
一月,泰國(guó)內(nèi)閣通過碳稅征收法案,,成為繼2019年的新加坡之后,,東南亞第二個(gè)開征碳稅的國(guó)家。就在曼谷果斷推出這一措施之際,,世界氣象組織(World Meteorological Organization,,WMO)確認(rèn),2024年為全球有記錄以來最熱一年,,全球平均氣溫較工業(yè)化前水平升高1.55°C,。
全球氣候治理的多邊協(xié)作機(jī)制當(dāng)前正面臨系統(tǒng)性失靈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。據(jù)Carbon Brief智庫(kù)分析,,在《巴黎協(xié)定》的195個(gè)締約方中,,僅有13個(gè)于聯(lián)合國(guó)設(shè)定的2月10日截止期限前做出了新的2035年減排承諾。未履行義務(wù)國(guó)家占全球經(jīng)濟(jì)總量與碳排放量的比重均在80%左右,。尤為值得注意的是,,全球第二大溫室氣體排放國(guó)——美國(guó),甚至打算退出《巴黎協(xié)定》,。
碳稅是鼓勵(lì)脫碳,、推進(jìn)氣候融資最有效的手段之一。歐洲“碳排放總量控制與交易體系”的歷史最為悠久,,該地區(qū)通過征收碳稅對(duì)全球產(chǎn)生了深遠(yuǎn)影響,。
亞洲地區(qū)(碳排放目前約占全球60%)有望引領(lǐng)新一輪全球碳定價(jià)浪潮。這就意味著該地區(qū)企業(yè)必須做好準(zhǔn)備,,將碳排放成本納入運(yùn)營(yíng)框架,,并對(duì)經(jīng)營(yíng)戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行相應(yīng)調(diào)整。
亞洲為何積極推行碳稅機(jī)制,?
亞洲開發(fā)銀行(The Asian Development Bank)最新研究顯示,,為維持經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、消除貧困,、應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化,,亞太地區(qū)發(fā)展中國(guó)家每年需投入1.7萬億美元用于基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè),其中每年僅用于減緩氣候變化影響的支出就高達(dá)2000億,。
碳稅收入可以為填補(bǔ)資金缺口提供助力,,這也是亞洲各國(guó)政府當(dāng)前積極推行碳定價(jià)政策的核心動(dòng)因,。
2012年,,日本推出亞洲首個(gè)碳稅法案,目前,該國(guó)正在對(duì)碳定價(jià)體系進(jìn)行升級(jí),。中國(guó),、日本和韓國(guó)也在通過一系列強(qiáng)制性碳排放交易系統(tǒng)對(duì)特定行業(yè)或超過一定排放門檻的企業(yè)征收碳稅。
從制度設(shè)計(jì)來看,,為實(shí)現(xiàn)減排目標(biāo),,碳稅應(yīng)設(shè)置自動(dòng)遞增機(jī)制。盡管政府通常不愿加稅,,但基于以下三大動(dòng)因,,亞洲國(guó)家或會(huì)做出這一艱難選擇。
首先,,亞洲特別容易受到氣候風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響,。根據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)數(shù)據(jù),在全球受海平面上升威脅的人口中,,有70%居住在亞洲地區(qū),,同時(shí)該地區(qū)三分之一的就業(yè)集中在農(nóng)、漁等易受氣候變化沖擊的行業(yè),。
其次,,碳稅將為亞洲各國(guó)政府的氣候政策(如減排、研發(fā)和企業(yè)扶持)提供資金支持,。盡管亞洲85%的能源仍依賴化石燃料,,但其向可再生能源轉(zhuǎn)型的速度快于其他地區(qū)。通過直接經(jīng)濟(jì)激勵(lì),,碳定價(jià)可以引導(dǎo)能源開發(fā)商從化石燃料轉(zhuǎn)向太陽能,、低碳?xì)淠艿惹鍧嵦娲桨浮km然初期投資較大,,但這些方案在后期甚至可能更具成本優(yōu)勢(shì),。
第三,在其他地區(qū)開征碳稅后,,亞洲國(guó)家也必須采取相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)措施,。比如,出口歐盟的企業(yè)就必須按照歐盟碳邊境調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制(Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism,,CBAM)的要求繳納碳稅,。該機(jī)制現(xiàn)已分階段實(shí)施,并將于2026年全面生效,。
