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美股暴跌,巴菲特的最近舉措顯示出驚人智慧

Jason Ma
2025-04-08

去年,,他決定減持伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司所持的大部分蘋果股票,,現(xiàn)在看來時機特別合適,。

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沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)在2019年奧馬哈·內(nèi)布拉斯加州伯克希爾股東會議上。圖片來源:Johannes Eiselle—AFP via Getty Images

·美國總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的全球關稅政策引發(fā)股市崩盤,,卻仍讓沃倫·巴菲特過去一年的投資舉動得到關注,,凸顯出他在一度火爆的牛市中的謹慎態(tài)度。去年,,他決定減持伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司所持的大部分蘋果股票,,現(xiàn)在看來時機特別合適。

在特朗普的全球關稅導致股市崩盤之后,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司董事長和首席執(zhí)行官沃倫·巴菲特在過去一年的投資舉動現(xiàn)在看上去出奇地恰到好處,。

僅在最近兩個交易日,標準普爾500指數(shù)就暴跌了10%,,而大盤指數(shù)從2月中旬的峰值下跌了17%,。與此同時,以科技股為主的納斯達克指數(shù)和小盤股羅素2000指數(shù)已從近期高點跌落20%還多,,進入熊市,。

自特朗普上周宣布“解放日”以來,美國股市的總市值已損失6萬多億美元,。關稅政策導致美國經(jīng)濟衰退,,市場出現(xiàn)自2020年新冠疫情以后最嚴重的拋售,。

但巴菲特似乎提前預見到了市場的低迷。2024年,,當牛市仍在時,,伯克希爾出售了1340億美元的股票,年底現(xiàn)金儲備達到創(chuàng)紀錄的3340億美元,,比一年前幾乎翻了一番,,超過其不斷縮水的2720億美元股票投資組合。

這位以價值為導向的著名投資者多年來一直抱怨估值過高,,由于缺乏價格合適的交易對象,,他一直沒有使用現(xiàn)金進行大規(guī)模收購。

伯克希爾的現(xiàn)金大部分為短期國庫券,,這不僅為該集團提供了避風港,,也為該集團帶來了可觀的收益,巴菲特在最近致股東的信中提到了這一點,。

他在2月時曾寫道:“由于美國國債的收益率提高,,我們大幅增加了這些高流動性短期證券的投資,因此投資收入出現(xiàn)了可預測的大幅增長,,這為我們提供了幫助,。”

當市場崩盤,,不但他買入的股票受到關注,,他賣掉的那些股票也吸引了人們注意。

去年,,伯克希爾將其持有的蘋果股份減少了約三分之二,,占公司賣出股票的大部分,盡管這家手機制造商在其持有的股票中仍然占最大份額,。

該公司是在去年的前三個季度售出蘋果股票的,,當時蘋果股價仍在上漲期間,并于去年12月底達到峰值,。

但自那次峰值以來,,由于預期美國將對中國嚴厲加征高額關稅,蘋果股價已暴跌28%,。這是因為蘋果和很多科技公司一樣,,零部件的生產(chǎn)和制造都依賴中國。

隨著特朗普最新一輪關稅調(diào)整,,從中國進口的商品現(xiàn)在面臨54%的關稅,。如果政府兌現(xiàn)其威脅,對從委內(nèi)瑞拉購買石油的國家征收“次級關稅”,該稅率可能會達到79%,。

與此同時,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司還在拋售美國銀行(Bank of America)和花旗集團(Citigroup)的股票。今年到目前為止,,這兩家銀行巨頭的股價都下跌了約22%,。

相比之下,伯克希爾公司的B類股票今年上漲了9%,,盡管在過去一周中略有下跌,。該公司的業(yè)務范圍廣泛,包括保險,、鐵路和能源,,主要集中在美國,與進口的關聯(lián)較小,。

因此,,與他的同齡人不同,巴菲特的個人財富今年繼續(xù)增長,。根據(jù)彭博億萬富翁指數(shù),,他的凈資產(chǎn)今年增加了127億美元,總共達到1550億美元,,在名單上排名第六,,基本上與比爾·蓋茨(Bill Gates)并列,比爾·蓋茨的財富減少了33.8億美元,。

埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)以3,020億美元位居榜首,盡管這個數(shù)字在2025年減少了1,300億美元,,其次是杰夫·貝佐斯(Jeff Bezos)的1,930億美元,,比去年減少了452億美元。

