管消費(fèi)者信心驟降,,但所有人都在等待硬數(shù)據(jù)(尤其是消費(fèi)物價(jià)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)據(jù))來揭示真相,。
截至周二午盤,市場波動(dòng)持續(xù),。標(biāo)普500指數(shù)微升0.06%,,科技股為主的納斯達(dá)克指數(shù)上漲0.30%,道瓊斯指數(shù)則小幅下跌0.04%,。國際支付公司Convera首席宏觀策略師喬治·維西在周二的聲明中指出:“美國股市仍處于回調(diào)區(qū)間,,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)較近期峰值低約7%?!?/p>
維西提到,,貿(mào)易政策的不確定性加劇以及對經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩的擔(dān)憂,加劇了近期的市場暴跌,。但他同時(shí)指出,,特朗普近期關(guān)于關(guān)稅的言論(暗示可能對部分國家暫停加征關(guān)稅),,在一定程度上緩解了投資者的恐慌,助推股市反彈,。
但市場或延續(xù)震蕩格局,。高盛(Goldman Sachs)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家在周二的一份研究報(bào)告中預(yù)測,隨著美國政府醞釀已久的關(guān)稅計(jì)劃于4月2日生效,,“初期公布的關(guān)稅措施可能令市場意外受挫”,。他們認(rèn)為,特朗普可能以談判為由提出更高稅率,。此外,,該行經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家預(yù)計(jì)關(guān)稅的實(shí)際影響將遠(yuǎn)超市場參與者預(yù)期。
美國銀行(Bank of America)在近期報(bào)告中稱,,其觀察到自去年8月以來最大規(guī)模的股票凈拋售,。其股票策略師寫道,隨著標(biāo)普500指數(shù)在回調(diào)區(qū)間止跌回升,,其客戶在八周來首次轉(zhuǎn)為凈賣出,。該行另一份報(bào)告顯示,由于上周關(guān)稅討論降溫且傳聞?wù)魇辗秶照?,“貿(mào)易政策不確定性指數(shù)顯著下降”,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
? 受本月早些時(shí)候關(guān)稅政策反復(fù)的影響,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)跌入回調(diào)區(qū)間,。周二早盤股市小幅走高,,隨后出現(xiàn)震蕩?;ㄆ旒瘓F(tuán)(Citigroup)財(cái)富管理部門首席投資官凱特·摩爾警告投資者避免進(jìn)一步增持股票,。
美國總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普關(guān)稅政策的不確定性令美股出現(xiàn)波動(dòng)。
本月早些時(shí)候,,隨著特朗普關(guān)稅政策的反復(fù),,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)進(jìn)入回調(diào)區(qū)間。周二早盤,,市場因期待對等關(guān)稅力度減弱而小幅上漲,,但這輪市場波動(dòng)已足以讓花旗集團(tuán)投資解決方案團(tuán)隊(duì)花旗財(cái)富(Citi Wealth)的首席投資官凱特·摩爾發(fā)出警告:切勿繼續(xù)向股市追加資金。
摩爾對CNBC表示:“雖然我不想這樣說,,但我認(rèn)為當(dāng)前不應(yīng)該追加投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資產(chǎn),,如股票或信貸。我認(rèn)為,,短期內(nèi)股市將陷入震蕩區(qū)間,,技術(shù)面壓力和政策擔(dān)憂將令市場反復(fù)波動(dòng)?!?