歐盟碳邊境調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制要求,,進(jìn)口商在進(jìn)口產(chǎn)自歐盟及歐洲自由貿(mào)易聯(lián)盟(EFTA)以外國(guó)家的鋼鐵等高碳產(chǎn)品時(shí),需補(bǔ)繳原產(chǎn)國(guó)碳價(jià)低于歐盟碳價(jià)(根據(jù)歐盟碳排放交易體系計(jì)算)的部分,。
這實(shí)際上相當(dāng)于歐盟向亞洲出口商開征了新稅種,,因?yàn)檫M(jìn)口商幾乎必然會(huì)將這部分成本轉(zhuǎn)嫁給出口商,。亞洲政策制定者需要應(yīng)對(duì)可能由此帶來的稅收流失問題。
馬來西亞承諾自2026年起對(duì)鋼鐵行業(yè)征收碳稅,,這也是亞洲各國(guó)政府在應(yīng)對(duì)上述三重壓力時(shí)會(huì)采取的典型做法,。此類政策既能推動(dòng)行業(yè)采用低碳技術(shù),又能確保碳稅收入留在國(guó)內(nèi),,而非流向外國(guó)政府,。
憑借企業(yè)的創(chuàng)新與快速適應(yīng)能力,亞洲長(zhǎng)期以來一直是全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要引擎,,如今更有望通過主導(dǎo)碳市場(chǎng)的規(guī)則演進(jìn),、運(yùn)用碳定價(jià)工具支撐經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型,獲得更大話語權(quán),。
機(jī)不可失,,時(shí)不再來
隨著碳價(jià)上漲成為必然,企業(yè)必須立即降低碳排放強(qiáng)度,。也就是說,,企業(yè)需要加大投入,研發(fā)能效提升工藝,,新建碳捕集與封存設(shè)施,。
亞洲企業(yè)可以從銀行、資產(chǎn)管理公司以及專業(yè)或優(yōu)惠資本提供方獲取融資,。目前,,部分官方機(jī)構(gòu)已開始推動(dòng)轉(zhuǎn)型金融標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化進(jìn)程,比如新加坡金融管理局推出的《新加坡-亞洲可持續(xù)金融分類法》(SAT)便是為此而生,。作為全球首個(gè)此類機(jī)制,,SAT旨在對(duì)綠色經(jīng)濟(jì)與轉(zhuǎn)型經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)進(jìn)行界定,并通過統(tǒng)一術(shù)語為市場(chǎng)參與者提供清晰指引,。
2024年11月,,國(guó)際可持續(xù)金融平臺(tái)(The International Platform on Sustainable Finance,IPSF)宣布推出涵蓋SAT的《多轄區(qū)共同基礎(chǔ)分類方案》,,在歐盟與中國(guó)前期工作的基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)一步推動(dòng)了規(guī)則統(tǒng)一,。
隨著越來越多的政府機(jī)構(gòu)開始依據(jù)國(guó)際可持續(xù)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)制定機(jī)構(gòu)的指引推行披露制度,不同司法管轄區(qū)的政策或?qū)⑦M(jìn)一步統(tǒng)一,,跨國(guó)運(yùn)營(yíng)企業(yè)或?qū)⒚媾R更嚴(yán)格的非財(cái)務(wù)信息披露要求,。
在美國(guó)(至少在聯(lián)邦層面)氣候政策轉(zhuǎn)向、歐洲日益聚焦安全議題的背景下,,亞洲政策制定者理所當(dāng)然接過了碳定價(jià)的接力棒,。精明的企業(yè)必須未雨綢繆,只有這樣才能搶占先機(jī),。
帕特里克·溫特是安永會(huì)計(jì)師事務(wù)所亞太區(qū)管理合伙人,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
一月,,泰國(guó)內(nèi)閣通過碳稅征收法案,成為繼2019年的新加坡之后,,東南亞第二個(gè)開征碳稅的國(guó)家,。就在曼谷果斷推出這一措施之際,,世界氣象組織(World Meteorological Organization,,WMO)確認(rèn),2024年為全球有記錄以來最熱一年,,全球平均氣溫較工業(yè)化前水平升高1.55°C,。
全球氣候治理的多邊協(xié)作機(jī)制當(dāng)前正面臨系統(tǒng)性失靈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。據(jù)Carbon Brief智庫(kù)分析,,在《巴黎協(xié)定》的195個(gè)締約方中,,僅有13個(gè)于聯(lián)合國(guó)設(shè)定的2月10日截止期限前做出了新的2035年減排承諾。未履行義務(wù)國(guó)家占全球經(jīng)濟(jì)總量與碳排放量的比重均在80%左右,。尤為值得注意的是,,全球第二大溫室氣體排放國(guó)——美國(guó),甚至打算退出《巴黎協(xié)定》,。
