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????借錢給別人還要倒貼利息,，這種事你會(huì)干嗎？這就是眼下德國(guó)發(fā)生的情況,。上周,，短期德國(guó)國(guó)債收益率轉(zhuǎn)為負(fù)值，這意味著投資者不僅放棄了投資德國(guó)國(guó)債的收益,，而且,，等到這些債券到期時(shí)，他們拿到的錢事實(shí)上會(huì)比投入的本金還要少,。

????這事聽(tīng)起來(lái)可能有些荒誕,，但我們可以換個(gè)角度來(lái)看待這個(gè)問(wèn)題。投資者可能是為了在歐債危機(jī)之中希望道道一個(gè)安全的地方進(jìn)行投資,，同時(shí),，有可能投資者在收益率為負(fù)值的情形下仍然有利可圖。

????上周一的國(guó)債拍賣中,，德國(guó)售出了49.6億美元的6個(gè)月國(guó)債,，平均收益率為-0.0122%。據(jù)報(bào)道,，這是德國(guó)國(guó)債拍賣首次出現(xiàn)負(fù)收益率,。但《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》（The Wall Street Journal）指出的那樣,， 幾年前金融危機(jī)最嚴(yán)重的時(shí)候，短期美國(guó)國(guó)債的收益率也曾經(jīng)跌至負(fù)值,。鑒于市場(chǎng)中所有的不確定因素,，投資者將資金從高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資中撤出，投入更安全的證券,，其中主要是短期美國(guó)國(guó)債,。

????通常，投資者總是希望將來(lái)拿到的錢能多于借出去的錢,。但上周德國(guó)國(guó)債拍賣的結(jié)果表明,，由于擔(dān)心投資其他地方可能造成更大的損失，投資者或許愿意承受相對(duì)更小的損失,。但事實(shí)上,，投資者得到的回報(bào)可能要多于預(yù)期。

????其一,，假如未來(lái)歐洲危機(jī)進(jìn)一步惡化,，與債券價(jià)格反向而動(dòng)的債券收益率進(jìn)一步下跌的話，這批德國(guó)債券的價(jià)格可能會(huì)上漲,。

????而且,，如果通貨緊縮抬頭，投資者還有望獲得更高一些的回報(bào)率,；由于市場(chǎng)預(yù)計(jì)今年歐洲可能會(huì)陷入經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退,，不能排除出現(xiàn)通貨緊縮的可能性。如果物價(jià)在長(zhǎng)時(shí)間持續(xù)下跌,，把錢塞在床墊下或保險(xiǎn)箱里可能對(duì)投資者更有利,。不消說(shuō)，企業(yè)和投資經(jīng)理們不可能這么干,，盡管曠日持久的歐債危機(jī)持續(xù)打擊人們投資和放貸的積極性,。因此，他們涌入短期國(guó)債尋求避風(fēng)港,，期望將來(lái)能獲得高于預(yù)期的回報(bào)率,。

????邁阿密大學(xué)（University of Miami）金融學(xué)教授布萊恩?巴里特是這樣看的：假設(shè)某短期國(guó)債的收益率為- 0.5%，年底到期償付1,000美元,。因此該國(guó)債價(jià)格應(yīng)為1,005,。

????現(xiàn)在，假設(shè)年初時(shí)復(fù)印紙價(jià)格為每箱10美元,。用這1,005美元,，公司可以買100.50箱。

????但假設(shè)這家公司不這么做,，而是把錢塞到了床墊下,。全年物價(jià)穩(wěn)步走低,。到年底時(shí)，通貨膨脹率已降至-1%,，即這時(shí)一箱復(fù)印紙的價(jià)格僅為9.90美元,。這時(shí)，這家公司再拿出那1,005美元,，就可以買101.52箱,，比年初劃算多了。

????顯然,，公司不能把錢藏在床墊下,。管理層需要把手頭的現(xiàn)金投入使用，因此他們采取了類似的做法,。這部分投資者為公司資金尋找的是低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的投資領(lǐng)域,，因此選擇購(gòu)買負(fù)收益率的債券。他們?cè)谀瓿踬I入1,005美元的債券,，年底到期可獲得1,000美元,。用這些錢，公司可購(gòu)買101.01箱復(fù)印紙,，仍然要比年初時(shí)多,。

????因此，雖然表面看起來(lái)是投資者幫了德國(guó)的忙,，但說(shuō)到底,，投資者自己得到的甜頭更大。

????Would you pay someone to give them a loan? That's essentially what's happening in Germany right now -- German short-term bills turned negative earlier this week, meaning investors will not only forgo returns on German debt, they'll actually end up with less money when the bonds expire.

????It may sound preposterous, but that's not the only way of looking at it. Aside from finding a safe place to invest amid all the uncertainties attached with Europe's ongoing debt crisis, it's possible that investors can also make money on negative yields.

????In an auction Monday, Germany sold $4.96 billion of six-month bills with an average yield of negative 0.0122%. This is reportedly the first time yields turned negative at a German debt auction. However, as The Wall Street Journal points out, short-term U.S. Treasury yields spiraled to negative territory during the worst of the financial crisis several years ago. With all the uncertainties in the market, investors pulled cash out of risky investments and put them into safer securities – notably, short-term U.S. government debt.

????Investors typically expect to be repaid more than they lend. And indeed, Monday's auction in Germany signals they may be willing to settle for slightly less given fears about potentially big losses elsewhere. But it's possible for investors to gain more than expected.

????For one, the price for these bills could rise if yields, which move in the opposite direction, fall further should the crisis in Europe take a turn for the worse.

????And investors stand to see modestly bigger returns if deflation arises – a development some aren't ruling that out given expectations that Europe could slip into recession this year. When prices fall for a prolonged period, investors are better off stuffing cash under the mattress or a safe deposit box. Needless to say, corporations and money managers – discouraged from investing and lending given Europe's ongoing debt crisis – can't practically do that. So they flock to safety in bills and hope for better gains.

????University of Miami finance professor Brian Barrett sees it this way: Say the yield on a short-term government bond is negative 0.5%. The bill pays $1,000 when it matures at the end of the year. So the price of the bill would be $1,005.

????Now let's say copy paper at the start of the year is going for $10 a case. With $1,005, a company can buy 100.50 cases.

????But let's say the company holds off and stuffs its money under a mattress. And at the end of the year, prices have steadily declined. Inflation has dropped to negative 1%, which means a case of paper is now going for $9.90. Now the company pulls out its $1,005 and can buy 101.52 cases. That's better than at the beginning of the year.

????Obviously companies can't store money under a mattress. Executives need to put cash on hand at work, so they do what's essentially the equivalent. The investor, looking for a low-risk place to invest the company's cash, buys bonds at negative yields. By investing $1,005 in the bond, the investor ends up with $1,000 when it matures at the end of the year. With that, the company can buy 101.01 cases of copy paper. That's still more than it could buy at the beginning of the year.

????So while it may seem investors are doing Germany a favor, in the end, the bigger winners are likely the investors themselves.