
? 高盛(Goldman Sachs)的報(bào)告指出,,對(duì)沖基金正在加速減持全球科技股,其中半導(dǎo)體行業(yè)遭遇的拋售潮最為猛烈,。盡管科技股素來容易波動(dòng),,但今年有多重因素使科技公司承受了更大壓力。
高盛Prime Services部門的一份報(bào)告顯示,,對(duì)沖基金正在加速減持全球信息技術(shù)股票,,本輪拋售潮創(chuàng)下六個(gè)月以來的最快減持速度。
本就面臨業(yè)績波動(dòng)的科技板塊,在高盛的主經(jīng)紀(jì)平臺(tái)上已成為凈賣出量最高的行業(yè),。美國科技股成為此次拋售潮的重災(zāi)區(qū),,約占全球凈賣出量的75%。
拋售最嚴(yán)重的板塊集中在半導(dǎo)體和半導(dǎo)體設(shè)備領(lǐng)域,,只有電子設(shè)備和通信設(shè)備兩個(gè)子板塊沒有經(jīng)歷資金凈流出,。
報(bào)告顯示,美國對(duì)沖基金對(duì)信息技術(shù)股票的配置比例已降至16.4%,,為五年來最低水平,,這一變化釋放出投資者情緒轉(zhuǎn)向的信號(hào)。
多年來,,對(duì)沖基金始終保持較高的科技股配置,,押注該行業(yè)的持續(xù)創(chuàng)新與強(qiáng)勁盈利增長。
然而,,不斷加劇的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)壓力,,包括影響全球貿(mào)易的關(guān)稅威脅、過高的公司估值和公司可持續(xù)收益的不確定性等,,可能引發(fā)了這波去風(fēng)險(xiǎn)化操作,。
摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)上周四發(fā)布的報(bào)告顯示,對(duì)沖基金還在加大做空力度,,英偉達(dá)(Nvidia),、超微半導(dǎo)體(Advanced Micro Devices)和特斯拉(Tesla)成為其前三大做空標(biāo)的。
本輪拋售潮的主要原因是對(duì)沖基金削減多頭頭寸與增加空頭押注,,這反映出對(duì)沖基金對(duì)該板塊的前景趨于悲觀,。做空頭寸押注資產(chǎn)價(jià)格下跌,而做多頭寸則預(yù)期價(jià)格上漲,。
科技股劇烈波動(dòng)
科技股經(jīng)歷了動(dòng)蕩的一年,。
科技股素來容易波動(dòng),因?yàn)檫@些科技公司往往估值較高且有極高的市盈率,,但今年有多重因素使科技股承受了更大壓力,。
今年1月,中國高級(jí)人工智能推理模型深度求索(DeepSeek)發(fā)布后,,投資者對(duì)美國大型科技公司的信心受到?jīng)_擊,。該公司的R1人工智能模型所帶來的不確定性,導(dǎo)致美國科技板塊的市值一天蒸發(fā)了近1萬億美元,,并促使人們重新思考AI公司的估值,。
深度求索聲稱其最新模型的開發(fā)所使用的是性能較弱但成本更低的芯片,,這給英偉達(dá)的股價(jià)帶來了下行壓力,,由此引發(fā)拋售潮,因?yàn)橥顿Y者擔(dān)心美國的大型科技公司可能對(duì)該芯片制造商更為先進(jìn)芯片的需求減少。
特朗普總統(tǒng)的關(guān)稅措施導(dǎo)致貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)升級(jí)的威脅,,也沖擊了科技股的行情,。特朗普宣布將對(duì)“所有國家”加征關(guān)稅并威脅對(duì)俄羅斯石油征收關(guān)稅的次日,美股暴跌,。
周一,,臺(tái)積電(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)、SK海力士(SK Hynix),、三星(Samsung)和東京威力科創(chuàng)(Tokyo Electron)等芯片廠商的股價(jià)全線下跌,。
對(duì)AI泡沫的擔(dān)憂
一些投資者和分析師擔(dān)心,科技股可能陷入了AI所催生的泡沫,。雖然AI潛力無限,,但AI開發(fā)公司的估值快速上漲,也引發(fā)了這些公司是否被過度炒作或估值過高的擔(dān)憂,。
在上周發(fā)布的一份戰(zhàn)略報(bào)告中,,高盛試圖讓投資者相信科技板塊依舊存在大量投資機(jī)會(huì),打消了投資者認(rèn)為科技板塊陷入AI泡沫的擔(dān)憂,。
這份報(bào)告指出,,盡管當(dāng)前對(duì)大型科技公司股票的拋售潮,被拿來與25年前的互聯(lián)網(wǎng)泡沫相提并論,,但2000年和2025年的關(guān)鍵區(qū)別在于,,如今科技股不斷攀升的估值在很大程度上受到強(qiáng)勁基本面的支撐,例如企業(yè)利潤的激增,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
? 高盛(Goldman Sachs)的報(bào)告指出,,對(duì)沖基金正在加速減持全球科技股,其中半導(dǎo)體行業(yè)遭遇的拋售潮最為猛烈,。盡管科技股素來容易波動(dòng),,但今年有多重因素使科技公司承受了更大壓力。
高盛Prime Services部門的一份報(bào)告顯示,,對(duì)沖基金正在加速減持全球信息技術(shù)股票,,本輪拋售潮創(chuàng)下六個(gè)月以來的最快減持速度。
本就面臨業(yè)績波動(dòng)的科技板塊,,在高盛的主經(jīng)紀(jì)平臺(tái)上已成為凈賣出量最高的行業(yè),。美國科技股成為此次拋售潮的重災(zāi)區(qū),約占全球凈賣出量的75%,。
拋售最嚴(yán)重的板塊集中在半導(dǎo)體和半導(dǎo)體設(shè)備領(lǐng)域,,只有電子設(shè)備和通信設(shè)備兩個(gè)子板塊沒有經(jīng)歷資金凈流出。
報(bào)告顯示,,美國對(duì)沖基金對(duì)信息技術(shù)股票的配置比例已降至16.4%,,為五年來最低水平,,這一變化釋放出投資者情緒轉(zhuǎn)向的信號(hào)。
多年來,,對(duì)沖基金始終保持較高的科技股配置,,押注該行業(yè)的持續(xù)創(chuàng)新與強(qiáng)勁盈利增長。