碳稅是鼓勵(lì)脫碳,、推進(jìn)氣候融資最有效的手段之一。歐洲“碳排放總量控制與交易體系”的歷史最為悠久,,該地區(qū)通過征收碳稅對(duì)全球產(chǎn)生了深遠(yuǎn)影響,。
亞洲地區(qū)(碳排放目前約占全球60%)有望引領(lǐng)新一輪全球碳定價(jià)浪潮。這就意味著該地區(qū)企業(yè)必須做好準(zhǔn)備,,將碳排放成本納入運(yùn)營(yíng)框架,,并對(duì)經(jīng)營(yíng)戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行相應(yīng)調(diào)整。
亞洲為何積極推行碳稅機(jī)制,?
亞洲開發(fā)銀行(The Asian Development Bank)最新研究顯示,,為維持經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、消除貧困,、應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化,,亞太地區(qū)發(fā)展中國(guó)家每年需投入1.7萬億美元用于基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè),其中每年僅用于減緩氣候變化影響的支出就高達(dá)2000億,。
碳稅收入可以為填補(bǔ)資金缺口提供助力,,這也是亞洲各國(guó)政府當(dāng)前積極推行碳定價(jià)政策的核心動(dòng)因。
2012年,,日本推出亞洲首個(gè)碳稅法案,,目前,該國(guó)正在對(duì)碳定價(jià)體系進(jìn)行升級(jí),。中國(guó),、日本和韓國(guó)也在通過一系列強(qiáng)制性碳排放交易系統(tǒng)對(duì)特定行業(yè)或超過一定排放門檻的企業(yè)征收碳稅,。
從制度設(shè)計(jì)來看,為實(shí)現(xiàn)減排目標(biāo),,碳稅應(yīng)設(shè)置自動(dòng)遞增機(jī)制,。盡管政府通常不愿加稅,但基于以下三大動(dòng)因,,亞洲國(guó)家或會(huì)做出這一艱難選擇,。
首先,亞洲特別容易受到氣候風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響,。根據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)數(shù)據(jù),,在全球受海平面上升威脅的人口中,有70%居住在亞洲地區(qū),,同時(shí)該地區(qū)三分之一的就業(yè)集中在農(nóng),、漁等易受氣候變化沖擊的行業(yè)。
其次,,碳稅將為亞洲各國(guó)政府的氣候政策(如減排,、研發(fā)和企業(yè)扶持)提供資金支持。盡管亞洲85%的能源仍依賴化石燃料,,但其向可再生能源轉(zhuǎn)型的速度快于其他地區(qū),。通過直接經(jīng)濟(jì)激勵(lì),碳定價(jià)可以引導(dǎo)能源開發(fā)商從化石燃料轉(zhuǎn)向太陽能,、低碳?xì)淠艿惹鍧嵦娲桨?。雖然初期投資較大,但這些方案在后期甚至可能更具成本優(yōu)勢(shì),。
第三,,在其他地區(qū)開征碳稅后,亞洲國(guó)家也必須采取相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)措施,。比如,,出口歐盟的企業(yè)就必須按照歐盟碳邊境調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制(Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism,CBAM)的要求繳納碳稅,。該機(jī)制現(xiàn)已分階段實(shí)施,,并將于2026年全面生效。
歐盟碳邊境調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制要求,,進(jìn)口商在進(jìn)口產(chǎn)自歐盟及歐洲自由貿(mào)易聯(lián)盟(EFTA)以外國(guó)家的鋼鐵等高碳產(chǎn)品時(shí),,需補(bǔ)繳原產(chǎn)國(guó)碳價(jià)低于歐盟碳價(jià)(根據(jù)歐盟碳排放交易體系計(jì)算)的部分。
這實(shí)際上相當(dāng)于歐盟向亞洲出口商開征了新稅種,,因?yàn)檫M(jìn)口商幾乎必然會(huì)將這部分成本轉(zhuǎn)嫁給出口商,。亞洲政策制定者需要應(yīng)對(duì)可能由此帶來的稅收流失問題。
馬來西亞承諾自2026年起對(duì)鋼鐵行業(yè)征收碳稅,,這也是亞洲各國(guó)政府在應(yīng)對(duì)上述三重壓力時(shí)會(huì)采取的典型做法,。此類政策既能推動(dòng)行業(yè)采用低碳技術(shù),,又能確保碳稅收入留在國(guó)內(nèi),而非流向外國(guó)政府,。
