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木頭姐基金強(qiáng)勢(shì)反彈,,卻遭遇大量質(zhì)疑

Emily Graffeo
2025-06-19

凱茜·伍德旗下的旗艦交易所交易基金(ETF)已從貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)恐慌的深淵中強(qiáng)勁反彈,自四月初以來(lái)漲幅超過(guò)50%,。

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凱茜·伍德旗下的旗艦交易所交易基金(ETF)已從貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)恐慌的深淵中強(qiáng)勁反彈,,自四月初以來(lái)漲幅超過(guò)50%。然而,,此番反彈非但未能恢復(fù)投資者的信心,,反而招致了普遍的懷疑。

資金外流持續(xù)不斷,。受看跌信念和戰(zhàn)術(shù)性對(duì)沖驅(qū)動(dòng),,空頭正以前所未有的規(guī)模大舉集結(jié)。同時(shí),,杠桿型交易所交易基金這類蓬勃發(fā)展,、對(duì)散戶友好的產(chǎn)品,,正在與伍德押注知名科技股的高信念投資策略展開(kāi)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。

結(jié)果便是:曾在疫情期間引領(lǐng)顛覆性科技浪潮的ARK創(chuàng)新ETF,,如今雖有業(yè)績(jī)表現(xiàn),,卻未能提振市場(chǎng)信心。

金融分析公司S3 Partners的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,,ARKK的空頭倉(cāng)位已攀升至約37%流通股的創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄水平——甚至超過(guò)了疫情期間的峰值,。僅在六月份,看跌交易者就因此承受了超過(guò)3億美元的按市值計(jì)價(jià)浮虧,。而周一該基金4.4%的大漲理論上又令其浮虧賬單增加了約9,300萬(wàn)美元,。

Strategas高級(jí)ETF策略師托德·索恩表示:“伍德的基金確實(shí)經(jīng)歷了輝煌的上漲行情,但我懷疑在2020年和2021年蜂擁而入的投資者是否仍對(duì)當(dāng)初的狂熱追捧和隨后的暴跌心有余悸,?!?/p>

索恩補(bǔ)充道:“或許他們已將目光轉(zhuǎn)向了加密貨幣或杠桿型單股基金等其他領(lǐng)域?!?/p>

S3 Partners的伊霍爾·杜薩尼夫斯基表示,,這種做空行為也反映了機(jī)構(gòu)為對(duì)沖其在大盤(pán)科技股上的多頭頭寸而采取的策略,即使這些對(duì)沖頭寸本身累積了按市值計(jì)價(jià)的浮虧,,該策略仍可持續(xù)進(jìn)行,。

隨著唐納德·特朗普收回部分最為極端的貿(mào)易提案,加之企業(yè)盈利展現(xiàn)出韌性,,ARKK所持的特斯拉(Tesla Inc.),、Roblox Corp.和Coinbase Global Inc.等投機(jī)性科技股,已與大盤(pán)一同從關(guān)稅波動(dòng)引發(fā)的低點(diǎn)反彈,。

盡管押注埃隆·馬斯克的電動(dòng)汽車公司被證明波動(dòng)劇烈,,但作為ARKK的第一大重倉(cāng)股,特斯拉自四月初以來(lái)的表現(xiàn)仍跑贏標(biāo)普500指數(shù)約21個(gè)百分點(diǎn),。

盡管如此,,懷疑論者依然不為所動(dòng),。上周四,,ARKK錄得自2022年以來(lái)最大的單日資金流出,使得今年迄今為止的資金流出總額超過(guò)8.4億美元,。該基金已連續(xù)五周遭遇凈贖回,。ARKK的發(fā)言人未立即回應(yīng)置評(píng)請(qǐng)求。

在彭博行業(yè)研究(Bloomberg Intelligence)的阿薩納西奧斯·普薩羅法吉斯看來(lái),,投資者回避該ETF,,不僅是因?yàn)榛饦I(yè)績(jī)不佳,更在于他們現(xiàn)在可以利用單股ETF構(gòu)建出表現(xiàn)可能更優(yōu)的投資組合,。

他在一份報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道,,伍德當(dāng)初聲名鵲起,,是因?yàn)樗屔敉顿Y者得以參與其高信念選股——其中許多股票最初表現(xiàn)極為出色。然而,,如今市場(chǎng)上的新型ETF,,讓投資者比以往任何時(shí)候都更容易自行對(duì)個(gè)股進(jìn)行集中押注,而無(wú)需依賴基金經(jīng)理,。

以單股ETF為例,,它們提供對(duì)英偉達(dá)(Nvidia Corp.)或特斯拉等公司的單股放大敞口。自2022年監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)批準(zhǔn)這種結(jié)構(gòu)以來(lái),,此類基金的資產(chǎn)管理規(guī)模已增長(zhǎng)至近210億美元,。

