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專欄 - 蘋果2_0

中國(guó)PC市場(chǎng)爭(zhēng)奪戰(zhàn):蘋果歡樂(lè),,聯(lián)想堪憂

 Philip Elmer-DeWitt 2011年11月15日

蘋果(Apple)公司內(nèi)部流傳著一個(gè)老笑話,那就是史蒂夫·喬布斯周圍是一片“現(xiàn)實(shí)扭曲力場(chǎng)”:你離他太近的話,,就會(huì)相信他所說(shuō)的話。蘋果的數(shù)百萬(wàn)用戶中已經(jīng)有不少成了該公司的“信徒”,,而很多蘋果投資者也賺得盆滿缽滿,。不過(guò),,Elmer-DeWitt認(rèn)為,在報(bào)道蘋果公司時(shí)有點(diǎn)懷疑精神不是壞事,。聽(tīng)他的應(yīng)該沒(méi)錯(cuò)。要知道,,他自從1982年就開始報(bào)道蘋果,、觀察史蒂夫·喬布斯經(jīng)營(yíng)該公司,。
調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)顯示,盡管只有7%的中國(guó)消費(fèi)者有能力購(gòu)買Mac,但他們?nèi)詫ac視為最中意的電腦品牌,。蘋果的份額有望從目前的5%上升到21%,,毫無(wú)爭(zhēng)議地成為中國(guó)PC市場(chǎng)未來(lái)幾年最大的贏家,;而本土的聯(lián)想則淪為最大的輸家,未來(lái)繼續(xù)購(gòu)買的意愿預(yù)計(jì)將大幅下滑,。

????點(diǎn)擊放大

????市場(chǎng)調(diào)研及咨詢機(jī)構(gòu)IDC稱今年8月,,中國(guó)超越美國(guó),正式成為世界第一大個(gè)人電腦消費(fèi)市場(chǎng),。

????上周三,,摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)公布了一份調(diào)查結(jié)果,顯示蘋果(Apple)有望力壓其它PC制造商,,成為中國(guó)市場(chǎng)的最大贏家。

????摩根士丹利的凱蒂?休伯蒂總結(jié)了調(diào)研團(tuán)隊(duì)Alphawise對(duì)中國(guó)16個(gè)城市、1,553名消費(fèi)者的專業(yè)調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),并發(fā)布報(bào)告指出:

????? 目前中國(guó)消費(fèi)者在電腦上的平均開支為600美元(與美國(guó)持平)。

????? 半數(shù)受訪者計(jì)劃在兩年內(nèi)購(gòu)置新機(jī)并準(zhǔn)備多花6%的資金,。

????? 受訪者將蘋果視為最中意的PC品牌,,遙遙領(lǐng)先于其它國(guó)際和中國(guó)本土PC品牌——其中包括位于北京的聯(lián)想(Lenovo)。

????? 問(wèn)及下一臺(tái)PC選擇哪個(gè)品牌時(shí),,21%的中國(guó)消費(fèi)者選擇了蘋果,。

????? 雖然只有7%的受訪者表示愿意花費(fèi)超過(guò)1,000美元購(gòu)置電腦,,但休伯蒂表示,,隨著中國(guó)消費(fèi)者日漸富裕,這種情況應(yīng)該會(huì)發(fā)生改變,。

????根據(jù)調(diào)查結(jié)果,,中國(guó)市場(chǎng)最大的贏家和輸家分別如下:

????輸家:聯(lián)想。31%的受訪者擁有聯(lián)想PC,,但僅有23%的人計(jì)劃繼續(xù)購(gòu)置,。

????贏家:蘋果。目前僅有5%的受訪者擁有,,但21%的人有購(gòu)置意愿,。

????贏家:惠普(Hewlett-Packard),。11%的受訪者擁有,13%的人有購(gòu)置意愿,。

????沒(méi)輸也沒(méi)贏:戴爾(Dell),。(擁有率和未來(lái)購(gòu)買意愿都)穩(wěn)定在6%。

????中國(guó)企業(yè)市場(chǎng)的形勢(shì)則大不一樣,。調(diào)查結(jié)果認(rèn)為戴爾和蘋果處于有利地位,,而惠普則頗為不妙。具體數(shù)據(jù)如下圖所示:

????譯者:項(xiàng)航

????In August, according to IDC, China overtook the U.S. as the world's largest consumer of personal computers.

????On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley issued the results of a survey suggesting that Apple (AAPL) is the best positioned of all PC manufacturers to capitalize on the boom.

????Summarizing the results of a proprietary Alphawise survey of 1,553 consumers in 16 Chinese cities, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty reports:

????? Chinese consumers currently spend an average of $600 for their computers (same as Americans)

????? Half plan to buy a new computer within the next two years, and they expect to spend 6% more for it

????? They rate Apple as the most desirable PC brand, well ahead of other international and domestic PC makers -- including Beijing-based Lenovo

????? Asked which brand of computer their next PC would be, 21% of Chinese consumer chose Apple

????? Only 7% say they are willing to spend more than $1,000 for a computer, but as the Chinese consumers grow more affluent, writes Huberty, that should change

????Based on the survey results, the biggest winners and losers in the Chinese consumer market are:

????Loser:Lenovo. 31% own a Lenovo PC, but only 23% plan to buy another.

????Winner:Apple. 5% currently own, 21% hope to buy one

????Winner:Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). 11% own, 13% hope to buy

????Neutral:Dell (DELL). Holding steady at 6%

????The enterprise market in China is a different story. There the survey results favor Dell and Apple, while indicating trouble ahead for HP. See the chart below.

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