憑借企業(yè)的創(chuàng)新與快速適應(yīng)能力,,亞洲長(zhǎng)期以來一直是全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要引擎,如今更有望通過主導(dǎo)碳市場(chǎng)的規(guī)則演進(jìn),、運(yùn)用碳定價(jià)工具支撐經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型,,獲得更大話語權(quán)。
機(jī)不可失,,時(shí)不再來
隨著碳價(jià)上漲成為必然,,企業(yè)必須立即降低碳排放強(qiáng)度,。也就是說,,企業(yè)需要加大投入,研發(fā)能效提升工藝,,新建碳捕集與封存設(shè)施,。
亞洲企業(yè)可以從銀行、資產(chǎn)管理公司以及專業(yè)或優(yōu)惠資本提供方獲取融資,。目前,,部分官方機(jī)構(gòu)已開始推動(dòng)轉(zhuǎn)型金融標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化進(jìn)程,比如新加坡金融管理局推出的《新加坡-亞洲可持續(xù)金融分類法》(SAT)便是為此而生,。作為全球首個(gè)此類機(jī)制,,SAT旨在對(duì)綠色經(jīng)濟(jì)與轉(zhuǎn)型經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)進(jìn)行界定,并通過統(tǒng)一術(shù)語為市場(chǎng)參與者提供清晰指引,。
2024年11月,,國(guó)際可持續(xù)金融平臺(tái)(The International Platform on Sustainable Finance,IPSF)宣布推出涵蓋SAT的《多轄區(qū)共同基礎(chǔ)分類方案》,,在歐盟與中國(guó)前期工作的基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)一步推動(dòng)了規(guī)則統(tǒng)一,。
隨著越來越多的政府機(jī)構(gòu)開始依據(jù)國(guó)際可持續(xù)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)制定機(jī)構(gòu)的指引推行披露制度,不同司法管轄區(qū)的政策或?qū)⑦M(jìn)一步統(tǒng)一,,跨國(guó)運(yùn)營(yíng)企業(yè)或?qū)⒚媾R更嚴(yán)格的非財(cái)務(wù)信息披露要求,。
在美國(guó)(至少在聯(lián)邦層面)氣候政策轉(zhuǎn)向、歐洲日益聚焦安全議題的背景下,,亞洲政策制定者理所當(dāng)然接過了碳定價(jià)的接力棒,。精明的企業(yè)必須未雨綢繆,只有這樣才能搶占先機(jī),。
帕特里克·溫特是安永會(huì)計(jì)師事務(wù)所亞太區(qū)管理合伙人,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
Last month, Thailand’s cabinet approved the collection of a carbon tax, the second in Southeast Asia after Singapore imposed its own carbon duty in 2019. Bangkok took this bold step right as the World Meteorological Organization confirmed that 2024 was the hottest year on record, with average temperatures at 1.55 degrees above pre-industrial levels.
Multilateral efforts to fight climate change are fracturing. According to a Carbon Brief analysis, just 13 of the 195 signatories to the Paris Agreement met the UN’s Feb. 10 deadline to make new pledges to cut emissions by 2035. Countries that skipped the assignment account for around 80% of both world economic activity and carbon emissions. And the U.S., the world’s second largest emitter of greenhouse gases, is exiting the Paris Agreement altogether.