普薩羅法吉斯寫(xiě)道:“針對(duì)ARKK的幾乎所有重倉(cāng)股,市場(chǎng)上已有或正在推出杠桿型和反向ETF,,投資者無(wú)需主動(dòng)管理即可復(fù)制或增強(qiáng)其投資策略,。隨著此類產(chǎn)品激增,像ARKK這樣的旗艦主題型ETF面臨被淘汰的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,因?yàn)橥顿Y者正選擇直接投資標(biāo)的,。”

這突顯出投資者對(duì)新上市股票兩倍乃至三倍總回報(bào)的渴求,。ETF發(fā)行商們正競(jìng)相提交計(jì)劃,,擬推出為Circle Internet Group Inc.等新上市公司提供杠桿敞口的基金。

除了競(jìng)爭(zhēng)加劇,,長(zhǎng)期表現(xiàn)不佳也是空頭如此堅(jiān)定地做空伍德的原因之一,。盡管該基金在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月有所反彈,但其過(guò)去五年的回報(bào)率基本為零,,而同期標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的總回報(bào)率超過(guò)了100%,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

凱茜·伍德旗下的旗艦交易所交易基金(ETF)已從貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)恐慌的深淵中強(qiáng)勁反彈,自四月初以來(lái)漲幅超過(guò)50%,。然而,,此番反彈非但未能恢復(fù)投資者的信心,反而招致了普遍的懷疑,。

資金外流持續(xù)不斷,。受看跌信念和戰(zhàn)術(shù)性對(duì)沖驅(qū)動(dòng),空頭正以前所未有的規(guī)模大舉集結(jié),。同時(shí),,杠桿型交易所交易基金這類蓬勃發(fā)展、對(duì)散戶友好的產(chǎn)品,,正在與伍德押注知名科技股的高信念投資策略展開(kāi)競(jìng)爭(zhēng),。

結(jié)果便是:曾在疫情期間引領(lǐng)顛覆性科技浪潮的ARK創(chuàng)新ETF,如今雖有業(yè)績(jī)表現(xiàn),卻未能提振市場(chǎng)信心,。

金融分析公司S3 Partners的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,,ARKK的空頭倉(cāng)位已攀升至約37%流通股的創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄水平——甚至超過(guò)了疫情期間的峰值。僅在六月份,,看跌交易者就因此承受了超過(guò)3億美元的按市值計(jì)價(jià)浮虧,。而周一該基金4.4%的大漲理論上又令其浮虧賬單增加了約9,300萬(wàn)美元。

Strategas高級(jí)ETF策略師托德·索恩表示:“伍德的基金確實(shí)經(jīng)歷了輝煌的上漲行情,,但我懷疑在2020年和2021年蜂擁而入的投資者是否仍對(duì)當(dāng)初的狂熱追捧和隨后的暴跌心有余悸,。”

索恩補(bǔ)充道:“或許他們已將目光轉(zhuǎn)向了加密貨幣或杠桿型單股基金等其他領(lǐng)域,?!?/p>

S3 Partners的伊霍爾·杜薩尼夫斯基表示,這種做空行為也反映了機(jī)構(gòu)為對(duì)沖其在大盤(pán)科技股上的多頭頭寸而采取的策略,,即使這些對(duì)沖頭寸本身累積了按市值計(jì)價(jià)的浮虧,,該策略仍可持續(xù)進(jìn)行。

隨著唐納德·特朗普收回部分最為極端的貿(mào)易提案,,加之企業(yè)盈利展現(xiàn)出韌性,,ARKK所持的特斯拉(Tesla Inc.)、Roblox Corp.和Coinbase Global Inc.等投機(jī)性科技股,,已與大盤(pán)一同從關(guān)稅波動(dòng)引發(fā)的低點(diǎn)反彈,。

盡管押注埃隆·馬斯克的電動(dòng)汽車公司被證明波動(dòng)劇烈,但作為ARKK的第一大重倉(cāng)股,,特斯拉自四月初以來(lái)的表現(xiàn)仍跑贏標(biāo)普500指數(shù)約21個(gè)百分點(diǎn),。

盡管如此,懷疑論者依然不為所動(dòng),。上周四,,ARKK錄得自2022年以來(lái)最大的單日資金流出,使得今年迄今為止的資金流出總額超過(guò)8.4億美元,。該基金已連續(xù)五周遭遇凈贖回,。ARKK的發(fā)言人未立即回應(yīng)置評(píng)請(qǐng)求。

在彭博行業(yè)研究(Bloomberg Intelligence)的阿薩納西奧斯·普薩羅法吉斯看來(lái),,投資者回避該ETF,,不僅是因?yàn)榛饦I(yè)績(jī)不佳,更在于他們現(xiàn)在可以利用單股ETF構(gòu)建出表現(xiàn)可能更優(yōu)的投資組合,。

他在一份報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道,,伍德當(dāng)初聲名鵲起,,是因?yàn)樗屔敉顿Y者得以參與其高信念選股——其中許多股票最初表現(xiàn)極為出色,。然而,如今市場(chǎng)上的新型ETF,,讓投資者比以往任何時(shí)候都更容易自行對(duì)個(gè)股進(jìn)行集中押注,,而無(wú)需依賴基金經(jīng)理,。