摩爾并不建議拋售股票,。她建議投資者觀望——這似乎已成為經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域的普遍策略,。例如,美聯(lián)儲暫緩調(diào)整利率,,以觀察關(guān)稅和貿(mào)易形勢的變化,。盡管消費(fèi)者信心驟降,但所有人都在等待硬數(shù)據(jù)(尤其是消費(fèi)物價(jià)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)據(jù))來揭示真相,。
截至周二午盤,,市場波動(dòng)持續(xù)。標(biāo)普500指數(shù)微升0.06%,,科技股為主的納斯達(dá)克指數(shù)上漲0.30%,,道瓊斯指數(shù)則小幅下跌0.04%。國際支付公司Convera首席宏觀策略師喬治·維西在周二的聲明中指出:“美國股市仍處于回調(diào)區(qū)間,,標(biāo)普500指數(shù)較近期峰值低約7%,?!?/p>
維西提到,,貿(mào)易政策的不確定性加劇以及對經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩的擔(dān)憂,加劇了近期的市場暴跌,。但他同時(shí)指出,,特朗普近期關(guān)于關(guān)稅的言論(暗示可能對部分國家暫停加征關(guān)稅),在一定程度上緩解了投資者的恐慌,,助推股市反彈,。
但市場或延續(xù)震蕩格局。高盛(Goldman Sachs)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家在周二的一份研究報(bào)告中預(yù)測,,隨著美國政府醞釀已久的關(guān)稅計(jì)劃于4月2日生效,,“初期公布的關(guān)稅措施可能令市場意外受挫”。他們認(rèn)為,,特朗普可能以談判為由提出更高稅率,。此外,該行經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家預(yù)計(jì)關(guān)稅的實(shí)際影響將遠(yuǎn)超市場參與者預(yù)期,。
美國銀行(Bank of America)在近期報(bào)告中稱,,其觀察到自去年8月以來最大規(guī)模的股票凈拋售。其股票策略師寫道,,隨著標(biāo)普500指數(shù)在回調(diào)區(qū)間止跌回升,,其客戶在八周來首次轉(zhuǎn)為凈賣出。該行另一份報(bào)告顯示,,由于上周關(guān)稅討論降溫且傳聞?wù)魇辗秶照?,“貿(mào)易政策不確定性指數(shù)顯著下降”。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
? The S&P 500 slipped into correction territory on the back of on-again, off-again tariffs earlier this month. Stocks edged higher in early trading on Tuesday before wavering. Kate Moore, chief investment officer for Citigroup’s wealth division, is cautioning against putting more money in stocks.
The uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariffs is pushing markets around.
Earlier this month, the S&P 500 entered correction territory on the back of on-again, off-again tariff threats. On Tuesday, stocks edged higher in early trading off hope that reciprocal tariffs would be diluted, but that volatility was enough for Kate Moore, chief investment officer for Citigroup’s investment solutions team Citi Wealth, to warn against putting any more money in stocks.
“It’s uncomfortable to say this, but I would not be putting more money to work in kind of risk assets at this point, so equities or credit,” Moore told CNBC on Tuesday. “I think the equity market is going to be caught in more of a trading range in the near term as both technical pressures and policy fears bounce us around.”
Moore doesn’t think anyone should sell their stocks. It’s more a wait-and-see game, which seems to be a trend in the economic world. The central bank is leaving interest rates untouched, for one, to see how tariffs and trade play out. Consumer sentiment is plunging, but everyone is waiting to see what the hard data reveals, especially where consumer prices and economic growth are concerned.
As of midday Tuesday, markets wavered a bit. The S&P 500 climbed 0.06%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.30%, and the Dow moved down 0.04%. The U.S. “equity markets remain in drawdown territory, with the S&P 500 about 7% below its recent peak,” Convera’s lead macro strategist George Vessey said in a statement on Tuesday.
Vessey cited increased uncertainty surrounding trade policy and concerns about an economic slowdown that fueled the market’s recent plunge. But he also cited Trump’s recent comments about tariffs, where the president hinted at breaks for some countries, which have subdued investor fears to a degree and has aided a stock rebound, Vessey said.
But markets may continue to swing. Goldman Sachs anticipates “an initial tariff announcement that negatively surprises markets,” economists wrote in a Tuesday research note, referring to the administration’s long-awaited tariff plan that goes into effect on April 2. They suspect Trump will propose higher rates on a basis of negotiation, for one. Plus, the bank’s economists expect the tariffs to be more substantial than what market participants predict.
Bank of America said it saw the biggest net equity sales since August in a recent research note. Its equity strategists wrote that clients were net sellers for the first time in eight weeks as the S&P 500 recovered from its dip in correction territory. In a separate note from the bank, strategists said the lack of tariff talk last week and reports that they would be narrower “resulted in a notable drop in trade policy uncertainty index.”