然而,,不斷加劇的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)壓力,,包括影響全球貿(mào)易的關(guān)稅威脅、過高的公司估值和公司可持續(xù)收益的不確定性等,,可能引發(fā)了這波去風(fēng)險(xiǎn)化操作,。
摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)上周四發(fā)布的報(bào)告顯示,對(duì)沖基金還在加大做空力度,,英偉達(dá)(Nvidia),、超微半導(dǎo)體(Advanced Micro Devices)和特斯拉(Tesla)成為其前三大做空標(biāo)的。
本輪拋售潮的主要原因是對(duì)沖基金削減多頭頭寸與增加空頭押注,,這反映出對(duì)沖基金對(duì)該板塊的前景趨于悲觀,。做空頭寸押注資產(chǎn)價(jià)格下跌,而做多頭寸則預(yù)期價(jià)格上漲,。
科技股劇烈波動(dòng)
科技股經(jīng)歷了動(dòng)蕩的一年,。
科技股素來容易波動(dòng),因?yàn)檫@些科技公司往往估值較高且有極高的市盈率,,但今年有多重因素使科技股承受了更大壓力,。
今年1月,中國高級(jí)人工智能推理模型深度求索(DeepSeek)發(fā)布后,,投資者對(duì)美國大型科技公司的信心受到?jīng)_擊,。該公司的R1人工智能模型所帶來的不確定性,導(dǎo)致美國科技板塊的市值一天蒸發(fā)了近1萬億美元,,并促使人們重新思考AI公司的估值,。
深度求索聲稱其最新模型的開發(fā)所使用的是性能較弱但成本更低的芯片,這給英偉達(dá)的股價(jià)帶來了下行壓力,,由此引發(fā)拋售潮,,因?yàn)橥顿Y者擔(dān)心美國的大型科技公司可能對(duì)該芯片制造商更為先進(jìn)芯片的需求減少。
特朗普總統(tǒng)的關(guān)稅措施導(dǎo)致貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)升級(jí)的威脅,,也沖擊了科技股的行情,。特朗普宣布將對(duì)“所有國家”加征關(guān)稅并威脅對(duì)俄羅斯石油征收關(guān)稅的次日,美股暴跌,。
周一,,臺(tái)積電(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)、SK海力士(SK Hynix),、三星(Samsung)和東京威力科創(chuàng)(Tokyo Electron)等芯片廠商的股價(jià)全線下跌,。
對(duì)AI泡沫的擔(dān)憂
一些投資者和分析師擔(dān)心,,科技股可能陷入了AI所催生的泡沫。雖然AI潛力無限,,但AI開發(fā)公司的估值快速上漲,,也引發(fā)了這些公司是否被過度炒作或估值過高的擔(dān)憂,。
在上周發(fā)布的一份戰(zhàn)略報(bào)告中,,高盛試圖讓投資者相信科技板塊依舊存在大量投資機(jī)會(huì),打消了投資者認(rèn)為科技板塊陷入AI泡沫的擔(dān)憂,。
這份報(bào)告指出,,盡管當(dāng)前對(duì)大型科技公司股票的拋售潮,被拿來與25年前的互聯(lián)網(wǎng)泡沫相提并論,,但2000年和2025年的關(guān)鍵區(qū)別在于,,如今科技股不斷攀升的估值在很大程度上受到強(qiáng)勁基本面的支撐,例如企業(yè)利潤的激增,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:劉進(jìn)龍
審校:汪皓
? Hedge funds are rapidly pulling back from global tech stocks, with the heaviest selling concentrated in the semiconductor sector, according to a note from Goldman Sachs. While tech stocks generally are volatile, several factors have put even more pressure on technology companies this year.
Hedge funds are reducing their exposure to global information technology stocks at an accelerated pace, with the latest selloff marking the fastest decline in six months, according to a note from Goldman Sachs’ Prime Services desk.
The tech sector, which is already struggling with volatile performance, saw the highest net selling activity on Goldman’s prime brokerage platform. U.S. tech stocks bore the brunt of the selloff, making up about 75% of global net selling.
The heaviest selling was concentrated in the semiconductors and semiconductor equipment sectors, while only electronic equipment and communications equipment stocks avoided net outflows.
U.S. hedge fund exposure to the information technology sector has fallen to 16.4%, the lowest level in five years, per the note, signaling a shift in investor sentiment.
For years, hedge funds have maintained relatively elevated exposure to technology stocks, betting on continued innovation and strong earnings growth.