以單股ETF為例,它們提供對(duì)英偉達(dá)(Nvidia Corp.)或特斯拉等公司的單股放大敞口,。自2022年監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)批準(zhǔn)這種結(jié)構(gòu)以來(lái),,此類基金的資產(chǎn)管理規(guī)模已增長(zhǎng)至近210億美元。

普薩羅法吉斯寫(xiě)道:“針對(duì)ARKK的幾乎所有重倉(cāng)股,,市場(chǎng)上已有或正在推出杠桿型和反向ETF,,投資者無(wú)需主動(dòng)管理即可復(fù)制或增強(qiáng)其投資策略。隨著此類產(chǎn)品激增,,像ARKK這樣的旗艦主題型ETF面臨被淘汰的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,因?yàn)橥顿Y者正選擇直接投資標(biāo)的?!?/p>

這突顯出投資者對(duì)新上市股票兩倍乃至三倍總回報(bào)的渴求,。ETF發(fā)行商們正競(jìng)相提交計(jì)劃,擬推出為Circle Internet Group Inc.等新上市公司提供杠桿敞口的基金,。

除了競(jìng)爭(zhēng)加劇,,長(zhǎng)期表現(xiàn)不佳也是空頭如此堅(jiān)定地做空伍德的原因之一。盡管該基金在過(guò)去幾個(gè)月有所反彈,,但其過(guò)去五年的回報(bào)率基本為零,,而同期標(biāo)普500指數(shù)的總回報(bào)率超過(guò)了100%。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:劉進(jìn)龍

審校:汪皓

Cathie Wood’s flagship ETF has staged a powerful comeback from the depths of the trade war panic, rallying more than 50% since early April. But rather than restoring investor faith, the rebound has only been met with skepticism.

Outflows are persistent. Short sellers are circling in record numbers, driven by bearish conviction and tactical hedging. And a booming class of retail-friendly products — leveraged exchange-traded funds — are competing with Wood’s strategy of making high-conviction bets on famous tech names.

The result: the ARK Innovation ETF, which helped define the disruptive tech story during the pandemic, is delivering performance without inspiring confidence.

According to data from financial analytics firm S3 Partners, short interest in ARKK has climbed to a record of roughly 37% of free float — surpassing even pandemic-era peaks. In June alone, bearish traders would have incurred over $300 million in mark-to-market losses. Monday’s 4.4% surge in theory added another roughly $93 million to the tab.

Wood’s “funds have gone on great runs, but I wonder if investors who piled in during 2020 and 2021 are still feeling the effects of that rush and decline,” said Todd Sohn, senior ETF strategist at Strategas.

“Perhaps they’ve moved on to other areas like crypto or levered single stock funds too,” Sohn added.

The short-selling also reflects firms offsetting long bets in large-cap technology names, a strategy that can endure even as those positions rack up mark-to-market losses, according to Ihor Dusaniwsky of S3 Partners.

ARKK’s speculative tech holdings like Tesla Inc., Roblox Corp., and Coinbase Global Inc. have rebounded from tariff-volatility induced lows alongside the broader stock market as President Donald Trump has walked back some of his most extreme trade proposals and corporate earnings have been resilient.

While bets on Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle company have proved volatile, the company, which is ARKK’s top holding, has outperformed the S&P 500 Index by about 21 percentage points from early April.

Still, the doubters haven’t budged. On Thursday, ARKK recorded its largest single-day outflow since 2022, contributing to over $840 million in outflows so far this year. It has seen net redemptions for five consecutive weeks. A spokesperson for ARKK did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

To Bloomberg Intelligence’s Athanasios Psarofagis, it’s not just the fund’s poor performance that has investors shunning the ETF, it’s that they can now build arguably better-performing portfolios with single-stock ETFs.

While Wood rose to fame because she offered retail investors access to her high-conviction stock picks — many of which initially fared extremely well — new ETFs on the market are making it easier than ever for investors to place their own concentrated bets on stocks, without relying on managers, he writes in a note.

Take single-stock ETFs, which offer amped up exposure to a single company like Nvidia Corp. or Tesla. Such funds have grown to command nearly $21 billion in assets since regulators green lit the structure in 2022.

“With leveraged and inverse ETFs available or in the pipeline for almost all of ARKK’s top holdings, investors can replicate or enhance the strategy sans active management,” Psarofagis writes. “As these products proliferate, flagship thematic ETFs like ARKK risk becoming obsolete, as investors go straight to the source.”

Underscoring how investors are hungry for double or triple the total return of newly traded stocks, ETF issuers have raced to file plans for funds that would provide leveraged exposure to newly public company Circle Internet Group Inc.

Aside from more competition, poor longer-term performance also helps explain why short sellers have been so steadfast in betting against Wood. While the fund has rallied over the last few months, it has returned essentially zero over the last five years, compared to the S&P 500’s more than 100% total return.

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