A carbon tax is one of the most effective ways to encourage decarbonization and fund ways to mitigate the harms of climate change. Europe, which has the world’s oldest cap-and-trade system, is implementing a carbon tax with global implications.
But now Asia, accounting for some 60% of world carbon emissions, looks set to lead the next wave of progress on carbon pricing. And that means businesses in the region will need to prepare for a world where they pay for their emissions—and adjust their strategy accordingly.
Why Asia is embracing carbon taxes
The Asian Development Bank estimates that developing countries in Asia Pacific need to invest $1.7 trillion a year in infrastructure to maintain growth, tackle poverty and respond to climate change, and that the cost of mitigating climate change is $200 billion annually.
Carbon tax revenue can help meet those financing needs, which is why governments around Asia are now embracing ways to price carbon.
Japan introduced Asia’s first carbon tax in 2012 and is now upgrading its carbon pricing framework. China, Japan and Korea have also put a price on carbon through mandatory emissions trading systems for companies in certain sectors, or with emissions above a certain threshold.
By design, carbon taxes should automatically increase to achieve their goal of encouraging emissions reductions. Governments often shy away from hiking taxes, but Asian governments are likely to make that tough decision for three reasons.
First, Asia is particularly exposed to climate risk. According to the UN, the region is home to 70% of the global population at risk from rising sea levels. And one third of its total employment is in sectors hurt by climate change, like farming and fishing.
Second, carbon taxes will help Asian governments fund their climate policies, such as mitigation, R&D, and support for businesses. While Asia still relies on fossil fuels for 85% of its energy, it’s shifting faster towards renewables compared to other regions. Carbon pricing provides a direct incentive to steer energy developers away from fossil fuels and towards cleaner alternatives, like solar and low-carbon hydrogen. These options may even end up being cheaper, after the initial investment.
Third, Asia must respond to other regions using carbon pricing. Exporters to the European Union face a carbon tax in the form of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which is being phased in and will be fully implemented in 2026.
Europe’s CBAM requires importers of carbon-intensive products like steel from countries outside the EU and European Free Trade Association (EFTA) to pay the difference between the carbon price in the country of origin and a carbon price linked to the EU Emissions Trading System.
This means Asian exporters would effectively be paying a new EU tax, since their buyers would almost certainly pass the cost to them. Asian policymakers will need to address this potential tax leakage.
Malaysia’s pledge to tax its iron and steel sectors starting in 2026 is one pointer to how Asia’s governments will respond to these three pressures. These regulations will encourage industries to adopt low-carbon technologies, while also ensuring that any tax revenue is kept at home, rather than paid to foreign governments.
Asia has long been an engine of global economic growth thanks to its companies’ capacity for innovation and rapid adaptation. It now stands to gain greater clout to shape evolving carbon market rules and to harness the power of carbon pricing to support economic transformation.
No time like the present
With higher prices for carbon emissions a certainty, companies will need to reduce their carbon intensity today. That could mean investing in energy-efficient processes, or in new carbon capture and storage facilities.
Asian companies can look for financing from banks, asset managers and specialist or concessional capital providers. Institutions like the Monetary Authority of Singapore are starting to standardize transition finance, through frameworks like the Singapore-Asia Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance (SAT), the world’s first such taxonomy, to define the green and transition economy and provide clarity via a common language for market participants.
The International Platform on Sustainable Finance in November announced a multi-jurisdictional Common Ground Taxonomy that incorporates the SAT, building on earlier work to harmonise standards between the EU and China.
As more governments introduce disclosure regimes based on the guidance laid down by international sustainability standards bodies, we may see greater harmonisation across jurisdictions leading to more robust non-financial disclosure requirements for companies that operate globally.
As the U.S. changes direction on climate, at least at the federal level, and Europe increasingly focuses on security, Asian policymakers are picking up the baton on carbon pricing—and for good reason. Smart companies will need to be one step ahead.
Patrick Winter is the Asia-Pacific area managing partner for EY.