關于最近的市場崩盤是否會促使巴菲特進行大規(guī)模收購或購入股票,,巴菲特的追隨者正在拭目以待,。而他2月份的信件可能提供了一條線索。

“伯克希爾的股東可以放心,,我們將永遠將大部分資金配置在股票上——主要是美國股票,,盡管其中許多股票有重要的國際業(yè)務,”他寫道,,“伯克希爾永遠不會把持有現(xiàn)金等價物資產(chǎn)的優(yōu)先級放在持有優(yōu)秀的企業(yè)之上,,無論是控股還是僅部分擁有?!保ㄘ敻恢形木W(wǎng))

譯者:珠珠

·美國總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的全球關稅政策引發(fā)股市崩盤,,卻仍讓沃倫·巴菲特過去一年的投資舉動得到關注,凸顯出他在一度火爆的牛市中的謹慎態(tài)度。去年,,他決定減持伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司所持的大部分蘋果股票,,現(xiàn)在看來時機特別合適。

在特朗普的全球關稅導致股市崩盤之后,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司董事長和首席執(zhí)行官沃倫·巴菲特在過去一年的投資舉動現(xiàn)在看上去出奇地恰到好處,。

僅在最近兩個交易日,標準普爾500指數(shù)就暴跌了10%,,而大盤指數(shù)從2月中旬的峰值下跌了17%,。與此同時,以科技股為主的納斯達克指數(shù)和小盤股羅素2000指數(shù)已從近期高點跌落20%還多,,進入熊市,。

自特朗普上周宣布“解放日”以來,美國股市的總市值已損失6萬多億美元,。關稅政策導致美國經(jīng)濟衰退,,市場出現(xiàn)自2020年新冠疫情以后最嚴重的拋售。

但巴菲特似乎提前預見到了市場的低迷,。2024年,,當牛市仍在時,伯克希爾出售了1340億美元的股票,,年底現(xiàn)金儲備達到創(chuàng)紀錄的3340億美元,,比一年前幾乎翻了一番,超過其不斷縮水的2720億美元股票投資組合,。

這位以價值為導向的著名投資者多年來一直抱怨估值過高,,由于缺乏價格合適的交易對象,他一直沒有使用現(xiàn)金進行大規(guī)模收購,。

伯克希爾的現(xiàn)金大部分為短期國庫券,,這不僅為該集團提供了避風港,也為該集團帶來了可觀的收益,,巴菲特在最近致股東的信中提到了這一點,。

他在2月時曾寫道:“由于美國國債的收益率提高,我們大幅增加了這些高流動性短期證券的投資,,因此投資收入出現(xiàn)了可預測的大幅增長,,這為我們提供了幫助?!?/p>

當市場崩盤,,不但他買入的股票受到關注,他賣掉的那些股票也吸引了人們注意,。

去年,,伯克希爾將其持有的蘋果股份減少了約三分之二,占公司賣出股票的大部分,盡管這家手機制造商在其持有的股票中仍然占最大份額,。

該公司是在去年的前三個季度售出蘋果股票的,,當時蘋果股價仍在上漲期間,并于去年12月底達到峰值,。

但自那次峰值以來,,由于預期美國將對中國嚴厲加征高額關稅,蘋果股價已暴跌28%,。這是因為蘋果和很多科技公司一樣,,零部件的生產(chǎn)和制造都依賴中國。

隨著特朗普最新一輪關稅調(diào)整,,從中國進口的商品現(xiàn)在面臨54%的關稅,。如果政府兌現(xiàn)其威脅,對從委內(nèi)瑞拉購買石油的國家征收“次級關稅”,,該稅率可能會達到79%,。

與此同時,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司還在拋售美國銀行(Bank of America)和花旗集團(Citigroup)的股票,。今年到目前為止,,這兩家銀行巨頭的股價都下跌了約22%。

相比之下,,伯克希爾公司的B類股票今年上漲了9%,,盡管在過去一周中略有下跌。該公司的業(yè)務范圍廣泛,,包括保險,、鐵路和能源,主要集中在美國,,與進口的關聯(lián)較小,。

因此,與他的同齡人不同,,巴菲特的個人財富今年繼續(xù)增長。根據(jù)彭博億萬富翁指數(shù),,他的凈資產(chǎn)今年增加了127億美元,,總共達到1550億美元,在名單上排名第六,,基本上與比爾·蓋茨(Bill Gates)并列,,比爾·蓋茨的財富減少了33.8億美元。

埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)以3,020億美元位居榜首,,盡管這個數(shù)字在2025年減少了1,300億美元,,其次是杰夫·貝佐斯(Jeff Bezos)的1,930億美元,比去年減少了452億美元。

關于最近的市場崩盤是否會促使巴菲特進行大規(guī)模收購或購入股票,,巴菲特的追隨者正在拭目以待,。而他2月份的信件可能提供了一條線索。

“伯克希爾的股東可以放心,,我們將永遠將大部分資金配置在股票上——主要是美國股票,,盡管其中許多股票有重要的國際業(yè)務,”他寫道,,“伯克希爾永遠不會把持有現(xiàn)金等價物資產(chǎn)的優(yōu)先級放在持有優(yōu)秀的企業(yè)之上,,無論是控股還是僅部分擁有?!保ㄘ敻恢形木W(wǎng))

譯者:珠珠

? The stock market crash triggered by President Donald Trump’s global tariffs brought Warren Buffett’s investment moves over the past year into a fresh light, underscoring his prudence amid the once-raging bull market. His decision last year to shed most of Berkshire Hathaway’s Apple stock now looks especially well timed.

Berkshire Hathaway Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett’s investment moves over the past year now seem uncannily well timed in the wake of the stock market meltdown caused by President Donald Trump’s global tariffs.

In the last two trading sessions alone, the S&P 500 crashed 10%, and the broad market index is down 17% from its mid-February peak. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq and the small-cap Russell 2000 are in bear market territory, having tumbled more than 20% from their recent highs.

Since Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcement on Wednesday, US stocks have lost more than $6 trillion in market cap in the worst selloff since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, as Wall Street prices in a tariff-induced US recession.

But Buffett appeared to anticipate a market downturn coming. Berkshire sold $134 billion in equities in 2024—when the bull market was still raging—and was sitting on a record $334 billion cash pile at year’s end. That’s nearly double from a year earlier and more than its shrinking stock portfolio of $272 billion.

The famously value-oriented investor has also been complaining for years that valuations were too high and has held off on using his cash on major acquisitions due to a lack of bargains.

Most of Berkshire’s cash is in short-term Treasury bills, which not only offer shelter from the storm but also provide the conglomerate a tidy gain that Buffett noted in his most recent letter to shareholders.

“We were aided by a predictable large gain in investment income as Treasury Bill yields improved and we substantially increased our holdings of these highly-liquid short-term securities,” he wrote in February.

In addition to what he bought, what he sold also stands out, given the market crash.

Last year, Berkshire slashed its Apple stake by about two-thirds, representing the bulk of the company’s equity sales, though the iPhone maker remains its largest stock holding.

Those stock sales, which came in the first three quarters of the year, also occurred while Apple was still on the rise, with shares peaking in late December.

But since that peak, Apple has collapsed 28% as US tariffs on China are expected to hit especially hard. That’s because Apple, like many tech companies, relies on China for parts and manufacturing.

With Trump’s latest round of tariffs, imports from China now face a 54% duty. And if the administration follows through on its threat to impost a “secondary tariff” on countries that buy oil from Venezuela, the rate could hit 79%.

Meanwhile, Berkshire has also been offloading shares of Bank of America and Citigroup. Shares of both banking giants are down about 22% so far this year.

By contrast, Berkshire’s class B shares are up 9% this year, though they have taken a modest hit this past week. The wide array of its businesses, such as insurance, rail, and energy, are mostly focused on the US and less exposed to imports.

As a result, Buffett’s personal fortune has grown this year, unlike those of his peers. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, his net worth has expanded by $12.7 billion this year to give him a total of $155 billion, putting him at No. 6 on the list and essentially tying him with Bill Gates, whose own fortune shrank by $3.38 billion.

Elon Musk remains No. 1 with $302 billion, though that’s down by $130 billion in 2025, followed by Jeff Bezos with $193 billion, down by $45.2 billion.

As Buffett watchers wait to see if the recent market crash will finally induce him to make a big acquisition or stock purchase, his February letter may offer a clue.

“Berkshire shareholders can rest assured that we will forever deploy a substantial majority of their money in equities—mostly American equities although many of these will have international operations of significance,” he wrote. “Berkshire will never prefer ownership of cash-equivalent assets over the ownership of good businesses, whether controlled or only partially owned.”

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