However, mounting macroeconomic pressures—including the threat of tariffs affecting global trade, lofty valuations, and uncertainty around the sustainability of earnings—may have prompted a wave of de-risking.
According to a Thursday note from Morgan Stanley, hedge funds have also been ramping up their short positions, with Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Tesla emerging as their top three shorts.
The selloff latest was largely driven by hedge funds reducing their long positions while increasing short bets, indicating a more bearish stance on the sector’s future. A short position bets on an asset’s price declining, while a long position anticipates it will increase.
Tech stocks have been volatile
Technology stocks have had a tumultuous year.
While tech stocks are generally more volatile as companies tend to have high valuations paired with very high price-earnings ratios, several factors have put even more pressure on technology shares this year.
Investor confidence in major U.S. tech companies took a hit in January after the release of an advanced reasoning AI China-based DeepSeek. The uncertainty generated by the company’s R1 AI model wiped nearly $1 trillion off U.S. tech sector market capitalization in a single day and forced a rethink of AI valuations.
The selloff was sparked by claims that DeepSeek built its newest model using lower capability and less expensive chips, something that put pressure on Nvidia shares as investors worried that other Big Tech firms could scale back their demand for the chipmaker’s more advanced offerings.
The threat of an escalating trade war over President Trump’s tariffs has also hit technology stocks. Overnight, stocks plunged after Trump said he would issue tariffs on “all countries” and threatened to impose levies on Russian oil.
Chipmakers such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, SK Hynix, Samsung, and Tokyo Electron all saw declines on Monday.
Fears of AI Bubble
There has been concern among some investors and analysts that tech stocks might be in an AI-induced bubble. While AI has significant potential, the rapid rise in valuations for companies developing the tech has raised questions about whether they are being overhyped or overvalued.
In a strategy paper published last week, Goldman Sachs tried to reassure investors that strong investment opportunities in the tech sector remain and dispelled fears the stocks were in an AI bubble.
The paper said that although the current selloff in big tech had prompted comparisons with the dot-com bubble burst 25 years ago, the key distinction between 2000 and 2025 is that today’s rising tech stock valuations are largely supported by strong fundamentals, such as surging profits.